Bellator 257 Betting Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets

Bellator is sneaking in the back door this week. The UFC has an excellent main event with Robert Whittaker vs Kelvin Gastelum this week. There is, of course, the Triller show going on that will be headlined by Jack Paul and Ben Askren.

People are forgetting all about Bellator and they even have two fights in the Light Heavyweight Grand Prix Tournament including one for the world title between challenger Phil Davis and champion from Team Fedor, Vadim Nemkov.

Paul Daley is also on the fight card. You have to love that guy, man. I know he was kicked out of the UFC for doing something incredibly dishonorable when he sucker punched Josh Koscheck after their fight but it was Josh Koscheck and everyone seemed to hate that guy.

Josh had it coming after he took advantage of the madness that is Chris Leben on The Ultimate Fighter reality show back in the day.

When I see Chris, I see pain…in more ways than one.

Another Ultimate Fighter vet and winner, Saul Rogers is a sizable betting underdog to Danish rising star Mads Burnell. Pretty cool name I have to admit.

BetOnline.AG has some of the best betting odds for MMA on the internet and they are usually the first ones to come out with the lines. Let’s take a look at some of the best betting spots for this week’s Bellator fight card #257.

Paul Daley (-190) vs Sabah Homasi (+165)

Paul Daley is an MMA treasure and that’s all there is to it. He has some of the best pure Muay Thai striking in all of MMA at his weight class. There aren’t many men not named Nick Diaz who will willingly stand and trade with this guy.

  • Sabah Homasi is a good fighter but more of an all around guy. That is a bad matchup against a fighter like Semtex Daley.
  • Paul is a striking specialist with elite takedown defense. That means you are going to need to have elite takedowns to win this fight.

Either that or just catch Paul while he is throwing a big punch and hopefully hurt him.

I think Daley works Sabah over on the feet and likely gets a finish.

We have affordable odds on him here, though, at less than (-200) so we will stick to that play.

The Pick

Vadim Nemkov (-190) vs Phil Davis (+160)

These two men fought to a split decision about 2 and a half years ago. The champion Vadim Nemkov got the victory but it was over just 3 rounds.

Vadim has aged from 26 to 28 since and that usually means a fighter is much improved.

Phil Davis, conversely, has since aged from 34 to 36. He has not taken a lot of damage in his career as Phil is normally the hammer and doesn’t get hit a lot either.

34 to 36, though, is still downhill and when fighters who already have championship experience get to 28 or so, they really start to show why they are the best.

I am on Nemkov here.

I know Phil Davis has the tools to beat just about anybody but Nemkov’s time is now. He isn’t overpriced either at just (-190) so give him a couple of units.

The Pick

Parlay Daley and Nemkov: +133

Let’s parlay these two up for a nice plays money payday.

Parlaying Daley is risky because he is going to put himself in the fire no matter if he is already dominating or not.

The guy has good fight IQ but I wouldn’t say it’s great. He knows where and how he wants to fight but sometimes, he could cruise to a win and he still goes for the KO.

That puts him in unnecessary trouble but I don’t think it will matter too much against Homasi who is too well rounded for his own good.

The Bets
Parlay Daley and Nemkov

In Conclusion

Bellator should be a fun card. I hope you can figure something out with the wife and be able to watch 3 different fight cards in 2 days.

Plan a Sunday Funday.

They love that stuff and with the weather warming up, a hike and a winery might be just what she wants.

It won’t be the most carefree day, though, if we don’t win some money over the first half of the weekend. I didn’t want to make too many plays this week on the Bellator card, though.

Get in and get out.

We have three plays and if two of them hit, the other one will as well. I worry a bit about Semtex as he is getting up there in age but we have yet to see him slow down inside of the Bellator cage so he has my money this week to once again do his thing.

Please Note:
Vadim Nemkov beat Phil Davis when he himself was less developed and Davis, conversely, was a better version of himself. Therefore, I think he can do it again. We have to cap him at 75%, though, to have an edge on the sportsbooks and I feel we can say that.

Yes, they fought to s split decision before but did you see what Vadim was able to do to Ryan Bader in his last fight when he won the world title at Light Heavyweight? He completely outclassed the then Bellator Light Heavy and Heavyweight World Champion.

Get your bets in now and enjoy the scraps.


Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.

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