Bellator 282 is headlined with Gregard Mousasi’s title defense against the undefeated Johnny Eblen. We’re lookin at all the Mousasi vs Eblen odds, breaking down our top Bellator betting picks.
How to Watch and Bet on Mousasi vs Eblen
Our top bet button takes you to bovada, one of the top MMA betting sites. Tune into the fight on Showtime, and place your bet before 11:00 PM ET to make sure you’re in on the action by the main event.
Top Mousasi vs Eblen Prediction
The Mousasi money line at -275 has an implied 73.3% chance of success and $36.36 in winnings per $100 wagered. He’s proven himself against top middleweight talent, including ranked UFC competitors. Eblen has only faced two opponents in the Bellator top ten, and has a long way to go before he’s on Mousasi’s level.
Top Bet for Eblen Fans
The Eblen money line has a fine payout, but the Over 1.5 rounds prop at -270 covers the majority of Mousasi’s wins for Bellator and the most common Eblen strategy of winning via control points over a hard fought decision.
Eblen vs Mousasi Over Under Betting Odds Table
| Bet Available at Bovada | Over, Yes Odds | Under, No Odds |
| 1.5 Rounds | -270 | +180 |
| 2.5 Rounds | -140 | EVEN |
| 3.5 Rounds | -105 | -135 |
| 4.5 Rounds | +125 | -165 |
| Will the Fight Go the Distance | +137 | -180 |
Eblens 11 fight winning streak has seen five decisions over the last eight fights. He’s scored two Bellator knockouts over Daniel Madrid and Collin Huckbody. Neither fighter has Bellator top ten or UFC level experience. The Bellator 282 odds break even at the Under 2.5 rounds prop bet, which captures eight of Mousasi’s last thirteen bouts.
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Alternate Round Betting for Mousasi vs Eblen
| Fighter | Gregard Mousasi | Johnny Eblen |
| Round 1,2 or 3 Finish | +110 | +400 |
| Round 4, 5 or Decision | +140 | +900 |
| Draw | +6600 | +6600 |
The Mousasi in rounds 1,2 or 3 bet pays out just slightly more than the under 2.5 rounds bet, so taking this prop isn’t much better than having a bit of insurance against the Eblen upset. The under or over 2.5 rounds prop is far more secure than either of the Alternate Round props.
Method of Victory Betting Odds for Mousasi vs Eblen
| Fighter | Gregard Mousasi | Johnny Eblen |
| TKO | +125 | +600 |
| Submission | +600 | +1500 |
| Points (Decision) | +250 | +500 |
| Money Line | -275 | +210 |
| Draw | +6600 | +6600 |
Bellator 282 betting odds for a Mousasi knockout look show that Eblen is undefeated, but untested. Of the fighters Eblen faced for Bellator, Taylor Johnson has the most TKO’s at 5. Mousasi’s career 28 KOs is more than Eblens combined Bellator opponents.
Mousasi vs Eblen Tale of the Tape
| Fighter | Gregard ‘The Dreamcatcher’ Mousasi | Johnny ‘Diamond Hands’ Eblen |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 30 |
| Height | 6’2’’ | 6’3’’ |
| Reach/Stance | 76’’ | 74’’ |
| Record | 49-7-2 | 11-0 |
| Submissions/TKO | 12/28 | 1/5 |
| Fighter Training Camp | Red Devil International, Jurojin, Kops Gym | American Top Team |
Eblens six year youth advantage could be a factor, especially if he can draw the fight out. It’s one of the reasons we’ve prioritized the over prop bets. Eblen is patient, and will look to extend the fight if he can. Mousasi faded in rounds four and five against Rafael Lovato Jr. Look to see Eblen shooting less often to avoid the over sprawl finishes of Mousasi. If his 12 submission wins, six have been guillotines and triangle chokes after takedown attempts from his opponent.
𝘼𝙡𝙡 𝙛𝙤𝙧 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙜𝙤𝙡𝙙 🔥@mousasi_mma vs. @JohnnyEblen for the Middleweight World Title is not to be missed!#Bellator282 | Friday, 9pm ET/6pm PT | @SHOsports pic.twitter.com/1uz2d101ym
— BellatorMMA (@BellatorMMA) June 23, 2022
You can see that Mousasi looks healthy and in shape, not losing any visible conditioning with his age.
MMA Breakdown for Mousasi vs Eblen
Gregard doesn’t allow for many slip ups. This knockout off the shot attempt shows his aggression and ground striking power. Mousasi has finished his last two via TKO, but more importantly, his methods of moving forward to manage distance will make it tough for Eblen to employ his wrestling.
“@mousasi_mma is one of the greatest!” 🤯
Do you agree❓
👑 The world middleweight champ defends his crown this Friday
📺 LIVE @BBCiPlayer from 23:00 BST #FridayFightNight #BBCMMA pic.twitter.com/0Fik3AnPQM
— BBC Sport (@BBCSport) June 23, 2022
Mousasi in top position makes anyone look to avoid grappling. His mount striking is second to none. Look at the short, sharp right hand that initiated this whole exchange. In the midst of a leg lock defense, Mousasi landed a surprising shot that stung his opponent, initiating the finish.
𝑲𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒐𝒇 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝑴𝒐𝒖𝒏𝒕𝒂𝒊𝒏 👑@mousasi_mma is on the hunt for his 5️⃣0️⃣th MMA win at #Bellator282!
The Bellator Middleweight World Title is on the line, Friday, June 24th live on @BBCiPlayer 🇬🇧 pic.twitter.com/wY0NtwQkRW
— Bellator Europe (@Bellator_Europe) June 16, 2022
Eblen employs some wild striking to finish opponents. This kind of head down and center combination punching isn’t going to fly against the champ. If Eblen hasn’t managed to develop an effective jab, he’s going to learn what decent counterpunching looks like.
10-0, on to the next 👊🏼 pic.twitter.com/rCCIDCVFaA
— 𝕋𝕙𝕖ℍ𝕦𝕞𝕒𝕟ℂ𝕙𝕖𝕒𝕥ℂ𝕠𝕕𝕖 (@JohnnyEblen) December 4, 2021
Here’s Mousasi against Salter, the fighter that Eblen defeated via decision. The Eblen fight with Salter was close and competitive, but Mousasi looked fresh and undamaged in the third round. Mousasi beat Salter in each round and it could have been stopped in the second.
Catchin' hands from "The Dreamcatcher" 🤜
Middleweight champ @mousasi_mma is ready for his next title defence at #Bellator282.
See him take on @JohnnyEblen, June 24th, on @BBCiPlayer 🇬🇧 pic.twitter.com/wefhGLT65T
— Bellator Europe (@Bellator_Europe) May 20, 2022
Bet the Mousasi Money line or Over 1.5 rounds if you believe Eblen is ready. iFrom where we’re sitting, Mousasi will be champ as long as he wants to be.
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