UFC Fight Night Betting Pick: Merab Dvalishvili vs Ray Borg

Ray Borg is back at it? Didn’t the TazMexican Devil just fight a few weeks ago? We bet against him. Yes, we actually won that one.

Ray Borg fought Ricky Simon and Rick was just too big for him.

They are both great athletes who are very strong explosive grapplers but when everything else lines up but one guy is significantly bigger, you get a fairly clear winner.

It wasn’t all sunshine and rainbows in this fight, though. Ray Borg’s fresh new set of hands were on display.

Ricky likes to keep his elbows high and cocked. This allows you to pump your punches like pistons without much wind-up but the high elbow lets your opponent know what’s coming. It also exposes your body.

Ray Borg’s hands were highly impressive. I was really worried about him digging under the floating ribs of Simon but Ricky showed that he can take ’em.

Will he get the chance to use his new toy against a grappler as big and strong as Merab Dvalishvili?

The Georgian fights very free on his feet and could get caught by one nasty shot but it’s not like we have seen Ray Borg do that to anyone before.

If he wins, he out-grapples his opponents. The same can be said about Merab. He dominates people on the ground.

Let’s take a look at the betting odds provided to us by the online betting site BetOnline.AG and make our pick for the fight between Ray Borg and Merab Dvalishvili.

Merab Dvalishvili (-405) vs Ray Borg (+305)

Round Total

OVER 2.5
-350
UNDER 2.5
+275

Merab bullied the guy, Ricky Simon, who bullied Ray Borg in his last fight. Dvalishvili looked bigger than Simon who was clearly larger than Borg.

I don’t see many paths to victory for Ray Ray other than a shovel hook to the liver. To land a solid one of those, you need your opponent to stand still for a minute, and “The Machine” is rarely stationary. Well, he does lay on top of people very well.

This line has been bet HARD! The fight opened at (-210) for Merab and (+160) for Ray Borg. They will probably both be doubled up by fight time.

Someone risked 1,000,000 dollars on Amanda Nunes last week to only win 166K. Free money, I guess. The rich get richer. But we can’t hate on those cojones, ya know?

I am leaning towards picking Merab by decision as all of his UFC wins have come that way and only Mighty Mouse has been able to get the TazMexican Devil out of there.

How can we forget about that one?! The only time Borg has ever been finished…

Does that mean we are destined for a decision on Saturday night? I do know this.

The UFC’s Bantamweight Division has never looked more impressive.

Last weekend, we got to see Sean O’Malley, Cody Garbrandt, Cody Stamman, and Aljamain Sterling all looked incredible and three of these guys got a big finish.

Could Merab be feeling a bit of pressure to get the finish? It’s hard to say that because he has never finished any of his opponents since joining the ranks of the UFC back in 2017 and has only 2 in his entire mixed martial arts career.

If Dvash is a 4 to 1 favorite and his opponent has only been finished by one of the greatest fighters of all-time, maybe the Merab by decision betting line deserves some attention.

5dimes.eu has Merab by decision for (-185). Let’s just throw a unit on the Georgian to get it done here. I would say 2 units but the possibility that he gets the finish is still out there. Borg is a scrappy guy.

My Pick
DVALISHVILI BY DECISION

In Conclusion

Ray Borg is a staple of the UFC. Could the undersized Bantamweight who can’t make 125 be on his way out the door? The UFC brass just keeps giving him highly unfavorable matchups.

After the biggest win of his career against Jiu-Jitsu ace Jussier Formiga, Ray fought Demetrious Johnson for the belt but fell short. Casey Kenney was next and he dominated Ray.

Then, it was a couple of lower-level guys he out-grappled for a couple of wins. Then, Ricky Simon and Merab, both terrible matchups for him.

I wouldn’t mind seeing Ray vs Sean O’Malley, Rob Font, or Brian Kelleher. He matches up better with those guys than someone who does what he does but better. At least Ray has advantages on paper against these guys.

He is more than likely going to lose on Saturday against Merab. We will see what the UFC does next with him. Maybe the Kelleher fight would be cool. I would favor him there.

Dvalishvili is wild on his feet and Borg is a heavy scrambler on the mat. The decision line might be a bit of a sweat but as long as history repeats itself, we will be just fine.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.