NASCAR Xfinity Series Picks: Cheddar’s 300

Man, it sure is nice to be back in Virginia…Or is it Tennessee?

Bristol is a border town.

My first experience in Bristol was when I was there to fight some mountain man in a cage.

It wasn’t the best decision I have ever made but it worked out in the end. I needed a few stitches and scars give us character.

I remember the athletic commission was from Tennessee. When we went out for some beers after the fight, the bars shut down at midnight, I think.

Needless to say, we were incredibly disappointed but that emotion quickly turned to an elated relief.

Just like a herd of construction workers heading to lunch, there was a mass exodus on one side of the street and after a few short steps, the party was now in Virginia.

For those of you familiar with a border town, I guess that story was pretty boring but the moral of the story is that Bristol is a wonderful town.

There is a heck of a racetrack there too!

Sometimes great things come in small packages. Bristol is one of the shortest tracks on the NASCAR circuit.

Only Martinsville is shorter and that isn’t by much.

  • Bristol is just over half of a mile long.
  • Drivers run a lap in 15 seconds.

The track changes throughout the race as rubber is laid down on it from the tires. Sometimes, the high line is the better line and sometimes it’s the low side.

Either way, all of the various strategies are exciting to me.

Bristol truly is a technician’s race track.

At yesterday’s Cup Series race, Chase Elliott found a way out of the winner’s circle once again.


Since NASCAR’s return, Chase and his team blew the end of one race and were wrecked by Kyle Busch in another.

Elliott can blame his crew chief for one of those and of course, Kyle Busch, for the other.

He better put on Michael Jackson and immediately have a staring contest with himself.

Elliott was fighting Joey Logano to hold on to his first-place position late in the race when the #9 Chevy was just pushed too hard and he slid into the #12 Mustang of Logano and both men were out of the race just like that.

Tonight, we get to see the Xfinity drivers take their best shot at Bristol at the Cheddars 300.

BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for us.

Let’s get to those and make our predictions!

Cheddar’s 300 Odds to Win

Chase Briscoe
+300
Justin Allgair
+325
Ross Chastain
+750
Austin Cindric
+800
Brandon Jones
+800
Harrison Burton
+900
AJ Allmendinger
+1200
Daniel Hemric:
+1200

Starting from the top, Chase Briscoe has 4 starts at Bristol and 2 top five finishes.

He has never made it to the big show, NASCAR’s Monster Energy Cup Series.

Briscoe is a talented driver, though. The 25-year-old from Indiana already has 2 wins this season in just 6 races.

He won in Las Vegas before the lockdown and post-quarantine.

He was also the first to see the checkered flag at Darlington.

Phoenix is the shortest track we have seen this year and that is still nearly twice as long as Bristol’s half mile.

Briscoe had a respectable 6th place. He’s not Kyle Busch so I don’t understand him being such a big favorite.

Unless we can’t find any value in the other drivers, we are going to have to pass on Briscoe at the Cheddar’s 300.

Justin Allgair is the veteran of the group.

He has been successful enough to continue racing the Xfinity Series and also be competitive but Justin has yet to make the jump to the Cup Series.

Well, he has had his chances in the big leagues.

It just hasn’t panned out for the Illinois native.

76 starts over 4 years but 1 top ten.

One.

That’s not going to cut it.

Justin finished up the 2019 Xfinity Series season with 17 top ten finishes in his last 18 starts.

He is the model of consistency but you have to get more than one win all year long when you’re constantly in the top ten or top five.

Justin’s sole victory came at Phoenix last year which is kind of a short track.

How is his history here at Bristol, though?

In 18 starts in Thunder Valley, Allgair finished inside the top ten 11 times, the top five 8 times, but only one victory.

He is really the only Xfinity Series driver in tonight’s field that has a great deal of success here.

He is the only driver in Monday’s field who has a win here and just one of four drivers who have a top five finish as Bristol.

His betting odds of (+325) aren’t much.

He is very consistent but 18 starts and one win and the books make him 3 to 1?

Maybe we will come back to Justin.

Ross Chastain had 5 straight top ten finishes this season and then he switched teams from Kaulig Racing to RSS Racing and has just one 20th place finish at Darlington since.

In 164 starts in NASCAR’s Xfinity Series, Ross has just 2 wins.

He has run Bristol 9 times and only finished inside the top ten once.

Next.

Austin Cindric, a 6’3” beanpole from Columbus, Ohio is just 21-years-old.

The young man already has a spot on Team Penske Racing driving the #22 Ford Mustang.

Team Penske’s Ryan Blaney was running great here yesterday until the shadow on the track helped him get loose in turn 1.

Joey Logano was side by side with leader Chase Elliott when the latter lost control of his race car and pushed him into the wall.

That left Brad Keselowski, another Penske teammate, to win the race.

I would say the team is doing well and have their Mustangs well-tuned for some short track success.

Austin has done well here too.

In 4 starts, he has 2 top tens and 1 top five finish.

Give me that track history, nice valuable odds of (+800), and has also had a tremendous start to the Xfinity Series season.

4 out of his last 5 races, he has finished inside the top 4 and in the other (Phoenix), he was 8th.

My Pick
AUSTIN CINDRIC
+800

Harrison Burton is another driver I like today.

He has just one start here at Bristol but he managed a top ten performance.

We are also betting on raw talent here.

The kid is just 19!

He has finished inside of the top 9 drivers in all six of his Xfinity Series starts in 2020.

Kyle Busch won’t be around to get the extra attention from Joe Gibbs Racing.

You just have the young man, Burton, and a Toyota Supra he can take to victory lane.

My Pick
HARRISON BURTON
+900

Daniel Hemric (+105) vs Brandon Jones (-135)

I wanted to pick Daniel Hemric to win.

You guys still can if you like.

He has 3 top tens and two top fives in just 4 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway.

Daniel had a bad day in Phoenix but he has finished 6th and 2nd in his last two starts.

Brandon Jones is Joe Gibbs Racing guy and he did win Phoenix.

I keep bringing up that track because it is the closest thing we have seen to Bristol so far this season but it is still 50% smaller.

I like the track history between the two here.

Brandon Jones has run this track 9 times under the Xfinity banner and has yet to finish inside the top five and only has 2 top tens.

Even though he had the big win at Phoenix, Bristol is its own devil and Hemric has shown to be the better driver here than Jones on multiple occasions.

My Pick
DANIEL HEMRIC
+105

In Conclusion

Not too many days off for NASCAR anymore!

I love it!

I hope some of you guys got to watch the Cup Series race from Bristol last night!

It is a very technical track that can fool even the sharpest of driving minds.

  • The teams didn’t get any practice.
  • There was no qualifying.
  • Just get out there and race!
  • Mistakes were made and that’s okay.

I wish our boy Chase Elliott would have been able to hold on.

That would have been 4 out of 9 races when we successfully picked a winner.

3 of 9 still isn’t terrible but a win in Monday’s Xfinity Series race will for sure count.

Let’s hope Austin Cindric, Harrison Burton, and Daniel Hemric can do their thing.

Get your bets in now, guys!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.