NASCAR Playoff Betting Picks: South Point 400

The NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series Playoffs are now beginning the second round of races in the chase for the Championship.

We began round 1 with 16 drivers and after three definitely difficult tracks-Darlington, Bristol, and Richmond, we dropped 4 drivers, and the field of 12 remains.

We are picking up speed for the next three races that will make up the second round of the playoffs-Las Vegas, Talladega, and Charlotte.

Well, not too much speed by the time we get to the Queen City because the Charlotte race is at the Roval Road Course.

Last week, we were unable to win on any of our plays.

That hasn’t happened to us very much this season but when you’re betting on lines that are 4,6,8 to 1 then it’s pretty darn difficult to have only profitable weeks.

It does make me mad, though. Losing sucks. Tell that to Kyle Busch, man.

He had a pretty good battle with long-time rival Kevin Harvick but the #4 Ford did what he has done all year.

That is the 9th win on the season for Kevin Harvick while Kyle Busch’s total continues to sit at zero even though he has 12 top five finishes this year.

More and more people continue to speculate what could be going on with the Vegas native and NASCAR legend.

Yea, I said legend. Check the stats.

I’m hearing that it is the car but I don’t know.

He isn’t a bad driver to pick in a matchup but he is going to have to get to victory lane at least once more before I ever give him my money on a winner bet.

Joey Logano has been our boy lately winning top three finisher bets two weeks in a row for us, the first one at (+500)!

Last week, though, he came up short and only managed to place 11th.

Smaller tracks like Richmond and Bristol aren’t Joey’s especially, though.

Las Vegas, though…

Joey won here in February.

We picked him, actually.

Logano also took the checkered in March of 2019.

BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for this race so let’s pick some drivers to potentially win and place.

Brad Keselowski: +200

Bad Brad is my sleeper to win the Cup this year!

He isn’t too tired, though, because only Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin are more heavily favored.

He is 6 to 1 to win the Cup Series Championship for 2020.

I’m not sure about that just yet but we have him in a great spot this weekend in Las Vegas at the South Point 400.

The South Point is a fun place. I used to live right down the street and our coach would have us run the stairs of the entire hotel two or three times depending on how much hotter it was above 100 degrees F.

Good times.

Brad is 6 to 1 to win the race but I’m not sweating that.

I like him as a top three pick at (+200).

That isn’t much for a top three. As I mentioned a moment ago, we got Joey Logano at Darlington for 5 to 1.

Get this, though.

In the last 10 races in Las Vegas, Brad Keselowski has an average finishing position of 3.6.

That number blows my wittle mind.

He is 10/10 in top tens, 7 top fives, and 3 wins over that stretch.

That is, not surprisingly, best of any active driver.

His teammate isn’t far behind, though.

Top 3
Brad Keselowski!

Joey Logano: +200

Same team and same story here, really.

Joey has been better over the past 6 weeks than he has been all year.

I mentioned in the opener that he won in Las Vegas in February.

Both Brad and Joey are pretty safe ranked 3 and 4 in the playoff standings but I expect nothing but excellent urine and mountain lions in the backseat for both drivers.

Joey Logano has also led almost double the number of laps led at Las Vegas Motor Speedway than his Team Penske running mate, Keselowski.

This track and race, in particular, comes down to about 4 or 5 drivers-Kes, Logano, Truex, Harvick, and Chase.

I am going with Team Penske here.

If we had better odds, I might pick a third driver for a top three but we can’t.

Top 3
Joey Logano!

Martin Truex Jr: +550

Martin Truex Jr historically has performed very well here in Las Vegas.

Only the previous two mentioned drivers have a better record here over the last 10 races but it’s not by much.

Martin won this race last year.

That’s a good start for us.

He is third in laps led and third in average finishing position over his past 10 starts here.

He fares exceptionally well in the Fall Vegas race, though, and that’s what made me pick him in this spot.

Starting on July 3rd of this year, Marty racked up 6 consecutive top 3 finishes.

He didn’t race that well at Richmond or Bristol but those places are enigmas and he loves Vegas.

A top three bet might be your play here.

You can get him at (+160).

That’s why I went with the win but look at his performances over the past several Fall races here in the desert.

It has only been two, granted, but 1st last year and 3rd the year prior is pretty solid.

I still hope Joey and Brad help each other get inside that top three but Marty is my play to win.

To Win
Martin Truex Jr!

In Conclusion

I know there is just so much going on right now in the world of sports that it’s pretty easy to forget about the NASCAR Playoffs as long as you’re not a total motorhead.

I can’t forget about them. I might have a hard time watching the entire race on Sunday with everything else going on plus fantastic weather outside but I will make enough time to place my bets, though.

I promise you that much.

Please Note:
It has been a tremendously profitable year for our Cup Series bets. We have picked 8 or 9 winners and 7 or 8 top three finishers. Last week was a bust, yes, but I like our spots for Sunday.

The Team Penske Mustangs have been outstanding over the past 6-8 weeks and no other drivers in the field run this track better than Joey Lo and Bad Brad.

Martin Truex is up there, though, with Kevin Harvick who is never a bad bet. His odds have just gone to poopytown.

Get your plays in now from this article and let’s make some more money!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.