Hey guys, we are back this week with another installment of UFC betting picks for Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. This show has really come a long way as far as just good TV. I think it’s great for the sport, particularly the fans.
This is why the UFC started The Ultimate Fighter reality show. They wanted to give us some personalities to go along with what were just names at that point to 98% of viewers. Hey, you have probably heard the story already.
The last couple of weeks on the Contender Series have just been must-see TV. Two weeks ago, I believe just about every fighter on the show had a very difficult childhood.
Laura Sanko interviews the fighters after they go to war and she is the best I’ve ever seen do it in MMA. Listening to her speak, I thought, wow, she really knows her stuff and just the nuances that are missed by so many she was all over it.
And she isn’t a machine either. I think she welled up with tears several times. Turns out, she used to fight. 4-1 as an amateur and 1-0 in Invicta as a professional! She does an incredible job.
After the tearjerker episode two weeks ago, we had two brothers go out and get finishes along with UFC contracts.
We also hit on heavyweight Josh Parisian at a very affordable (-150) as he dominated Chad Johnson getting him out of there with ground and pound from the mount.
We would have had a clean sweep if not for Kevin Syler who needs to work on his body.
By having probably 10 extra pounds of fat, he allowed himself to be overpowered by a less skilled fighter and Syler’s striking had zero pop on it.
He not only figuratively looked flat out there but he also literally looked flat as in not enough muscle. The bad part is he didn’t have a bigger frame, so rough night and a mistake on my part.
We are doing very well betting the Contender Series this year, though. We are 2-1 betting on slight favorites, 1-0 on parlays, and 1-1 on the underdogs.
This week appears to be a little more straightforward.
BetOnline.AG has the UFC betting odds for the fight. Let’s take a look at those and make our predictions for Season 4 Week 4 of Dana White’s Contender Series.
Collin Huckbody + Anthony Romero: +145
Collin “The Young Huck” Huckbody may not be the most creative fighter on paper… Nothing against his style of fighting, just commenting on his nickname.
Collin is a 7-2 fighter originally fighting out of Minnesota but currently under the guise and leadership of the famed Jackson/Wink Academy in the fighting city of Albuquerque, New Mexico.
A 6’3” Middleweight with a wrestling base can be a problem and Huckbody’s last four opponents understand that quite well
After a 3-2 start including a loss to UFC fighter Bevon Lewis, The Young Huck has rattled off 4 in a row and finished his last two wins via arm triangle.
He is big and a very strong grappler training out of a great camp that knows how to lead their fighters to round and fight wins.
His opponent, Kyron Bowen, has also experienced a resurgence after a rough start to his professional career. After dropping 4 of his first 6 fights, Kyron Bowen has strung together 7 consecutive victories.
- What is really impressive here is that all 7 of those wins came by way of stoppage.
- What isn’t really impressive here is that the combined record when he fought them of those 7 opponents is 36-40.
I believe this one is an open and shut case.
Collin appears to be the superior grappler from watching tape and reading so I’m going to take him to either get the decision win or possibly a submission if his Kyron gets squirrely.
Anthony Romero might be the best fighter on this card.
Like TJ Laramie a couple of weeks ago, Anthony Romero is a highly-touted prospect coming out of possibly the friendliest country in the world, Canada.
About 10 years ago, it seemed like the UFC was packed full of talent from north of the border. There was, of course, the legendary Georges “Safe” Pierre who somehow managed to go without a finish for 5, count’em, 5 years of his PRIME.
That’s not quite the 16-0 with 14 finishes run Anderson Silva went on when he joined the UFC but hey, the GOAT is the GOAT for a reason.
I can keep going if you like. No? Okay, well I guess I digress then.
Anthony Romero, fighting out of Ontario at the powerful Para Bellum gym, looks like he is going to be a force. His nickname is “The Genius”. That is kinda scary, really.
Our sole week one pick for the Contender Series this season, Jordan Leavitt, is one of the smartest guys I’ve ever trained with and I know how much of a game changer brain power can be. You always hear about fight IQ which is something completely different than intelligence.
Going back to his ammy days, Romero has now won 15 consecutive fights and is 7-0 as a professional. Remember the record of Kyron Bowen’s last 7 opponents, 36-40?
Anthony’s 7 pro opponents are 19-5. The kid is just 23-years-old too! 5-11 is a good height for Lightweight too.
He started his amateur career one week after turning 18. 5 years and 15 wins later, the kid is getting his shot at the UFC.
Standing in his way is the dangerous Mike Breeden who trains at Glory MMA near KC with James Krause. After going just 3-4 as an ammy in the Kansas City circuit, Mike turned pro at the age of 28.
After running through 4 guys with a combined record of 0-1, Mike dropped 2 of 3 fights and has now won 3 in a row. He is 3-1 in LFA which is probably the best mixed martial arts promotion in the US besides the UFC and Bellator.
Breeden is dangerous but his skill set has limited him in his career.
Pick: Romero + Huckbody
There you have it, guys.
Let’s keep building on the wins we have had each week of Dana White’s Contender Series in Season 4.
This parlay pays very well at (+145).
Get after it soon, though, because favorites who are expected to win and whose betting odds are (-150) to (-200) usually lose value the closer we get to fight time.
If you just want to do straight picks this week, that’s perfectly fine.
I just really like the payout we can get here.
My most confident pick is Huckbody even though Romero might be a much better prospect.
I say this because Mike Breeden is a very dangerous guy and his fight with “The Genius” might play out on the feet. I believe Huckbody will have a much safer path to victory.
Enjoy the show, guys!