UFC Fight Night Las Vegas Betting Pick: Luana Pinheiro vs Randa Markos

Randa is still at it. The 35 year old well traveled and trained Canadian is now fighting to stay above the .500 mark.

She is currently 10-10 in her professional mixed martial arts career.

All but 5 of those fights have been contested inside of the UFC Octagon, though, against pretty solid competition the whole way. Randa has been a solid fighter but nothing special. She doesn’t have one particular skill in which she excels and that hurts you against specialists if you don’t have the takedown/takedown defense advantage.

Please Note:
It doesn’t appear that Randa is going to have said advantage against the Judoka since 2 years old, Luana Pinheiro. Luana grew up in a martial arts family in Brazil and her current boyfriend, Matheus Nicolau is also a highly touted prospect fighting in the UFC.

Randa is on her way out. It sucks to see her go below the .500 mark but I don’t think she matches up well at all against Luana here.

Let’s look at the betting odds and make our play from there.

BetOnline.AG has some excellent odds for this fight. They almost always do.

Luana Pinheiro (-160) vs Randa Markos (+140)

The only reason Luana is somewhat affordable here is because this is her first fight inside of the Octagon. The jitters are real and we continually see more often than not fighters having a much better performance in their second UFC fight than their first.

We have to take that into account but Luana passed the eye test with soaring colores. This is a big step up in competition for the Brazilian but I think she is ready. The price on her isn’t bad either.

Randa is not an easy fight by any means but Pinheiro will likely be able to take this fight to the mat and control from top position. Even if she doesn’t do that, I give her an edge in the striking department.

The (-160) isn’t a bad price.

The Bet

Bonus Pick – Merab Dvalishvili by Decision: -135

This guy has won all of his UFC fights by decision and even though I think it will be a tougher fight than most believe, I still like Merab to win a hard fought decision here against the ever-tough Cody Stamann.

Cody is a horse and has some pretty valuable odds himself in this fight sitting at (+400) to win a decision. That is pretty tasty I have to admit but Merab attempts more than 1 takedown every minute.

He is the forward pressure, aggressive, relentless takedown artist of the two.

Cody is more reactive and likes to counter with his wrestling instead of lead. If he can use it to take down and control Merab, then we have a pretty interesting fight on our hands but I don’t think that is happening.

Merab has the reach on T-rex arms Cody but he doesn’t use it very well. He uses it to get to the edge of his range and just outside of his opponent’s, then he feints and comes inside. I like Merab to win this one by decision.

You can also parlay it with the fight going to a decision for a nice payout of (+143). Let’s double down here and play both the parlay and the Merab by decision line. Cody could pull this one out so you can cover yourself by taking him to win by decision for the big 4 to 1.

2 units on Merab by decision. 1 unit on the parlay. And .5 units on Cody by decision/fight goes to a decision parlay to cover you. This pays out at (+600) All of this is riding on the fight going the distance, of course.

Both fighters are 80 plus percentage guys to go the distance in their wins and losses. We are hitting this fight hard, yes, but I feel like I have a great read on it.

The Bet
Merab by decision

In Conclusion

These two fights will be fun and both are expected to go the distance. One of the four participants we covered today, though, is a finisher.

Brazil’s Luana Pinheiro has been training martial arts ever since she could walk.

I’m sure you guys understand what kind of a difference that makes. If you’ve ever literally been beaten up by 14 year old Thai kids or tapped out 10 times in a 3 minute round by an 80 pound future software analyst, you understand the learning power of youth.

There is nothing like it. I’m happy with my upbringing I suppose. There was a lot of love in my house and that counts for a lot but I sure do wish they would have had me learning foreign languages starting at 3 years old.

Not only would I be able to communicate better as I travel but also have the ability to learn new languages like Jiu Jitsu or Swahili, for example.

Those who started martial arts as kids like Jiri Prochazka, Sean Strickland, and Luana Pinheiro are all going to have an advantage not only with knowledge but also the ability to pick up more tricks.

Let’s throw some dough at the Brazilian and ride Merab Dvalishvili to yet another decision. Enjoy the fights and get your bets in now!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.

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