UFC 250 Betting Pick: Chase Hooper vs Alex Caceres

Long live the long and lean!

Not an ounce of fat will walk into the Octagon on Saturday night when these two noodles intertwine. Not an ounce of muscle will take part in this slim jim slap fest either.

Just bones, brains, and heart. Those three are more important in fighting than the previous two in my opinion.

You may be familiar with Alex Caceres or “Bruce Leroy” as the tall skinny striker with the rad hairstyle. I have the same frame so I feel like I can relate to both of these guys.

More so Alex because he is a better striker than grappler but I’m a little short on athleticism. Caceres can do some beautiful things in a mixed martial arts fight. He is kinda like Anderson Silva in that way.

The Spider always said that his #1 goal in fighting wasn’t to win every round or even every fight. It was to do something that nobody has done before. A true artist.

I love watching Caceres fight. He’s a gamer and even though he gets taken down a lot by stronger guys with a much stronger center of gravity, he never quits attacking from his back or trying to stand up.

It can be quite frustrating when every time you go to throw a meaningful strike, some 5’6” bull spears you in your bird chest with his watermelon head.

That’s why I stuck with Muay Thai and Jiu Jitsu.

So, Caceres is pretty skinny. Chase Hooper, though, makes him look like Big Country Nelson.

Chase is 6’1 and 145 pounds. That boy has nothing on him.

This was his fight on Dana White’s Contender Series. Definitely watch the whole thing.

BetOnline.AG always has some of the best odds on the market. They do live betting for UFC events as well. They are the best right now! Let’s get to our predictions for the fight between Chase Hooper and Alex Caceres.

Chase Hooper (-177) vs Alec Caceres (+153)

Chase Hooper

  • Hooper’s striking is possibly the worst we have ever seen in the UFC
  • He is very tough, though, and will walk through punches to secure the clinch and a potential takedown
  • It’s hard to say how good his BJJ really is
  • He didn’t even submit Daniel Teymur in his only UFC fight
  • He did TKO the Swede with strikes on the ground but it was volume not power
  • That kid is so freaking relentless, though… They’re using the small 25-foot Octagon also which will benefit the uber-aggressive Hooper

Alec Caceres

  • Alex Caceres does have shoddy takedown defense of 58%. That’s not that bad?
  • Hooper is going to attempt 30 takedowns in this fight if he needs to
  • I would imagine that Alex has pretty solid submission defense after fighting in the UFC for an entire decade
  • He has an excellent striking but he is at his best when he is free with his strikes
  • Hooper being the alleged better grappler and easily more aggressive, Alex may not be so free with his shots
  • Bruce Leroy will need to lower his level slightly, get on his bike and when it’s time to throw, land with combinations
  • I don’t think it’s a good idea for him to main use the jab and outpoint the aggressive inept striker
  • Caceres doesn’t have one-punch knockout power but he does have shins, knees, and elbows. When the “Teenage Dream” charges, Alex will need to unload

How many times does Chase beat Alex if they fight 10 times, I want to say 6. That is right where the betting odds are sitting so we don’t really have an edge here.

  • He is just so relentless with his takedown attempts and the company likes him. Hooper has already taken the mic and has a little show on Fight Pass.
  • He’s a well-spoken dude and I think it’s great for the sport when kids who may have been or will be bullied to see an unassuming guy like Chase Hooper kick somebody’s butt.

I do believe Alex will piece him up for a minute but Chase is never going to stop trying for the takedown unless the ref steps in.

He will even pull guard and as a fellow not that strong tall skinny guy, being inside of someone’s guard isn’t our best position.

We can’t use our long legs and we don’t have strong enough grip and posture to keep guys from breaking our posture. Maybe I just suck but it makes sense anatomically.

These betting odds opened with Alex Caceres as the favorite at (-120). My first instinct was Hooper would get him down and probably tap him out. Alex doesn’t have the power to keep the kid off of him.

Then I went back and watched Hooper’s fights and, my word, his striking is atrocious. There is no way on earth that there is a larger gap in skill between these two on the mat than it is standing.

Caceres is a good striker. There’s a reason why he has been taken down so much in his career.

Now, I’m thinking this one is more like 50/50. I can feel the company push for the other guy. That’s pretty obvious.

If you can’t decide on a winner, then you have to go with the underdog, right? No. I will be betting the under in this fight. The under 2.5 rounds is (-145).

No, neither man has a lot of power but the differences in skills both on the feet and on the ground coupled with the fact that both guys are action fighters who don’t mind going out on their shield, and you have some solid reasoning behind the under.

My Pick
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS

In Conclusion

UFC 250 sure came together well, didn’t it? I remember it was just a couple of weeks ago when they only had 3 fights announced.

The main event is kinda weak with Amanda Nunes being a massive favorite and all but the rest of the card doesn’t disappoint and even has a theme. Bantamweights! The 135ers make up almost half of the fight card with 5 high-level contests on the night.

Picking this one is tough, guys.

We haven’t seen what Chase Hooper can do against a sharp striking UFC vet with footwork as good as Alex’s. Even if the youngin’ makes it ugly and gets the fight to the ground, then what?

Jiu-Jitsu isn’t Bruce Leroy’s strength by any means but he has been a professional mixed martial artist for over a decade. I’m not sold on Hooper’s wrestling.

Caceres will have to time his punches well and be accurate to hurt the kid. Will he? Ugh, that’s hard to say considering he has never stopped anyone by strikes.

He does have several submission victories on his record, though.

I think this one will hit the ground early much like the fight this past weekend when Tim Elliott and Brandon Royval squirmed around so much that one fell into a submission.

Both guys have small necks and even smaller arms. Something’s got to give.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.