UFC Fight Night Las Vegas Betting Pick: Tracy Cortez vs Justine Kish

Veteran UFC fighter and striking specialist Justine Kish has long been an underrated fighter in the women’s Bantamweight Division.

With wins over Nina Ansaroff Nunes, Randa Markos, and Ashley Yoder, Kish has shown that her takedown defense is some of the best among striking based fighters in the division.

She is also Russian.

Born in St Petersburg, Justine Kish started martial arts at a young age. She has always kept herself in incredible shape and that is a big part of why she is still fighting inside of the Octagon.

She is going to have a very difficult test in front of her this weekend when she fights Tracy Cortez.

A Muay Thai striker’s worst enemy is a decorated wrestler. You’re used to standing fairly square, tall, and with your hips forward.

That plays directly into the hands of the wrestler who wants to change levels, take you down, and smesh you from top position.

Please Note:
Tracy Cortez has an outstanding wrestling pedigree and her center of gravity is as good as it gets. I think she will likely be able to get in on the hips of Kish but Justine has some excellent takedown defense statistics that say otherwise. The oddsmakers, though, agree with me as they have Tracy as a pretty sizable favorite in her fight with Justine Kish.

BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for this fight and, of course, many others.

Let’s see where the value is for the scrap between two tough women, veteran Justine Kish and rising star Tracy Cortez.

Tracy Cortez (-250) vs Justine Kish (+210)

Tracy Cortez, born in Phoenix, Arizona went 6-0 as an amateur and is now 8-1 as a professional mixed martial artist heading into her Saturday night showdown with Russian Justin Kish.

  • Tracy has an excellent wrestling pedigree and takedown game she will most likely need to use successfully in order to defeat the crisp striking of her opponent.
  • Justine is a veteran of the Octagon but still 32 years old so we can’t say she is declining quite yet.

She has lost 3 out of her last 4 fights, though, and with only one win in the last 4 years, it is hard to get on the side of Justine Kish.

What does impress me, though, is her physicality and toughness.

I don’t know if those things are going to help her against Tracy this weekend. If Cortez was still 23 or so years old and maybe didn’t have a lot of strength yet, then maybe Justine pulls off the sprawl and brawl victory.

Tracy lost her first professional fight at the age of 22 and she hasn’t lost since. She is 27 now. I believe she will likely need a few takedowns against Kish to get the win. Tracy has been consistent also with her use of the takedown.

Please Note:
She isn’t one of those wrestlers who falls in love with their hands. She knows what got her to the dance and this woman is quite serious about imposing her will on her opponents with forward pressure, dominant wrestling, and relentless ground and pound.

I think she wins this one 30-27 on all 3 judges’ scorecards. She may get the finish but it would be her first ever inside of the Octagon and only the second time in the career of Kish.

The fight is almost 3 to 1 to go to a decision so you might want to sprinkle a little bit of salt on Tracy Cortez by decision. She could be hungry for her first stoppage, though, but I think we are better off staying out of a fighter’s head and into the tape study.

The latter is king.
The Bets
Tracy Cortez

In Conclusion

Tracy Cortez has already built quite the fan base. She has a lot of men who might not be into female fighters changing their minds. What impresses me the most, though, is how poised she has been throughout her short UFC career.

With just one loss in both her ammy and pro career, Tracy is as calm as they come. The woman has such an excellent all around MMA game ahead of her. You can just tell when someone values excellence.

If they are just good at one thing. Then they value their ego. If someone uses the excellence they learned from developing their first skill, then they can be great at anything.

It’s martial arts.

“If you know the way broadly, you will see it in all things.” – Miyamoto Musashi

I believe Tracy is one of those fighters and she is in a great camp and has been since a young age. The world title is the limit for this young lady. I’m sorry Justine Kish. She is going to be able to get you down.

Yes, I know you’re Russian but other fighters have been able to do it before.

Randa Markos and Ashley Yoder are both decent at takedowns but Tracy is well above average and has proven every time she steps into the Octagon.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.

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