UFC Fight Night 174 Betting Picks: Kianzad vs Correia

Pannie Kianzad…

I will be honest with you guys. I had no idea who the heck she was before her last fight with Jessica Rose Clark.

I trained with “Jessy Jess” for a couple of years in Las Vegas and was very fond and respectful of her skills.

She’s also incredibly funny if you ever get the chance to train or talk with her.

This is generalizing, I know, but in my experience, Aussie’s don’t take themselves as serious as us Americans can at times, and I really admire it.

The only thing that has held back Jessica is having a small frame for 135.

She lost to both Jessica Eye and Pannie Kianzad who are naturally bigger.

The Aussie star has a lot of muscle particularly in her legs and that bumps her up.

Sure, she gains a lot of power and takedown defense strength among other attributes that come with more muscle but when you run into someone with a similar level of skill and style who has a larger frame, that can be the difference.

Both Eye and Kianzad are good boxers.

I believe Pannie is better, though, and I’m glad I picked her to beat my old buddy. I like her size, toughness, aggression, with accuracy and precise boxing.

Her opponent, Brazil’s Bethe Correia, is a tough cookie.

She doesn’t have a great frame for 135 either standing only 5’5″ tall but she lives up to her “Pitbull” moniker. I give her that.

She is getting up there in age now but hasn’t really shown many signs of slowing down.

This is her first MMA fight in nearly a full calendar year so the possibility of rust and decay is there.

The bold boys and girls over at BetOnline.AG have the betting odds for us this week.

Let’s take a look and make a play for this fight.

Pannie Kianzad (-140) vs Bethe Correia (+120)

Both girls are primarily boxers and I definitely see this one taking place in that realm.

Bethe is pretty strong in the clinch and has a very low center of gravity so it may benefit her to win some minutes against the cage if she can.

  • Correia pushes a high pace and she can keep it.
  • I haven’t really seen Pannie gas out in there. She’s a professional.

This fight was previously scheduled for a recently cancelled event in May. We should note that. They have been preparing for one another for a while now and I expect both ladies to be on weight and in shape.

Kianzad is going to be a couple of inches taller and will have a 2-inch reach advantage as well.

I’ve always said Bethe should change her nickname from Pitbull to T-Rex because she has the shortest little arms.

That’s just like the Allen Iverson and Kenny Anderson’s of the world, though. Those short guys are the best finishers because they had to be.

Evolution, baby.

Bethe gives up reach to virtually every woman she fights yet has wins over good boxing stylists.

Once upon a time, Bethe Correia was 11-0 and fighting on the main event of a UFC pay per view for a world title.

If you were a mixed martial arts fan in the Summer of 2015, you probably remember Bethe Correia.

She fought the queen of the MMA world at the time, Ronda Rousey, and stood toe-to-toe with the champ only to fall face-first to the mat in a heap after a Rowdy right hand.

I still remember where I was.

Well, not exactly. It was a big sports bar in Henderson, NV. I forget the name but I will never forget the elation of that place when Ronda won.

Never in my life have I been in a bar that went wilder for any UFC win in history, and that’s a lot of bars and a lot more fights.

It wasn’t a Vegas sports bar filled with fighters or hardcore fight fans.

Ronda had captured the heart of so many fans, especially women around the world and we all owe her a thank you.

I was shocked at the place’s reaction, though, because I was thinking “So what!”

It’s not like Ronda knocked out a great striker or anything and I can’t lie, I thought this was the end for Bethe.

She has really fought her heart out, though, against some of the toughest women in the world. She rebounded fairly well considering when she lost a split decision in her next fight to former title challenger and gatekeeper to the gatekeeper at Bantamweight, Raquey Pennington.

She got the split win over Jessica Eye next and then a draw with Marion Reneau.

So many close fights!

Holly Holm TKO’ed Bethe in her next fight with a beautiful question mark kick.

Here is Sugar Sean O’Malley giving us a “tutorial” on how to throw this kick.

I guess if those who can’t do, teach, then those who can do maybe can’t teach so well.

At least not naturally…

I’m a massive fan of O’Malley but in the video, he’s kinda like yea you just do it.

Thanks man.

Moving on before I get beat up…

Or have a chin that can take more than one clean shot for that matter.

I’ve heard an even worse explanation from Luke Rockhold but go figure. If you’re that good looking, you don’t deserve to be smart.

Please Note:
Bruce Lee would call this kick a progressive indirect attack. If someone is overreacting to a feint or even when you throw the full strike, your leg changes directions in air.

Bethe not only overreacted with his arm in defense but she turned her body as well.

This is something I drill into my students from day one.

Stay in your frame!

There are so many boxing coaches out there parading as MMA geniuses and it shows with fighters turning with their offense and defense.

Bethe is primarily a boxer in the Octagon who is strong in the clinch.

That’s her deal.

I think she is susceptible to round kicks and you don’t have to do what Holly did. Correia turns with a good percentage of her offense and defense so the roundhouse kicks are always there.

Just from what I saw from Kianzad, she seems very pliable to me.

I think her boxing alone will get her a win over Bethe 2 out of 3 times.

That gives us the edge we need to make the play already.

Now, add in the defensive holes in the overall stand up game Bethe has and we have a bigger edge.

Oh, there’s a 9 year age difference as well.

Oowee.

Bethe is 37.

The late 30’s are a Bethe. Let me tell you.

Correia did look alright in her last fight, a win against Sarge Eubanks who had the reach on her but was 2 inches shorter.

I really liked what I saw from Pannie in her last fight even more, though.

Kianzad takes this one by unanimous decision.

My Pick
Pannie Kianzad

In Conclusion

Bethe Correia is still at it.

And all this time, I thought she had 3 R’s in her name too.

They say respect is earned and they are right about that.

She had to earn mine and she’s got it.

I made one too many jokes about Bethe and paid for it with a betting loss when I took Jessica Eye to out-point her with the jab.

Is the same thing going to happen Saturday night?

Well, Eye wasn’t 9 years younger at the time and Bethe wasn’t 37, she was 33.

That’s about two decades in fight years.

I think Pannie gets the nod in the footwork department. That is a strength of hers and a weakness of her opponent.

She will have the big cage to work with and both of those factors should count for something.

Get your bets in now, guys and girls.

I think some money will come in on Pannie as we get closer to fight time.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.