Bellator Featherweight Grand Prix Betting Odds and Picks

The Bellator Featherweight Grand Prix kicked off in September as Antonio McKee and Darrion Caldwell won their respective fights. Now, these two men will fight in one semifinal in the future.

The tournament was actually supposed to kick off earlier in the year but sports were cancelled for months due to the spread of COVID-19 and we are all too familiar with that.

Tonight, we decide the other semifinal as the Bellator Featherweight World Champion, Patricio Pitbull Friere, fights upstart Pedro Carvalho from Portugal.

Also, we get to see long time Bellator Featherweight gatekeeper, Daniel Weichel, is almost a 2 to 1 underdog against Emmanuel Sanchez. Daniel has already defeated Sanchez but that was a little over 4 years ago and only by split decision.

Also on the main card are two dominant grapplers with a combined professional mixed martial arts record of 35-0!

This is Bellator, yes!

Yaroslav Amosov owns 24 of those wins and he welcomes the up and coming wrestling sensation, Logan Storley, who will be going for his 12 victories with no defeats. The former is out of Ukraine and the latter represents South Dakota!

Hey, we had our first Israeli born fighter make it to the UFC this week on Dana White’s Contender Series. Natan Levy, a long-time training partner of mine took the fight this past Tuesday on a day’s notice and up a weight class.

Dana told him straight up that most of our lawyers are going to be thrilled that you made it to the big show. They have been pushing for Natan to get in there for a while.

That makes Syndicate MMA 3-0 on the Contender Series in 2020. Jordan Leavitt and Sherrard Blackledge both clearly won their fights earlier this year. All three of these guys are my size and I have had the “pleasure” of training hundreds if not thousands of hours with these savages over the years.

I can’t wait to see them in their first UFC event, officially.

First Israel and now South Dakota! Logan isn’t a small gym guy straight out of college, though. He is training with one of the most successful fight camps in the world, Sanford MMA down in South Florida under the striking guise of Henry Hooft.

Let’s take a look at the betting odds for these big 3 fights and make our predictions. The online sportsbook BetOnlinehas some of the best lines once again. No surprise there. They typically lead the way in MMA betting.

Yaroslav Amosov (-205) vs Logan Storley (+165)

Webster, South Dakota…

If you have never heard of the booming metropolis, don’t worry. I haven’t either but upon doing a little bit of research, I found that Logan Storley not only shares an alma mater with Brock Lesnar having wrestled at the University of Minnesota, they’re also from the same hometown!

Logan isn’t quite cutting weight to make the 265 pounds heavyweight limit like his predecessor. Storley is a welterweight and not a huge guy either, at least bone structure-wise. Standing at just 5’9″ tall, the stocky wrestler was a 4x Division 1 All American.

Prior to that, he was a 6x state champion at the high school level. Apparently, math and English aren’t exactly his thing…Nah, they probably have only an elementary and a high school there and the latter starts in the 7th grade.

6x state champion is pretty cool, though. I don’t even think the king of cringe, Triple C, Henry Cejudo, can say that.

His opponent though, Ukraine’s Yaroslav Amosov, is a force and no stranger to fighting All American wrestlers. The 24-0 “Dynamo” will have a 3 inch height advantage as well as 3 in the reach department.

The man is very very good. You don’t get to 24-0 otherwise. He won a unanimous decision victory over Ed Ruth back in February of 2020 which was, what, 7 years ago now?

Yaroslav is the more dynamic striker and has a bigger frame. I don’t know if he is stronger than Logan, though. The Ukrainian will have the leverage and that counts for a lot.

Look at Jon Jones. Do you really believe he is that much stronger than everyone in his division? No, but with his leverage advantage, he is just as effective as fending off takedown attempts and even securing his own.

I’m going with the underdog here. I know he is still green but the guy is coming from a great camp and Amosov’s record is padded. He beat an elder Gerald Harris, an ancient David Rickels, and a post USADA Erick Silva since he made his Bellator debut.

The Ed Ruth win is legit but this is about the number. Any time you are giving me (+150) or better on a 6x state champ and 4x D-1 All America, I’ll take it.

Pick: Storley

Emmanuel Sanchez (-250) vs Daniel Weichel (+200)

As I mentioned a moment ago, Emmanuel Sanchez and Germany’s Daniel Weichel have already fought. It was 4 years ago, though, and it was a very close decision.

One would imagine that the 30 year old Sanchez would have a slight edge now against the weathered Weichel who is now 35. The German has over 50 professional fights, though, and as legendary boxing trainer Teddy Atlas says: It’s not about the year of the car, it’s about the mileage.

So I think Sanchez should be favored here? Yes, slightly. I think at the very widest, these betting odds should be (-150) to (+120) or so.

Weichel is almost 36 with 50 fights. That’s a lot but he was 32 with 45 fights when he beat this guy before. I think this one will play out much closer than the betting odds suggest and I think it is more of a 60/40 fight than the 70/30 that the betting odds suggest.

You don’t have to make a play here if you don’t want to but we have to bet the number here.

Pick: Weichel

Patricio Freire (-900) vs Pedro Carvalho (+650)

Patricio Pitbull is not God. I really don’t understand the width of this line at all. Pedro Carvalho is a very good fighter who is performing better than he ever has.

The champ is the champ and I definitely favor him in this matchup but this is ludicrous, Mike Tython listhpth.

At (+650), .5 units on the Portuguese fighter is a no-brainer. He is 4-0 inside the Bellator cage with 3 finishes and 1 decision win over the always tough, Daniel Straus.

Also, I would like to bet on the over 1.5 rounds. This one is scheduled for 5 as it is for the world title even though it is a quarterfinal tournament bout.

5dimes.eu has this set at (-115). That is the play here. Maybe these two get after it really early but almost even money is great on any over 1.5 scheduled for the full 25 minutes. These two are featherweights also, not heavyweights.

Pick: Carvalho and Over 1.5 Rounds

Place Your Bets Now!

In Conclusion

This should be a really fun card, guys! Maybe the best Bellator card in recent memory, honestly.

Prospects Aaron Pico and Khonry Gracie are featured on the undercard. Their betting odds are quite wide so we passed on those picks but if you wanted to use either or both as parlay anchors, I wouldn’t be mad.

As excited as I am about this Featherweight Grand Prix, the welterweight matchup of the two unbeaten grappling aces, Logan Sorley and Yaroslav Amosov looks to be fight of the night.

Daniel Weichel has shown signs of slowing down in his career but I tell you what, he is your stereotypical German mind with a fight IQ of 200. Give me dog odds on a guy like that who has already beat the favorite before, and I’ll take it.

As for the main event, Pitbull is Pitbull but at 9 to 1?!

Madness, I tell you. Get your bets in now and enjoy the scraps!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.