UFC 255 Betting Pick: Deiveson Figueiredo vs Cody Garbrandt

Less than 4 years ago, Cody Garbrandt was sitting atop the UFC Bantamweight Division after humiliating Dominick Cruz to win the belt.

Nobody had ever made Cruz look so bad.

That was Dominick’s job, dancing, and styling on his opponents.

Well, he got a taste of his own hot sauce when Cody Garbrandt beat him.

Dom wasn’t knocking people out, though, so no rematch was set after Cody won the belt.

The heartthrob from Ohio who now called Sacramento went on to lose his next 3 fights.

Urijah and the boys over at Team Alpha Male did put a lot of pressure on Cody to beat TJ even if they didn’t mean to.

It was only natural with all the beef they had.

Cody almost beat TJ in their first fight but Dillashaw was saved by the bell.

TJ got the TKO win in the 2nd and finished Cody in the first round of their rematch.

These two losses were devastating to Garbrandt for so many reasons.

  • He let down his entire team of probably hundreds of members.
  • It was the first two losses of his short career and it was to his mortal enemy.

That is tough and the fans let him have it too.

Cody was only 26 at the time.

Next up, he fought a guy who he could have definitely beaten.

Pedro Munhoz can crack but he doesn’t have nearly the same level of speed and technique to his boxing as Cody does.

You can throw all of that out the back window, though.

When Cody got hurt, he would revert back to his angsty teenage years that led to all of those tattoos and start swinging from the hip.

Pedro caught him and many fans and even members of the media were writing Cody off for good.

Some extended time off and a change of fight camps to Mark Henry’s in New Jersey to train alongside the legendary Frankie Edgar was exactly what the young man needed.

He fought Raphael Assuncao next and was being as patient as he could out-boxing the Brazilian.

Raphy wanted to push it at the end of a round, though, and Garbrandt already had him measured.

Assuncao was slept and Cody got his confidence back.

There were critics who still weren’t impressed but Garbrandt didn’t let that get to him.

He is still young.

And he is a natural 125er.

So, let’s go down a weight class where you might not have quite the speed advantage you did at Bantamweight but the boost in power relative to the weight class should more than make up for it.

They’re gonna give us a world title fight in our first contest at Flyweight?

Okay!

Deiveson Figueiredo is waiting patiently.

He just put away longtime UFC Flyweight staple Joe Benavidez two times in a row.

Fig has never looked better.

You would assume that Fig is the favorite here because he is established in the weight class and is the champ, of course.

The fight isn’t for another couple of months but I wanted to get on this number before it decreases in value.

BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for this matchup.

And NEW?

Or And STILL?

Let’s pick a winner!

Deiveson Figueiredo (-230) vs Cody Garbrandt (+200)

Fight goes to a decision:
+395
Fight does not go to a decision:
-425

Well, it looks like the sportsbooks are predicting a knockout.

This will be 5 rounds so take that into account if you have any wild ideas for chasing the plus money there.

If it was a 3 round fight, I can see it possibly going to a decision. It would still be plus money but that is a number I might still play if it’s good enough.

It is hard to say who is going to have the power advantage between these two fighters.

  • Cody will be faster, though.
  • Fig is not the quickest guy ever.
  • He has good striking technique, power of course, but it’s his timing that helps the most.
  • The Brazilian is also pretty big for weight .
  • Cody will be 3 inches taller but still have a reach disadvantage of the same distance.
  • Deiveson is longer in the arms and slower.

This means Cody should get to the inside and rip short hooks, not the ones that come all the way from Kalamazoo.

If he can put his forehead in the chest of his opponent, Fig will not have the leverage to land with any kind of force while Garbrandt will be directly in the wheelhouse.

The big concern here is Cody keeping his composure.

I don’t have any doubts at all that he can out-strike almost anyone at 125 and 135. It isn’t just his boxing either. No Love’s all around Muay Thai game is not that bad.

He does have short limbs, though, which can get you in trouble against a long-armed powerhouse like Deiveson.

That’s another reason I like the pocket for Cody in this matchup.

He is going to have to stay composed, though.

I just said that, didn’t I?

Well, that’s it.

I think I made my point about Garbrandt.

As far as the betting odds go, I think he has great value.

I think this fight is much closer to a pick’em than the way it is lined right now.

I don’t think Garbrandt’s betting odds are going to get north of (+200) so we might as well jump on them right now.

My Pick
Cody Garbrandt!

In Conclusion

Cody Garbrandt deserved every bit of hype he got when he was rewarded a title shot with Dominick Cruz.

That was a lot of fame and money that came pretty darn fast.

I remember meeting him at a Combate Americas show in Burbank when I was there cornering around the time he beat Cruz and he was getting absolutely mobbed.

I saw him at Greens and Proteins in Las Vegas where you can see celebs every day if you like but he was stuck signing autographs for an hour there too.

It was a lot of everything that came very quickly.

Then he had to not only take control over his personal life but after he lost his next three fights, Cody had to reinvent himself as a fighter.

He did this or should I say is doing this still at the highest level of the sport.

Deiveson Figueiredo is waiting, though, patiently.

The brash Brazilian would love nothing more than to split Garbrandt’s head like a coconut.

I can’t wait for this world title fight!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.