UFC Fight Night Betting Pick: Jimmy Flick vs Cody Durden

Here we go again, right? Jimmy flick versus Cody Durden. I have heard so much about this matchup and I just don’t understand all this love for Cody Durden. Hey, if you read my first article on this fight then you know I like many others and very fond of Cody’s last name but I just think he is running into a horrific stylistic matchup in Jimmy Flick.

Cody is a good boxer and a forward pressure fighter. I normally love that, especially the way he chains his wrestling in with his hands. It’s great but against a highly decorated submission ace like Jimmy Flick, I don’t recommend it.

We have, of course, already previewed this fight so we will be very brief today. The betting odds haven’t really changed but I definitely wanted to revisit this fight because it is not the same matchup that it was last week.

These two have already made weight once and now they have to do it again just a couple of weeks later. The next question we obviously ask ourselves is who does this benefit?

Well, while not a small 125er, Jimmy is used to making the weight. Cody has only made the weight once and he ended up losing that fight. If Flick was a kickboxing specialist, I may lean towards Cody and his forward pressure boxing and takedown/back take game but Flick is nasty on the ground.

BetOnline has the betting odds for this fight. Let’s take a look at those and make our predictions for the Flyweight fight between Jimmy Flick and Cody Durden.

Jimmy Flick (-150) vs Cody Durden (+130)

Flick comes into this fight with a record of 15-5. He is from Oklahoma and 4 of his fights don’t have a method of victory listed but every other result listed is a submission win. Every single one.

This guy is a pure hunter. I love to roll the same way. I’m nowhere near his level but I will say this, it can be tiring when you’re always hunting. From what I have seen from these two guys is that Flick is on another level right now.

Even though they are close in age and shout to Cody for sharing my birthday, March 29th, Flick is a bit more seasoned and developed at this point in his career than Cody please call me Tyler Durden.

Jimmy has been the world champion over at LFA. I like his submission skills as do a lot of people. The narrative against him here is that he is the poorer wrestler and not a great striker who has been knocked out several times before.

This is true but one guy is the best version of himself and the other one isn’t. The price tag isn’t too high on Jimmy so let’s take him to win straight up at (-150).

But before we go, Durden is an action fighter and as I mentioned a moment ago, Jimmy Flick doesn’t win (m)any decisions so let’s take him to win inside the distance as well.

I believe his grappling is on another level than Durden’s and feel that Flick will fight for your money. He is very persistent and that is a trait I absolutely adore in fighters.

(+110) for the inside the distance line and (-150) to get it done straight up.

My Picks
Jimmy Flick
Flick Inside the Distance

In Conclusion

Hopefully, for once, the second time will be the charm. I don’t want this fight to be cancelled again. Jimmy Flick is a fighter I am thrilled to see compete in the UFC.

The guy is dangerous enough to be a threat to anyone and even if he doesn’t have the most well-rounded skill set, these are some of the most interesting fighters to watch and some can be the most profitable.

Cody Durden has switched up his camps and headed down to American Top Team for this fight but how much can you really change in just a few weeks?

Durden also had pink eye just a few weeks ago. It isn’t a debilitating infection like Staph that will make you weak but it will keep you from contacting others and at the highest level, you have to make the most of your time.

I think with the second weight cut to 125 and the pink eye just adds more doubt to a fighter I was already feeling like will probably lose. The sportsbooks have him at 60% to win this one. I think it is more like 75%.

They have him at 50% to get a finish and I think if he wins, a submission is about an 80% probability. This gives us the edges we need to make a smart play.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.