gravatar

UFC 179 Picks: Aldo vs. Mendes II

UFC 179 will be hosted at the Maracanazinho Gymnasium in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Aldo and Mendes will be meeting in a rematch in the main event for the UFC Featherweight title. Tune in to PPV to catch on the fights on Saturday night.

The main event and the co-main event both are going to be interesting fights, but the rest of the main card isn’t overly exciting and that may hurt PPV numbers. A lot of Brazilian fighters are on the card though and I’m sure they’ll showcase their talents.

5Dimes UFC Betting
Bet on UFC 179 at 5Dimes!

UFC 179 Main Event Picks

  • Jose Aldo (24-1) –210 vs. Chad Mendes (16-1) +190

Jose Aldo beat Chad Mendes back in 2012 at UFC 142, but this rematch will be much better. Aldo won by KO in the first round in the opening fight, but that won’t happen. I actually like Mendes to win and I think his odds should be much shorter.

Mendes knows that he can’t come into this fight looking to stand and bang with Aldo. Aldo has a decisive edge in striking, but I look for Mendes to take this fight to the mat. Aldo isn’t good on the ground and Mendes has good enough wrestling to win this fight.

UFC 179 Main Card Picks

  • Glover Teixeira (22-3) –320 vs. Phil Davis (12-2-0-1) +290

Some people may look at these odds and think they’re out whack, but that’s not the case. Teixeira has a strong ground game and he has great takedown defense. That’ll basically eliminate the wrestling of Davis, which means that Davis is in big trouble.

Teixeira is better on his feet and he’s an active striker that will punish Davis in the stand-up. Davis has never been finished in his career, so I feel the best bet is on Teixeira by decision (+121). Davis will hang tough, but Teixeira will out strike Davis and win.

  • Fabio Maldonado (21-7) –115 vs. Hans Stringer (22-5-3) +105

I’m surprised that the odds in this fight are as low as they are. Maldonado is far from a world-beater. He lost to Miocic by TKO in his last fight, but he had won three in a row before that. Hans Stringer is 1-0 in the UFC, but his debut wasn’t convincing.

He beat Barroso by split decision, but Maldonado is a much better opponent and I’m definitely on the favorite. Stringer isn’t a big threat to take this fight to the ground. Maldonado is extremely active in the stand-up and he’ll win by TKO/KO or decision.

  • Darren Elkins (17-4) –180 vs. Lucas Martins (15-1) +168

Lucas Martins is a live underdog on the main card and I’ll be backing the Brazilian to get the win in his home country. Elkins may be a bigger household name, but Martins is tough. Martins is 3-1 in the UFC and he has won his last three fights all by stoppage.

He’s only 25 years old and he’s still entering his prime as a fighter, which is scary. Elkins lost to Jeremy Stephens in his last fight and he’s 1-2 in his last three. Elkins has been knocked out twice before and I expect that to happen for the third time.

  • Carlos Ferreira (11-0) –210 vs. Beneil Dariush (8-1) +190

Beneil Dariush is 2-1 in the UFC and all of his fights have ended by stoppage. I just don’t see him being able to hang around in this fight against Carlos Ferreira. Dariush has poor stand-up defense and Ferreira will pick him apart in the striking department.

Ferreira also had good wrestling. Dariush may be able to land a takedown or two in this fight, but Ferreira will likely be able to land multiple takedowns as well. Ferreira averages 2.00 TD’s per 15 minutes and he has landed every takedown attempt in the UFC.