UFC Betting Pick: Ben Rothwell vs Marcin Tybura

Big Ben!

You gotta love the giant teddy bear.

The Wisconsin native will be 39 in a week and in January, will celebrate 20 years as a professional mixed martial artist.

Think about all of the different generations of fighters Ben has rubbed shoulders with, sparred with, rolled, wrestled, and fought!

Rothwell fought in the International Fight League where you had teams.

He went 9-0 in that promotion with 7 finishes.

He’s now 28-5 and Affliction MMA gives him the call.

Remember Affliction shirts?

What eyesores! I had two. Or three…

Anyways, Ben’s first fight with the short-lived Affliction promotion was against former UFC Heavyweight World Champion, Andrei Arlovski.

Speed kills as the Belarusian got him out of there with punches in the third round.

26-6 now, Ben was still one of the best heavyweight cage fighters in the world.

The UFC finally called and Ben was slated to fight a young 6-0 Mexican American fighter who formerly wrestled for Arizona State.

That’s okay, though.

The guy was only like 5’10”.

Cain Velasquez ever so rudely welcomed Rothwell to the UFC with a TKO early in the second round.

Ben alternated wins and losses for a bit and then went on a nice 4-0 run where he beat Brandon Vera and Alistair Overeem by TKO then submitted Matt Mitrione and shockingly, The Warmaster Josh Barnett.

Next, it was Junior Dos Santos, Blagoy Ivanov, and a rematch with Andrei Arlovski.

JDS smoked him bc speed kills.

I thought he won against Blagoy plus Ivanov makes it close with everyone he fights.

The fight with Andrei was the same story. Speed kills.

Since then, he has won two fights in a row over Stefan Struve and Ovince St Pruex.

His opponent this weekend, Poland’s Marcin Tybura is a well-rounded heavyweight fighter but with minimal power and a questionable chin.

The Pole is still a Pole, and at the end of the day, they are all strong and they all seem to hit hard.

Let’s look at some of the measurables for each fighter and note any major differences.

Ben Rothwell Marcin Tybura
Fight Record: 38-12 Fight Record: 19-6
Age: 39 Age: 35
Height: 6’4” Height: 6’3”
Reach: 80” Reach: 78”
From: Kenosha, Wisconsin From: Lodz, Poland
Fight Camp: Rothwell MMA Fight Camp: United Gym

The experience is what jumps off the screen for me here.

Marcin has been in there with some good fighters, though.

His biggest win came against Andrei Arlovski a few years ago.

After that fight, though, Marcin dropped 4 of his next 5 fights with his only victory coming against the ailing Stefan Struve.

He has won his last two fights though against Sergei Spivak and Maxim Grisham.

The former is kinda tall and skinny so Tybura could use his strength and the latter is primarily a striker, so the wrestling came in handy again.

Ben is tall but far from skinny.

He is also the better grappler than most any heavyweight on the roster.

He just lacks the explosiveness to get some of these big guys down.

Ben will get your neck if you leave it out there.

BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for us this week. Let’s look at those and make our pick for the UFC Heavyweight fight between Ben Rothwell and Marcin Tybura.

Moneyline

  • Ben Rothwell(-200)
  • Marcin Tybura (+139)
Round Total

  • Over 2.5 (-160)
  • Under 2.5 (+140)
Decision Prop

  • Fight goes (-130)
  • Fight doesn’t go (+100)

I think I love this line on Rothwell.

Okay, enough slow playing.

I really like this line.

The fight going to a decision is a likelihood, in my opinion, especially with this scrap being fought inside the large Octagon.

I think Marcin is going to be at a power disadvantage on the feet, though, which will lead to him maybe doing some panic wrestling.

Ben has that tremendous front headlock series and Tybura’s neck could be on the line.

Path to Victory

Ben Rothwell

I think he can win the striking exchanges from range.

He will need to be the front foot fighter, though, and not stay in kicking range.

Marcin is definitely the better guy throwing his legs but Rothwell does a pretty solid job of staying in his opponents’ faces and good luck getting off a decent kick with Big Ben bearing down on ya.

Land a few punches and as the Pole parallels with the fence, let go of a few more.

Then clinch and tick tock tick tock.

No, not the app.

Win some time against the cage and wear down the questionable cardio of Tybura.

Marcin Tybura

Kick and circle. Be quick and keep on your bike.

I don’t think he can walk down Ben.

If Marcin can be the aggressor then I think by all means, he should.

Good luck, though.

I recommend jabs, leg kicks, and lots of circling.

My Pick
Ben Rothwell

In Conclusion

This is not a low-level heavyweight fight, okay!

I know last week we put our faith in freaking Yorgan de Castro and paid the price.

I may never forgive myself for that one.

I like Ben Rothwell here.

If he was (-200) or more, then no way.

39 years old, 20 years of miles, nope.

He matches up well with his opponent and I think Ben takes 2 out of 3 from Tybura.

The books are telling us 6 out of 10 so we have a small edge.

One unit on BIg Ben for the win!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.