UFC 250 Betting Pick: Amanda Nunes vs Felicia Spencer

If you have taken a look at the betting lines lately, you are probably wondering what the heck am I gonna try to do with this fight? I don’t think it is a complete lock for Amanda, though.

Her opponent, Felicia Spencer, has a clear path to victory. She has gone the distance and taken a great deal of punishment from Cris Cyborg.

That tells us she can likely take some if not all of what The Lioness is going to throw her way. Maybe.

Amanda Nunes has put away the toughest women in the world. I just have a funny feeling that Felicia Spencer might be able to pull off the upset.

It’s not likely but Amanda has gassed before but has been able to take her opponents down and rest in their guard. She may be able to do the same to Felicia.

I don’t know but the game plan for Amanda is expected to be spiral and brawl. Keep Spencer on the end of her punches as she has done so well in the past.

For Felicia, she needs to take this fight into deep waters. She has an excellent rear naked choke and I can see Amanda possibly giving her back if she needs to stand up off the bottom.

If Amanda is tired and Spencer is on top or has taken the back, Nunes is in trouble.

Make no mistake. Spencer is a solid fighter with a fairly high ceiling. She is the best UFC female fighter at 145 pounds not named Amanda Nunes.

Let’s take a look at the betting odds and maybe a few props for this one. The online sportsbook BetOnline.AG has the goods for us this week. They always come through. I love using that sportsbook. And you can even live bet fights now.

Here goes.

Amanda Nunes (-625) vs Felicia Spencer (+450)

Round Total

OVER 2.5
-125
UNDER 2.5
-105

What are we supposed to do with this? Bet Felicia? I have been smelling the upset for over a week now.

If it wasn’t for Amanda being with such an elite professional fight gym at American Top Team, I might go with Felicia but it’s hard to bet against ATT and darn near impossible to bet successfully against Amanda The Lioness Nunes.

I saw a lot of my colleagues going with the over 2.5 rounds but I can’t find those betting lines anymore. We can go over 1.5 but at (-190), ugh.

Fight goes to a decision pays 2 to 1. That’s not bad I guess. I know some friends on that line as well.

Amanda is usually a 1 or 5 round fighter. She doesn’t have many fights end in between those rounds. She gets the early kill or she typically cruises as she did vs Racquel Pennington and Germain de Randamie.

I don’t know if it will be in the first couple of rounds or not but I think she gets the finish over Felicia Spencer. I know. I said I smelled an upset.

If you guys want to throw a 20 spot on Spencer, you will make close to 100 bucks if she wins. The best line available, though, I think, is the Nunes wins inside the distance betting line I found over at 5dimes.eu.

Let’s go with that one. We can throw 20 on the FeeNom just for the fun of it and potential future bragging rights as well.

My Pick
Nunes Wins Inside Distance

In Conclusion

The main event isn’t the main event we all hoped and there are no other title fights on the card but that’s okay. The betting lines tell the story of a major mismatch but I don’t really see it that way.

Felicia Spencer is EXTREMELY CONFIDENT. I know that we can say that about a lot of fighters because without supreme confidence, you’re in the wrong business.

Amanda Nunes is the greatest women’s fighter in the UFC not named Valentina Shevchenko. But Nunes beat… It was a bad decision and Shev is a lot smaller, so… Anyways, this fight will be fun. I could see it ending early and this one could also play out in the later rounds.

The longer it goes, though, the more the fight favors the challenger.

Get your bets in now because I think this line will get more expensive the closer we get to the fight. I think the moneyline is capped out.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.