This is one of the highest level fights on the card this Saturday and we aren’t hearing much about it. I suppose neither woman has a massive following yet, at least not outside of their respective home countries of Brazil and Japan.
Brasileiros 🇧🇷 no peso!
— UFC Brasil (@UFCBrasil) June 18, 2021
Long time rivals on the grappling and MMA scene, Japan and Brazil will meet once again this Saturday night in Las Vegas. Virna Jandiroba has had a successful UFC career thus far but is coming off of a loss in her last fight, her first since she made her debut against potentially the next title challenger in the Women’s Strawweight Division, Carla Esparza.
Carla has been top ten if not top 5 for her entire career in the UFC.
It is like they could care less about the development of Virna Jandiroba either.
While Salty Sean O’Malley is fighting Louis Smolka on the main card of a McGregor pay per view at the upcoming UFC 264 in his 6th UFC fight, Virna is fighting Carla Esparza in her debut. Paying attention to who is getting the push and who isn’t always helps us as cappers.
Virna lost the fight with Carla and was taken down 4 times on 10 attempts from The Cookie Monster and one of the division’s best takedown artists.
Carla takes down everyone she fights and does it multiple times, for the most part.
And lately, whew, Carla is looking stronger than ever so I don’t count Virna’s debut against one of the division’s best against her.
Yes, she lost but she also secured some takedowns in that fight.
Kanako is the slight favorite in this fight and I can understand why. They are grading wrestling over BJJ and while I agree with this sentiment most of the time, I also agree that size matters.
Well, double that significance for the strawweights who should be fighting in a 105 pound or Atomweight division should the UFC get rid of the 145 ladies and get the buck o’ fivers in there. I am all for it.
Murata is pretty stout. Don’t get me wrong. She is super built and may hold a strength advantage over Virna Jandiroba but I like the woman with the bigger frame here to give Kanako some trouble with her takedown attempts and possibly even take down the decorated Japanese wrestler.
Let’s look at the betting lines provided by the good folks over at BetOnline.AG and make our predictions on a winner for the high level women’s strawweight scrap between Brazil’s Virna Jandiroba and Japan’s Kanako Murata.
Virna Jandiroba (-135) vs Kanako Murata (+105)
So, the books think Virna Jandiroba is going to win but they don’t want to tell people they really think she is going to get her hand raised. Virna is more proven. She is bigger. She has a better BJJ game and she has shown to be very tough and fight hard for the full 15 minutes.
— Revista TATAME (@revistatatame) June 18, 2021
In her last fight, we bet against Virna Jandiroba taking advantage of just an absolutely silly line, Mackenzie Dern to win a decision for (+300). It was a very close fight but that doesn’t bother you that much when you have one to win by decision at 3 to 1.
You only need to win one out of four to break even at those odds so go ahead, flip a coin. Let’s play. What I want to take from that fight for today is that Virna came very very close to winning that contest.
I think she would at least be up at (-185) so there is your value right there. I know some folks are getting behind Murata here and I get it. She is the more decorated wrestler but it is very hard to take the bigger person down and Virna is the larger fighter.
I think it is pretty even but I actually don’t think the grappling of the two women will cancel each other out. I think they will both engage in the clinch and on the mat.
Virna is going to get the takedown. Watch. She took Carla down 3 times and Esparza’s wrestling chops can match any woman in the division.
She might be able to fend off the attacks of Virna but I like where she is right now at (-135). One unit, though.
I like this matchup. The UFC did a good job.
Fighting Carla Esparza in your UFC debut is hard enough and she just got done with a close loss to Mackenzie Dern, only one of the best female Jiu Jitsu players ever.
Jandiroba has been able to take down everyone she has fought and I think she will do the same here against Japan’s Kanako Murata.
That is about all it should take so give me the better submission artist and larger framed fighter to get the win here. Jandiroba has been tested! She hasn’t won those fights but she certainly showed up.
I like Virna but not enough to throw multiple units on her but still better value than most of the fights on this card.