UFC Lightweight World Title Fight! Michael Chandler vs Charles Oliveira

Many people thought the world title should have been decided by the Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier rematch that just took place or perhaps in their rubber match which is now on the UFC schedule.

Conor and Dustin did both give Khabib the hardest time out of his other challengers like Justin Gaethje who just looked terrible on the feet and even worse on the mat.

I guess after Dustin beat Conor in the rematch with the calf kicks, he had a choice to fight for the world title or take the red panty night and go for 2 out of 3 against the Irishman. I think he made the right choice.

At this point in his career, Dustin cares more about taking care of his family than he does his ego and all the glory of winning a world title. I’m not saying he doesn’t want it and I don’t know the monetary difference between his two choices but I think he made the right call.

Money should be the goal of all of these guys. I know you or someone you know may like to sit at home with their remote in their hand and say that these guys should always put honor and glory above all.

Look, they are risking their lives in there and at any point if they aren’t already, permanently damaged from repeated blows to the head.

If they want to wall n stall, lay n pray, or pull a Derrick Lewis vs Francis Ngannou and have a 15-minute staring contest, that’s perfectly fine!

I can’t tell these guys how to make their money.

I do not believe we are going to have to worry about any stalling tactics from either Michael Chandler or Charles Oliveira in their world title fight coming up at UFC 262 in a couple of months.

Charles Oliveira has rattled off 8 consecutive wins inside of the Octagon with 7 of them coming by way of stoppage. He rarely sees the judges’ scorecards. This goes for his losses as well, though.

Oliveira is a different fighter than he used to be for sure. He used to cut a lot of weight to fight down at 145 and I think it was hurting him more than helping. Since he is very lanky, he was at a speed disadvantage against a lot of opponents at Featherweight.

Just like Charlie has finished 7 of his last 8, he has been finished in 7 of his 8 defeats. That is not a good sign even though he has improved so much. You have to wonder that maybe Oliveira isn’t as much of a dog as some of his peers.

  • Oliveira doesn’t have a lot of come from behind wins in his professional mixed martial arts career. He is usually losing and loses or winning and wins. There hasn’t been a lot of in between for the guy.
  • Michael Chandler is just making his second ever appearance inside of the Octagon when he fights Charles for the lightweight world title at UFC 262. Chandler is not short on high level experience, though, as he has been training at Sanford MMA for years now with the likes of Gilbert Burns and Kamaru Usman.

I can’t think of two better sparring partners for Michael except they are kinda big for him.

Let’s take a look at the opening betting odds for this fight provided to us by the good folks over at BetOnline.AG and then make a prediction on either a winner or perhaps a round total.

Charles Oliveira (-155) vs Michael Chandler (+135)

I was a little surprised at this betting line at first and seeing how much it has moved after being open just a few days is astounding.

The Brazilian opened up as a (-178) favorite which is kind of high, in my opinion, and it appears that the sharp bettors felt the same way. Soon, Do Bronx was a (+135) underdog only to get back down to (-155).

I know what Michael Chandler was able to do to Dan The Hangman Hooker is pretty darn impressive but there is a good reason Charles Oliveira is the favorite. Well, there is more than one reason.

Here’s 8.

These are Charles’s latest victims. Wow, the guy is special and after growing up inside of the Octagon, Oliveira is now in his prime of 31 years old and unless you catch him with something he doesn’t see coming, the Brazilian is very tough to beat.

The calf kick will certainly be a major point of emphasis for both teams heading into this title fight. Michael has used it successfully in the past and also had his own leg deadened in a loss to Brent Primus.

Please Note:
Brent is a good fighter but he isn’t on the level of Charles Oliveira. That just goes to show you, though, how powerful and effective of a technique the calf kick really is. The biggest discrepancy between these two athletes is certainly height. Chandler is as short and stocky as they come and is seriously a super athlete. I think there was probably a time when he could do 2 backflips.

Probably not but if anyone could, it would be Chandler. I think he is one of the best pure athletes we have ever seen compete in mixed martial arts competition.

Let’s try and break this one down round by round and then give some keys to victory for each fighter on our way to a prediction for the UFC’s Lightweight Title fight at UFC 262.

Round 1

This round, in my opinion, will be the most important round of the fight. When we see the calf kicks used effectively, it is usually early on in fights and I think either man could be compromised by them in the first five minutes.

I am going to give Charles Oliveira the first round, though, as he will have a significant reach advantage over Chandler. The favorite will have a solid 2 inches in height and 3 inches in the reach department over his foe.

I think this should be enough to at least bank him the first round. It doesn’t look like Chandler will be shooting in for takedowns against such a dangerous grappler like Oliveira. He is, of course, the UFC’s all time leader in submissions.

Round 2

I believe this is about the time that Michael finds his range and gets into the chest of his opponent.

Please Note:
If you’re tall and lanky, that is exactly where you don’t want someone. Your length is now working against you as that T Rex has shorter arms that can fire much faster than yours which are long, lanky, and take time to get going. When you’re in the pocket, you don’t have time for that. If I were Charles’s team, I would coach him to obtain the clinch whenever Michael Chandler gets inside on him. If the American forces a takedown, then maybe you have a guillotine ready for him or perhaps something when the fight hits the mat.

I think Michael steals round 2 with some sharp pocket boxing.

Round 3

I don’t see this fight making it to the judges’ scorecards.

I know both men are very talented and fairly evenly matched on paper but both men are finishers in every sense of the word so I expect more or less nonstop action from bell to bell.

This will be an action fight for as long as it lasts.

I think the third round will be the last if these two even make it that far.

As Chandler is ducking, bobbing, and weaving, Charles catches him with a well-timed knee up the middle. Yea, you know…The one we thought Dan Hooker was going to do but didn’t because he got starched in round 1.

The Bets

In Conclusion

I like Chandler a lot and his energy has been unmatched since he made his debut with the UFC just months ago with a highlight reel knockout of Dan The Hangman Hooker.

Charles Oliveira, though, is going to have the reach, height, and age advantage in this fight.

The UFC experience is not even close but I don’t let that hold too much weight because Chandler trains with and has been in there with some of the best fighters in the world.

  • Dan stands very tall and circles a lot. This played directly into the hands of the shorter power puncher who can cover distance deceptively well.
  • Charles Oliveira is a tall fighter for the weight class but he doesn’t fight tall. He fights long. I like how he bends his knees, keeps his hips back, and throws from there with his shoulders touching his cheeks.

When you stand tall, you do have some advantages but you’re a sitting duck against the cage when you don’t have anywhere else to go.

You’re also quite susceptible for double or single leg takedowns standing straight up.

I think Oliveira’s lower base will allow him to use his jab more effectively while not having to worry as much about an overhand right counter from that spark plug.

Get your bets in now, team, and enjoy this fight when it comes.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.