The BCF Lightweight Championship is on the line with two of the middle east’s ranked welterweights competing for the belt. The champion Amin Ayoub is a talented grappler and wrestler with newly steeled conditioning.
Ahmed Amir is a scrappy new lightweight hoping to make his mark before he ages out of any serious competition. We’re going over the stats, odds, past fights, and fighting style of each fighter and choosing a bet based on the full analysis.
Amin Ayoub vs Ahmed Amir Odds and Props
|Fighter||Moneylines and Payout per Dollar Wagered||Over/Under 2 1/2|
|Amin Ayoub||-350, $0.29||NA|
|Ahmed Amir||+275, $2.75||NA|
No prop bets are currently available in this fight.
Ahmed pays out plenty, but is there any chance of him winning? As we dig into the stats, we’ll determine if the risk is worth the payout.
Tale of the Tape for Amin Ayoub vs Ahmed Amir
|Amin Ayoub||Ahmed Amir|
|Loses by||4 Decisions||1 Decision 2 TKO|
Amin takes the height and age advantages. He’s won less and lost more fights, and we’ll dive into whether or not it was a different level of competition later.
It’s clear the submission game may play a factor, but I’m more concerned with Ahmed’s ability to avoid the knockout.
Amin Ayoub vs Ahmed Amir Recent Bouts
Amin has won his last five, and is on a nine fight winning streak.
Note that Amin has won six fights since the beginning of 2019. Ahmed’s last five span all the way back to 2018. It’s clear he’s taken plenty of time to find the right fights but that hasn’t served him. Amin has the momentum.
- Notable opponent’s for Amin include 10-2 Mashrabjon Ruziboev and 7-1 Ahmad Labban.
- Notable opponent’s for Ahmed include then 6-2, now 6-4 Erik Carlson.
After close examination of their records, Ahmed hasn’t fought near the opponent caliber of Amin.
Who’s The Better Fighter Between Amin Ayoub vs Ahmed Amir?
Amin Ayoub’s Fighting Style
Amin has crisp transitions between striking and grappling. He throws many salat or muay thai inspired strikes like spinning back kicks, and grounded shin strikes to the head.
When taken down, Amin likes to lay on his back and hunt for guard submissions. He’s quite successful, though I’d like to see him utilizing a technical stand up against stronger wrestlers or defensive BJJ players like Ahmed.
Ahmed Amir’s Fighting Style
Ahmed’s striking is unorthodox and unrefined. He’s not going to be outboxing Amin. He has solid body lock takedowns and often gets his submission wins from the top position.
He’s often too focused on passing guard to do good ground and pound damage, and when he’s on bottom position he holds on to mitigate damage rather than setting up sweeps. He will wrestle out of the bottom position when applicable.
He has serious heart, but that often means a fighter accumulates more punches early in their career. Remember that each beating you take causes your overall durability to drop.
Amin Ayoub vs Ahmed Amir Current Fight Camps
A final nail in the coffin for Ahmed Amir is that Amin’s fight camp is Bulgarian Top Team.
Ahmed is training out of Saracens team. It’s a great team of new fighters. They’ve produced eight fighters total, and may have something down the road. It’s currently not competitive at the highest levels.
It’s clear that Amir is the more talented fighter. Ahmed could win at this new weight class. He was far too small for welterweight and was often outsized by opponents with a major reach and height advantage.