UFC Fight Night Las Vegas Betting Pick: Luis Saldana vs Jordan Griffin

UFC Fight Night Las Vegas goes down this Saturday afternoon, actually, and we have a lot of affordable favorites as well as live dogs to sort through. There is certainly betting value on this card. We just have to identify the weaknesses in the betting lines as well as some of the fighters.

We have seen a guy like Jordan Griffin fight for a while now so we have a good read on the guy.

He is very tough and physical. He fights with plenty of heart but he makes terrible decisions in there resulting in him losing fights he could have potentially won.

His opponent, Luis Saldana, has some losses in his career as well. They just haven’t been on the big stage like we have seen from Jordan Griffin. Jordan has also been in there with a much higher level of competition.

He has usually lost whenever he gets that step up in competition, though. Juan Archuleta, Dan Ige, and Youssef Zalal all beat him fairly handily. The guy is as tough as they come but clearly isn’t and won’t be a contender in the UFC.

He is borderline UFC level at this point so the man is dangerous. I kind of like Luis in this spot but Griffin has his back to the proverbial Octagon and could be fighting for his job early Saturday afternoon in Vegas.

His opponent, Luis Saldana, is going to have Uncle Mo’ on his side for this fight. Ever since his move to Fight Ready, he has looked like a new fighter physically and his performances have shined.

They are a scary camp. It’s like they have a secret steroid or something. Anyways.

BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for this fight, the most valuable ones in fact, for both fighters. That’s what I have learned to like from BetOnline.

They are also usually the betting site to put out the first betting line and have most of the other books copy them.

Let’s look at the odds for this fight and figure out either a winner or a round total to add to our betting spread for the week.

Luis Saldana (-125) vs Jordan Griffin (+105)

While Jordan Griffin has lost 3 of his last 4 fights, Luis Saldana has put together four consecutive victories. One of those wins, though, was against a fighter with a record of 23-25.

This will be Luis’s first official fight for the UFC. He looked great in his Contender Series win. He was one of the highlights of the season knocking out Vince Murdock with a front kick to the face.

His odds were too pricey up until just recently so I wanted to throw him onto your weekly betting spread now that he is down to (-125). I think he wins 6 out of 10 so the (-150) didn’t make sense because there was no edge on the sportsbooks but where he is now, I like it.

Please Note:
From watching his tape, he just looks like he grew up a bit mentally and physically and we are now seeing a new man. Maybe it was the camp switch. Maybe he just got older. He is 30 now. Or maybe it’s a combination of everything.

I would say to possibly look into the Luis Saldana by decision line but Jordan Griffin is such a wildman in there sometimes and we mentioned he is fighting for his job so I don’t want to get into the how’s.

The who is enough for me here.

I think Luis is the more talented fighter and he isn’t the type of guy to shoot in on Jordan so that plays against the guillotine threat of his opponent.

The Bets
Saldana

In Conclusion

The UFC is back this Saturday afternoon after taking a week off. I’m not sure exactly why we are getting fights so early on a Saturday but it is what it is. Maybe there is some baseball going on tonight.

The first fight will be at 10:30 AM so get your plays in ASAP. All of the picks we have made this week looked good on the scales on Friday so that isn’t a big concern.

For this fight, I think Luis Saldana is the more crisp and polished striker. He has more tools and isn’t afraid to use them. Griffin can bang and take a good shot so if Jordan wants to make this an ugly fight, he certainly can.

I think this one will mostly take place at range where Luis can use his long legs to keep Jordan Griffin at the end of his shots thus staying out of the way of Griffin’s bombs.

This will be a fun fight and it may go to a split decision but I still like Luis here now that his betting odds have come down and he is more affordable.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.

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