UFC Fight Night Betting Pick: Max Holloway vs Calvin Kattar

It is what it is…

He might not have been the first to say it, but I like it best when he does.

Max “Blessed” Holloway is one of those fighters who amazes us at how young he is. I don’t say this because he is the #1 Featherweight fighter of all time in the UFC. I’m talking about his personality.

The acceptance on this guy is something that a stubborn mule like me envies greatly. Maybe it’s because my dad is always telling me the same thing and, of course, I don’t listen to him. You gotta love Holloway and his approach to fighting as well as life as a whole.

Here are some other legends of the sports echoing that same sentiment.

No UFC for 3 weeks? It is what it is.

I do know this, though, most people get some time off for Christmas and time off goes quickly so it will be fight week again before we know it. Max Holloway and Calvin Kattar have a gigantic fight which is, of course, important for both men, but easily the biggest fight in the career of Calvin Katter.

Kattar is coming off of 2 consecutive wins and has won 4 of his last 5.

His loss to Zabit MAgomedsharipov is sandwiched in there. I know Calvin has to hate it because it was a main event that wasn’t 5 rounds.

If the fight would have been scheduled for 5, I think the outcome could have been very different. I love Zabit. Not only is he my twin, albeit much more skilled, but he fights!

Well, he doesn’t fight very much in the third round but the thing is, he never needs to. He wins 1 and 2 and calls it a day. If he wants to be a world champion, he, of course, will need a much larger gas tank than the little 11 gallon thing he is working with right now.

Please Note:
Both Calvin and Max are tall for the division at 5’11” but it’s Kattar who holds a 3-inch reach advantage. Max only has a 69-inch reach even though his height is 71 inches. I find that rather odd, especially considering he is kinda long with fairly broad shoulders.

This will be primarily a boxing match. I think most everyone is on the same page there. Now, who wins? I think Cal is the better boxer with 3 inches of reach and a ton of momentum for him and his team.

The New England Cartel as they like to call themselves have been on a tear lately. Of course, it was Rob Font who blew through and took some years off the life of Marlon Moraes on Saturday night.

Thanks a lot, Marc Goddard! How many times does a fighters’ head have to bounce off the mat with their eyes rolled back before you stop the freaking fight?!

Moral of the story, though, is this:
The boys out of Boston are really putting it together and since they are so isolated in the pro mixed martial arts community up there, their bond is that much stronger.

Some say fighting is an individual sport and it, of course, is but it’s also a team sport because no one can do this alone.

BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for this fight. Let’s take a look at those and make our predictions for the fight between Max Blessed Holloway and The Boston Finisher Calvin Katter.

Max Holloway (-180) vs Calvin Kattar (+155)

Max Holloway is getting a lot of respect in this spot and I understand why. BUT…

And yes, that’s a big but. You could make the same argument that Calvin Kattar is not getting enough respect. Gonna have to tie a steak around his neck so the dog will play with him.

Calvin has struggled with opponents who are tall like him in Zabit and Renato Moicano. Honestly, the Zabit fight would probably be closer if we ran it back and I have Kattar over Moicano in a rematch any day.

Calvin has still been improving over the past few years.

I think Max has been more of a finished product for a longer period of time. How we use this to predict the fight is a mystery, though. Kattar keeps getting better but Max is already darn good. I think the people who have bet on this fight have kinda screwed up the line. Holloway opened at (-135) and that makes sense to me. Even though I think Kattar will probably win, I completely understand the respect for Blessed.

Trajectory means something to me here.

Kattar has been on an upward trajectory for a long time and appears to improve with every fight especially after a loss. I like his team as well and we know Max is going to be putting in even more miles of travel to Abu Dhabi.

We will come back to this fight when we have some more betting options but I’m telling you straight up that Kattar has good value at (+155) right now so it’s worth at least half a unit.

My Pick
Kattar

In Conclusion

The first main event of 2021! It feels really really good to say that number. Just try it. Yes, right now.

2021…It’s beautiful, isn’t it?

Man, I hope so. It could be much worse than 2020 so I am not at all getting ahead of myself and planning this grand time.

As long as the UFC is able to put fights on, though, my life is somewhat complete. When I was stuck inside for a few months this past Spring, I was actually happy to be there. I say this because there is no way I would have been able to get all the work done if I didn’t. The UFC was putting on so many events at the time and the interest level for MMA betting had never been higher. They would do 3 events in a week sometimes and that’s what we have in store for us in January. The UFC isn’t back until the 16th but by the 30th, they will have 4 shows in the books already.

This fight with Max Holloway and Calvin Kattar is a very interesting one and I wish someone could explain to me a clear path to victory for Max that doesn’t involve out boxing a boxing specialist.

I think at any kind of dog money, you have to go with Calvin Katter. The public is so much in love with Max Holloway, though, that they may keep betting his odds all the way up to (-220) or more.

Go for it, y’all. Keep making that Kattar betting line more appetizing.

I would say get your bets in now but we can take our time. If anything, I think we may get an even better price on the Boston Finisher.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.