UFC Fight Night Las Vegas Betting Pick: Andrei Arlovski vs Chase Sherman

Andrei Arlovski just keeps on performing. The UFC has done their best to get him out of there but he just keeps winning on experience and some of the highest fight IQ in the history of the sport.

If it means, 4:30 of cage control per round then that’s what Andrei is prepared to do.

As a fan, you have to hate this type of combat because when are you making it more of a competition than a fight?

Nick Diaz said about Georges St Pierre that he avoids the fight within the fight and Nick is absolutely correct. Georges was never the type to stand and trade and after Matt Serra made him do the baby deer dance across the Octagon, Rush was now in no hurry whatsoever to end the fight.

GSP didn’t finish a fight for 5 years of his prime and he had 5 rounds to do it for most of those fights. It’s a shame because early in his career, he would try to secure the finish but it is what it is.

That is also what makes mixed martial arts such a complex sport. If your opponent is avoiding the fight within the fight and playing to the judges then stop him from doing so.

Oh, he’s holding me down…Well, get up.

It is great to see more and more fighters developing to a high level at getting up off the bottom. You still have fighters like Khabib who will just put you right back down and that can switch the momentum of the fight right there.

Circling back to Andrei Arlovski, he has become a master of doing the same thing GSP was doing and that is avoiding the fight within the fight. Early in his career, The Pitbull was as aggressive as they come.

As he aged, though, the knockouts began to seriously add up and he was forced to make a decision. I’m sure his heart was telling him to keep fighting for a finish but it sounds like he has a great group of people in his corner because he switched up the fight strategy and here we are.

  • We have to keep in mind, though, that the “run” he has been on after losing 5 fights in a row is just 5-5. It isn’t like he is going to threaten for a world title again but what an amazing career so far for The Pitbull Andrei Arlovski who will be making the walk this Saturday night for the 51st time in his professional mixed martial arts career.
  • His opponent Chase Sherman is a hard-hitting tank of a man who appears to be possibly leveling up at the age of 31. We will see here against Andrei Arlovski because the Pit Bull has been and still is a test for up and coming fighters in the UFC’s Heavyweight Division.

BetOnline has some nice odds for this fight and I think we have a good angle on the winner. The round total…I don’t know. This is heavyweight and Andrei has been knocked out too many times to say the number and your heart not sink for a second.

Andrei Arlovski (-115) vs Chase Sherman (-105)

Who wants to flip a coin?

If Andrei wins, it will likely be by decision and if Chase pulls it off, I am thinking TKO all the way.

Right?

I don’t like to put limits on anything. Bruce Lee taught us that but I have to be honest here. The methods of victory might have to be the way to go in a 50/50 fight. Make it worth your flip of the coin.

Getting beat 53/47 or even winning at 3% is not something I’m interested in doing so let’s get an edge.

People think Chase Sherman is short. Maybe it’s the tankish last name or the frame of the same name. I don’t know but I thought 6’1 or 6’2 tops. He is 6’4 with a 78” reach. I think that makes a big difference here.

Chase was more of a brawler in his 20s but he had to make technical adjustments for the Bare Knuckle Boxing game and it shows in his performances.

Andrei’s run of 5-5 since his seemingly career-ending 5 fight skid includes wins over Ben Rothwell, eh, Philipe Lins, eh, Stephen Struve, eh, Junior Albini, eh, and Tanner Boser and he barely edged that one out.

Chase Sherman seems like one of those guys but none of them have the combination of speed and power in the hands that he possesses.

I think Chase is going to sleep Andrei Arlovski here. He is bigger and stronger than people give him credit for and that could be the difference here.

Andrei has either been faster, bigger, or stronger than all his past 5 victims. He may have a slight strength advantage here against Chase but that’s it. Sherman is 11 years younger as well.

I am taking the Vanilla Gorilla to get this one done by overhand right. That 78 inch reach is going to line up well. (+255) is a great line.

The Bets
Chase Sherman KO/TKO

In Conclusion

This should be a good fight. I don’t think Sherman will go out there and run through The Pitbull but Andrei isn’t going to take this fight to the mat so Chase will have his opportunities. From there, I think it is only a matter of time before he connects.

For Andrei to get the win here, I think he is going to have to keep the younger man pinned up against the cage for a long time. Chase Sherman is actually the naturally larger man so I don’t see that happening for too long.

It’s been a great run for the Pit Bull.

He was my first favorite fighter after Royce Gracie. But, time catches up with us all and I believe Andrei is going to get knocked out once again on Saturday night.

Many people are picking Arlovski for the win here but I am sticking with my first instinct and Chase being able to find the chin of the Belarusian star inside of 15 minutes.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.

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