We’re ready to make our final pick for Lemos vs Andrade. We’re taking a close look at the stats and odds, as well as the styles of both fighters. We’re also offering a couple last minute prop betting options from Bovada, a top MMA betting site. Betting for Lemos vs Andrade, the main event for UFC Fight Night 205, closes at 11:45 PM ET on April, 23rd 2022.
Top MMA Pick for Lemos vs Andrade
‘Fight Doesn’t go to Decision’ is a prop that pays out at -220. It matches the Andrade money line while aligning with the majority of UFC bouts for both fighters. We’re expecting a KO regardless of who comes out on top. Lemos is too dangerous to bet against, and Andrade has all the tools to do what Leslie Smith did to Lemos in 2017.
Tale of the Tape for Lemos vs Andrade
|Fighter||Amanda Lemos||Jessica ‘Bate Estaca’ Andrade|
|Reach/Stance||65’’ Southpaw||62’’ Orthodox|
|Submissions/TKO in UFC||1/2||2/5|
|Fighter Training Camp||Marajo Brothers Team||Parana Vale Tudo|
|Sub/TKO UFC losses||0/1||2/3|
Lemos has been finished in her only loss and Andrade has been knocked out three times, twice within the last five fights and three years of competition. I think Andrade is getting easier to finish, and she ends up rocked at least once in the majority of performances over the last seven. Lemos is on the rise, but Andrade has more knockouts at the UFC level than any opponent to date, including Leslie, who finished her in 2017.
Betting on Andrade discounts Lemos’ power, and betting on Lemos discounts Andrade’s strength from top position.
UFC Fight Night 205 Betting Odds for Lemos vs Andrade
|Bet Available at Betonline.ag||Odds|
|Lemos Money Line||+175|
|Andrade Money Line||-220|
|Over 2 ½ Rounds||-150|
|Under 2 ½ Rounds||+115|
|Over 3 ½ Rounds||Even|
|Under 3 ½ Rounds||-130|
|Andrade by Points||+250|
|Andrade by TKO||+225|
|Lemos by TKO||+400|
|Lemos by Points||+475|
|Andrade Inside the Distance||+140|
|Lemos Inside the Distance||+225|
|Fight Completes 2 Full Rounds||-175|
|Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance||-220|
|Andrade by TKO or Submission||+130|
|Lemos by TKO or Decision||+175|
The Andrade Money line has moved -20 points since Monday. She’s an even stronger favorite, reducing the payout to $45 per $100 wagerd. For a full betting odds history, check out our full card coverage.
Lemos by TKO or Decision is a prop bet for fans of Lemos, who is highly unlikely to get a submission win. However, it currently matches her money line but may move as the fight approaches.
MMA Betting Analysis for Lemos vs Andrade
The stalking style of Lemos puts her in danger of Andrade counter takedown work. Lemos will walk forward and swing at all costs, including offering up counters. Andrade’s slams can be devastating and I expect fireworks from both fighters.
Check out Lemos’ counter work, which is fantastic if she can get fighters to engage with her.
— ??ZEN??????? (@andstill_andnew) April 22, 2022
Both fighters are willing to move forward to be the aggressor. If Lemos is overly aggressive, she’ll end up on her back. If Andrade moves forward, she risks check hooks and counter knees. It’s a tough puzzle for both fighters.
Saturday we go again ?
— UFC Canada (@UFC_CA) April 18, 2022
Bet ‘Fight Goes the Distance, No” at -220 for the UFC Fight Night 205 main event, Lemos vs Andrade.
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!