NASCAR Betting Picks: Top 3 and Matchup Bets for Charlotte 500

NASCAR continues its furious pace to catch up to the regularly scheduled season with another race in Charlotte, North Carolina this Wednesday night.

We are “only” set to go 500 kilometers instead of the 600 miles we saw on Sunday night. There is an 80% chance of rain in the forecast for Wednesday night in North Charlotte.

We are scheduled for 310 so I think track position from the start will play a slightly larger role than in previous races.

We were on Alex Bowman on Sunday. He was just one of our two picks to win. Alex led more laps than any other driver but he faded slightly towards the end of the race.

It was his teammate, Chase Elliott, that appeared as if he was on his way to his first victory of 2020 when he was put in a precarious situation.

When you’re in first place late in a race and a caution comes out, you have the option to go in and get 2 or 4 tires or stay out.

Well, you’re kinda screwed.

  • If you pit, then everyone else can stay out and there may not be enough laps for you to catch up even with new tires.
  • If you stay out, then everyone else pits and gets new tires.

It’s an interesting spot and it sucked to see Chase Elliott get the short end of the stick for the second race in a row after Kyle Busch wrecked him before an inevitable pass of the no-new-tired leader, Denny Hamlin.

Hamlin got very lucky not only because of what Kyle did for him but the rains came just moments after this happened and just a few minutes later, he was declared the winner.

That luck didn’t last long. We had him at more than 10 to 1 to win his first Coca Cola 600 but he dropped a weighted ballast from his chassis as the cars were just warming up their tires. His crew chief is suspended for Wednesday’s race in Charlotte.

I don’t think I will be picking Denny for this week’s race. Who, then? Well, we have a slew of different matchup bets and even some top 3 finishing wagers that may hold some value.

BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for us. Let’s get after it and make our predictions on the Alsco Uniforms 500k from Charlotte Motor Speedway.

Top 3 Finishers

William Byron

Oh, William… You were so close on Sunday to a solid finish. Heck, your teammate, Chase Elliott, was in a position to win until you blew a tire and spun out! Thanks a lot, brother.

I really feel bad for fans but mostly the bettors who had Chase Elliott in either of the previous two races. I don’t like to use this word but he should have won both of those races.

William Byron has been running great and you have probably heard me mention that the Hendrick Motorsports Team is firing on all cylinders.

No, I’m not jumping on the Byron bandwagon because he is repping my hometown with the Liberty University car. It’s kinda cool but I really do like his chances at a top 3 finish.

He will be on the pole for Wednesday night’s race in the Queen City. His teammate, Alex Bowman, who I picked to win the race in another article, will be right alongside him starting in the front row.

Their team has the fastest cars right now. I know it appears that the Toyotas over at Joe Gibbs Racing are quickly catching up, though, but for now, I favor the speed of the Hendrick Chevys.

Christopher Bell

This is quite the longshot, of course, but the young man from Norman, Oklahoma is bound to finish inside the top 3 “Sooner” than later. Hey, dad jokes are free game when writing about NASCAR. If that isn’t a rule, it should be.

Bell received praise from his fellow drivers as well as the commentators and betting experts for his performance at Sunday’s race.

I can understand rookies getting out early and maybe even leading a few laps but normally, after 600 miles, these guys have either wrecked or been pushed towards the back of the pack.

Both Christopher Bell and fellow first-timer Tyler Reddick finished inside the top ten on Sunday. A lot of rookies have looked tremendous post-COVID break.

It’s like they just had a really short rookie year and taking 6 weeks off allowed them to more from the first 4 races of the season than they normally would have.

I’ve found that even with something as complicated as Brazilian Jiu Jitsu, taking several weeks off can work wonders for your game.

Not so much your cardio and muscle endurance but if you’re in a mental rut, simply taking time off and allowing your mind to focus on other things can bring clarity back to your original problem.

I don’t recommend trying to get rich with this play but there’s a bit of value on Christopher Bell to grab a top 3.

My Picks
WILLIAM BYRON
+400
CHRISTOPHER BELL
+2200

Matchups

Tyler Reddick (+100) vs Aric Almirola (-130)

  • Ford Mustang vs Chevy Camaro
  • Stewart-Haas vs Richard Childress
  • Aric Almirola vs Tyler Reddick

Hmm… I am trying to figure out why Aric is the favorite in this situation.

Experience is the only thing I can think of. Aric is starting in the third row with Tyler in row seven.

Tyler Reddick is the more talented driver. Heck, we can say that quite often when talking about the 24-year-old California native.

In his rookie year in the Xfinity Series, he only won one race. That was in 2017.

In 2018, he changed teams and his only wins were in the first and last races of the year. Tyler still managed to win the points championship for Xfinity for ‘18. He changed teams again.

Then came 2019 and Tyler Reddick was all of a sudden a man among boys in the Xfinity Series. In 33 races, he finished inside the top five 25 times!

Okay, time to step up your game once more in the big leagues, Tyler!

After a slow start in the first four races of the year where his best finish was 11th, Reddick got that break which seems to have helped several other rookies as well.

Since NASCAR has returned, he has finishes of 7th, 13th, and 8th most recently on Sunday at Charlotte.

Aric Almirola, while he may have more experience, doesn’t have the accomplishments Reddick has. This is Almirola’s 14th season in NASCAR’s Cup Series and he has only been able to make it to victory lane twice.

Heck, he only got there 3 times in over 100 starts on the Xfinity circuit. With over 300 starts, Aric doesn’t look like his ceiling is that high. He averages almost exactly 1 top ten for every 5 races.

Almirola is off to a nice start to the season but in a much shorter race, 310 miles compared to 600, I favor the hard-charging more talented rookie.

If you needed anything else, get this: Tyler Reddick is 5’5” and 130 pounds soaking wet. That’s 30 pounds less than Almirola and the NASCAR average. Size matters.

My Pick
REDDICK OVER ALMIROLA
+100

In Conclusion

Let’s go racing, again! I can’t get enough of this stuff.

I really do hope that NASCAR getting more press and attention from bettors can bring back some of the fandom that once supported the most popular sport in the country.

While I don’t expect to return to those days, I do believe that there are some good betting opportunities in NASCAR and it becomes more exciting to watch the more you learn about what’s going on.

Casuals can get by watching an NFL game or a UFC fight but fall asleep when the race is on.

Hopefully, we can continue to up our knowledge of the sport and more importantly, continue to make a profit from NASCAR betting in 2020.

Get those bets in now, guys, and enjoy the 500 kilometers of racing in Charlotte.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.