This Sunday afternoon from Hotlanta, NASCAR’s Monster Energy Cup Series will race the Quiktrip 500.
A lot of NASCAR events have been delayed lately because of the rain but we are expecting decent weather on Sunday. It will be cloudy and an always muggy 86.
Atlanta Motor Speedway is a 1.5 mile oval, the most common track type in NASCAR.
This track is also one of the fastest in NASCAR granted the restrictor plates are on the cars at Daytona and Talladega.
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Team Penske’s Brad Keselowski won here last year and has taken the checkered flag in 2 of the last three races.
Along with Martin Truex Jr and Kurt Busch, he has 7 top ten finishes in the last 10 Atlanta races.
The Penske Ford are sneaking up on the Chevy’s these past few races.
I am normally picking Hamlin, Truex, or Jones every week and these guys can win but the JGR cars are currently lacking that pop we have seen from the other two manufacturers.
BetOnline.AG has our betting odds and we will play with a few different kinds.
Let’s make our predictions for NASCAR’s Quiktrip 500.
Kevin Harvick: +500
Looking at the last 10 races here in Atlanta, Denny Hamlin has led 282 laps.
Good job, Den.
Unfortunately, that’s only good enough for second place.
Denny is a good value pick, actually. People are sleeping on him and he appears to be at the peak of his career.
I don’t see how you can ignore Kevin Harvick here.
- 8 top tens, 4 top fives, and 1 win in the last 10 races at Atlanta.
Kevin is first in the points standings on the season.
We can’t ignore Kevin Harvick in this spot.
Joey Logano: +900
Kevin Harvick may be first in the points standings but Joey Logano has 2 wins to his 1.
The driver of the #12 Penske Mustang has a very fast vehicle and would love to get his first-ever victory at Atlanta.
Most of his finishes don’t show it post-lockdown but Logano has been running and racing very well.
He has a decent history here but this one is more of a gut call.
I wanted to delete this and just leave him off of there but then the superstitious side gets going.
Put maybe half a unit on Joey Logano and let’s hopefully cash after inspection.
Martin Truex Jr: +275
Martin Truex Jr has odds to win this race of (+800).
That is not a bad deal but I feel like it may be a bit of a trap.
Marty hasn’t been able to put it all together for a win this season but he loves the intermediate tracks and has raced Atlanta in particular incredibly well over the last 10 starts.
- 7 top tens and 4 tops fives.
He doesn’t have any wins in that stretch and he only 82 combined laps.
It sounds like he hasn’t quite figured it out yet but is just as likely for a top 3 finish as anyone else.
The betting odds are off here. You could chase the win but there is plenty of value in this play.
Ah, Kurt Busch…
I was just talking about you.
The Las Vegas native and the brother of Kyle is a man’s man.
He could still be very competitive if he were to be with an elite team.
Kurt is one of the best race car drivers in the world but he didn’t like his team telling him who his sponsors could be.
He said, screw it. I’m rich already. I’m going to do things my way from now one.
You have to respect that.
If his team stinks, then why pick him?
Well, he out-raced Jimmie Johnson in both Charlotte races, one at Darlington, Phoenix, Auto Club, and Daytona.
- 7th, 7th, 6th, 5th, 3rd, 3rd.
Those are Kurt’s best finishes this year in 9 starts.
- 12th, 11th, 8th, 7th, 5th, 3rd.
We know they are both past their prime but this is Johnson’s final season while Kurt has plenty more left in the petrol pouch.
Average finish here over the last 10 races:
- Jimmie Johnson: 14.3
- Kurt Busch: 6.9
We are getting pick’em odds so I will go with the numbers and they are all on the side of Kurt Busch.
Atlanta is a fun race.
It isn’t as interesting as somewhere like Bristol or Darlington where you have to be all different kinds of technical not to mention patient just to stay out of the wall.
Atlanta is more what you see is what you get.
- 1.5 mile oval.
- Drive real fast and turn to the left sometimes.
- Cars will be getting close to if not eclipsing the 200MPH mark.
As for our picks, Kurt Busch has been low key fast this year.
We know he has the moves but I like the boost his team has provided in 2020.
Joey Logano has a decent history at this track but excels at this track type. I like him as a value/gut play.
Finally, Kevin Harvick has led 5x as many laps in the last 10 Atlanta races than any other driver in Sunday’s field.
Get your bets in now directly from this article and enjoy the end race on Sunday evening if you have time.