UFC Fight Night Betting Pick: Michel Pereira vs Khaos Williams

UFC Fight Night Las Vegas is this Saturday night from the company’s Apex facility and this fight will be inside the small Octagon. This weekend’s event will be the final one of the year for the UFC.

The company led by president Dana White led the charge for American sports returning to action even if it was without a crowd. They were still locked down for two months due to COVID but managed to put on more fights in total than they did in all of 2019!

MMA is now more popular than ever and the sports betting interest in MMA skyrocketed when there weren’t really any other sports to bet on and people were forced to try their hand. Many succeed and more had a great time regardless and here we are.

Looking ahead to 2021, I can see us with more than a 20% return on our investment for the year although I am not making that a goal. I was in the Air Force so I always aim high!

Is that not the lamest thing you’ve ever heard? In all seriousness, though, incremental goals are important but limitations…

Bruce Lee taught me this:

“If you always put a limit on everything you do, physical or anything else it will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them.”

Michael Jordan also said this: “Never say never, because limits like fears are often just an illusion.”


Speaking of art, Michel Pereira can probably paint a pretty picture if you asked him because that man is anything but normal. Just check him out at the staredowns from this Friday morning after the weigh ins.

You can catch Michel’s entrance at 2:20 or just watch the entire 3 minutes and see everyone face off. The guy is a character and he fights wide open as well. He is completely free in there.

Now, that can get you in trouble if you don’t have the technical ability and/or chin to back it up. If you’re free then yes, you will create opportunities on offense that likely wouldn’t be there if you weren’t but you are also creating opportunities for your opponent to land.

And boy, do you not want to give Khaos Williams any more opportunity than he needs because he will put your lights out with one flick of the shoulder.

This was his fight with Alex Morono that lasted all but a few minutes. He looked even better and somehow even more powerful as a big underdog against Abdul Rakaz Al Hassan.

Whew, straight down the pipe.

His opponent did step directly towards him on his leg kick attempt and you learn day one to step off the punching line at an angle. You kick through your opponent instead of at them and it saves you from the straight right counter as well.

He didn’t set it up with a punch either. He just stepped forward right into the counter. Will the wild and crazy Michel Pereira do the same on Saturday night?

I can’t wait to find out. I promise you that.

The online sportsbook BetOnline.AG has the betting odds we need and love for this fight. Let’s look at those and then makes our predictions for a winner in the bout between Brazilian banger Michel Pereira and the owner of the Detroit Death Touch, you heard it here first BTW, Khaos Williams.

Michel Pereira (-115) vs Khaos Williams (+105)

Michel, my bell. I like him at these betting odds. They both can crack but Williams is going to have some problems with the movement of the Brazilian, at least I think so.

Anyone in the UFC’s Welterweight Division is going to have some issues with this guy. He is really good and not only can but will do ANYTHING in there.

Sure, sometimes anything can be something really stupid like kneeing Diego Sanchez in the head on the ground. Anyone who had Michel in a parlay that night and ended up losing because of his stupidity and Diego’s lack of heart will probably never be able to bet on Pereira again.

It’s like falling in the pool and almost drowning when you’re 4 years old. This type of stuff can scar you for life.

In all seriousness, Pereira seems to have harnessed his hysteria inside the Octagon because, in his last performance against Zelim Imadaev, he never looked better.

It wasn’t all his antics that led him to the win either.

He used technique but when he adds in the speed and power to him fighting more technically but maintaining that air of unpredictability, that is when he is at his best.

The key for Khaos Williams in this fight is patience but not too much patience. He knows how hard his opponent is exploding and a well-timed counter can hijack the explosion and redirect it to Michel’s face.

I just think Michel is going to be too dynamic for Khaos Williams. We haven’t seen a lot other than him knocking other people out from Williams so we can’t get a sure read on the guy. For this reason, we will keep our bet sizes small.

This is a wild fight and anything can happen. Since we are getting almost even betting odds on a fighter with much more experience, tools, and also the bigger man, I’ll take it.

Michel by decision is (+405). We are taking a shot at that for sure.

I like him straight up as well at just (-115) and the over 1.5 rounds is not bad for the same price.

The Bets
Pereira by decision
Over 1.5 Rounds

In Conclusion

Do not blink. I repeat…

This is going to be a lot of fun. The Brazilian Michel Pereira is really coming into his own as a serious mixed martial artist and Khaos Williams is bursting onto the UFC scene with two vicious knockouts to start his career inside the Octagon.

I like Pereira’s kicks better. He has shown us a solid takedown game as well. The Brazilian has been mixing it up beautifully in there and I think that is the difference between these two fighters. That doesn’t mean that Michel won’t charge in, get caught on the chin, and quickly get slept by Williams either. The possibility is there but I think we win 66% of the time and the sportsbooks are saying 52%. That’’s a solid edge but still don’t put more than 1 unit on Perreira.

As for the smaller props, .25 or half of a unit is just fine. I think the Pereira by decision line is pretty good at 4 to 1 too!

We have some decent plays. Let’s just hope Khaos learns the true meaning of his nickname, the hard way.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.