UFC 275’s highly anticipated main event between Glover Teixeira and Jiri Prochazka is just a day away. There are 19 betting markets and lines have moved only slightly since early in the week. We’re taking a second look at the fight to offer lucrative alternatives and a deep dive into our top betting pick
How to Watch and Bet on Teixeira vs Prochazka
UFC 275 is PPV only but can be purchased through ESPN+. Jiri vs Teixeira airs June 11th, 2022 at 11:45 PM ET. Bet on the fight by clicking any of our Place Bet buttons, linking you to our top MMA betting site for the bout.
Top Betting Pick for Teixeira vs Prochazka
Our top betting pick is the no decision prop bet at -600. Jiri hasn’t been tested enough in the UFC to be sure he’s ready for the title. Glover is a surprising fighter, and few can handle his grappling skill in the late rounds. His consistently underrated striking power could offer a knockout that no one sees coming. The No Decision prop pays $16.67 per $100 wager. This bet is down from -485 earlier in the week, so get your bets in now before it peaks!
Top pick for Glover Teixeira Odds and Predictions
If you’re betting on Glover consider the money line bet at +166 or his TKO/Submission prop bet finish at +255. I’d prefer the lower paying money line. If anyone takes home the decision, it will be Glover. The veteran fighter has better submission work and more upsets than any contender in the division.
Top pick for Jiri Prochazka Odds and Predictions
The Jiri Prochazka knockout prop pays out at -165, a $60.61 payout per $100 wagered. He is a consistent knockout striker on a nine fight finishing streak. Jiri has never been one to focus on submission finishes, and his money line or decision win would be a rare for this fighter that leaves it all out there, fighting every single round as if it’s the last.
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Tale of the Tape for Glover Teixeira vs Jiri Prochazka
| Fighter | Glover Teixeira | Jiri “BJP, Denisa” Prochazka |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 42 | 29 |
| Height | 6’2’’ | 6’4’’ |
| Reach/Stance | 76’’ Orthodox | 80’’ Orthodox |
| Record | 33-7 | 28-3-1 |
| Submissions/TKO in Career | 10/18 | 2/25 |
| Sub/TKO losses in Career | 0/3 | 1/2 |
| Fighter Training Camp | Teixeira MMA and Fitness | Jetsaam Gym BRNO |
Glover’s last bout with a fighter this much bigger than him was Corey Anderson. In bouts where the opponent is much larger than him in both height and reach, Glover tends to fall short. These fighters include Anderson, Gustaffson, and Jon Jones.
There will be fireworks 🔥
Glover Teixeira 🆚 Jiri Prochazka for the light-heavyweight title in our main event!#UFC275 | Saturday | BT Sport 1HD pic.twitter.com/ER2vZR0uxa
— UFC on BT Sport (@btsportufc) June 10, 2022
UFC Stat Comparison for Teixeira vs Prochazka Betting
| UFC Stats | Glover Stats | Jiri Stats |
| Significant Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.72 | 7.19 |
| Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.83 | 6.8 |
| Takedown Accuracy and Defensive Percentage | 39%, 60% | 100%, 50% |
| UFC Record | 19-6 | 2-0 |
Jiri rarely uses the takedown, but look at the 6.8 strikes absorbed. Jiri’s style creates significant openings and his opponents do land shots. In two bouts, Jiri absorbed 104 significant strikes in just 15:19 of total ring time.
Glover has a lower takedown accuracy than Jiri’s defense, but only because of the massive number of fantastic wrestlers he’s been up against. Expect Glover to secure the takedown, and that fact should affect your Teixeira vs Prochazka betting pick.
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Teixeira vs Prochazka Betting Odds
| Fighter | Teixeira Bet | Prochazka Bet |
| Money Line Odds | +166 | -210 |
| Win by Submission | +300 | +2500 |
| Win by TKO | +800 | -165 |
| Win by Points | +650 | +675 |
| Draw | +6600 | +6600 |
Jiri is a weak favorite, but Glover has historically upset weak favorites. Strong favorites like Jon Jones blast Glover out of the water. Weak favorites under +200 like Misha Cirkunov, Thiago Santos, and Anthoney Smith were each upset by Glover.
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Teixeira vs Prochazka Round Betting and Over/Under Odds
| Round | Over/Yes Bet | Under/No Bet |
| 1.5 | -135 | +105 |
| 2.5 | +170 | -225 |
| 3.5 | +230 | -325 |
| 4.5 | +300 | -450 |
| Goes the Distance | +335 | -600 |
These odds have moved marginally, +5 to -15 points since Monday. We still feel the under bets and ‘goes the distance, no’ prop bets are your best choices. Jiri’s dedication to fast and furious fights will open him up to Glover’s surprise knockouts and submissions, or will crush the aging champion.
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Teixeira vs Prochazka Special Prop Bets (Bovada Only)
| Bet | Odds |
| Glover to Have a Takedown in Round 1 | -161 |
| Gloveer to have 2 or More takedowns | -137 |
| Each Fighter to Have 1 or More Takedowns | -110 |
| Jiri to Win by KO in 1,2 or 3 | +110 |
| Jiri Takedown in Round 1 | +220 |
| Glover to Have a Knockdown | +400 |
| Glove to win in First 30 seconds of Round 1 | +4500 |
| Jiri by Submission in Round 4 or 5 | +12500 |
Glover to score 1 Takedown is our top Teixeira vs Prochazka special prop bet. He scores an average of 2.11 per fifteen minutes, and has scored no fewer than one per fight over his last four bouts. Aggressive fighters like Jared Cannonier were met with multiple attempts early, totally three successes in one fight. The Teixeira vs Prochaska odds can be bet on the same ticket, even parlaying the special prop bets and other prop bets for the fight!
Teixeira vs Prochazka Prediction MMA Breakdown
Prochazka is an interesting fighter. His training methodology isn’t normal, and he has the kind of supranatural self belief we see in other champs like Ronda Rousey and Connor McGreggor. Short lived, yes, but effective in their own right.
Can @Jiri_BJP take that Samurai spirit all the way to the belt?! 🏆
📺 Watch Teixeira vs Procházka this Saturday at #UFC275 pic.twitter.com/wJQdCqL8bM
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) June 9, 2022
When Prochazka is in the zone, his head movement picks up. He rarely blocks shots, and for Glover this is a boon. Glover likes to tie up to wear on fighters and punch out of clinch breaks when it’s tougher to pull off ducks in rolls like this.
This weekend the samurai can become a King //\\ #UFC275 #Prochazka #Teixeira pic.twitter.com/AyfngFho4v
— Erimus Sports (@ErimusSports) June 10, 2022
Here’s Glover baiting Bader into throwing combinations in his range. He can’t box, but he can brawl. The champion lands shots that don’t look like they’ll knock fighters out, but he finds the chin with surprising accuracy.
Back against the cage, dangerous as ever 😤
[ @GloverTeixeira | #UFC275 | Saturday | Live on ESPN+ PPV: https://t.co/IEu8bU0BAa ] pic.twitter.com/NkcIYOuyhn
— UFC (@ufc) June 9, 2022
We chose a bet that believes in the champion and his skill. Glover isn’t easily put away, and Jiri comes to every fight with the same strategy, a finish and a blinding pace. Teixeira may be the first man to poke holes in that approach in a long time.
The LHW champ @GloverTeixeira 𝑯𝑰𝑻𝑺 𝑳𝑰𝑲𝑬 𝑨 𝑻𝑹𝑼𝑪𝑲 👊💥
[ #UFC275 | B2YB @BattleMotors | #HitsLikeATruck #BattleTough #EVTRUCK ] pic.twitter.com/SffQpEXqbR
— UFC (@ufc) June 7, 2022
Bet the Fight Goes to Decision, NO prop bet at -600.
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