We notched another NBA Playoff win last night to push the record to 9-3 ATS over our last 12 NBA games with the Bulls and Wizards easily going over the 180.5 total. More importantly, the Wizards took a commanding 2-0 series lead after winning both games in Chicago. DJ Augustine kept them in the game, but as I’ve written earlier, if you are depending on DJ Augustine to carry you against John Wall and Bradley Beal, you are at an enormous disadvantage. This series isn’t technically ‘over’ but it is really difficult to see Chicago rallying back at this point.
Meanwhile, the Pacers did what #1 seeds are expected to do last night; storm back from an embarrassing loss with a resounding statement win. They still have some work to do, but I still think the Pacers are getting through the Conference Finals, and last night’s win was very reassuring.
Tonight, the Western Conference wraps up its game twos as well as the two-time defending champs looking to dispatch the young Bobcats. So will we see any more dramatics tonight? Any upsets brewing?
Let’s take a look at tonight’s action with tonight’s free pick.
Charlotte Bobcats at Miami Heat -10.5 (Total: 186)
The Bobcats looked interesting for about a half against the Heat, and with all the early game upsets, perhaps some fans were thinking this could be an interesting series. It won’t be. Especially with Al Jefferson getting hurt (he say he wants to play tonight, but there’s no official decision yet) in Game One. The Bobcats have some nice young players, but they are no match for the Miami Heat. Even if Jefferson plays, you’d have to think he’ll be slightly limited, and without him, they have absolutely no shot.
I think Miami rolls tonight. While all the other contenders seem to be mired in tough series, the Heat will enjoy some extra rest by handling their business efficiently in this round one mismatch.
Portland Trailblazers at Houston Rockets -6 (Total: 214.5)
The two highest scoring teams in the league didn’t disappoint in Game One, playing a 122-120 overtime thriller punctuated by LaMarcus Alderidge’s 46-point effort. I don’t think L.A. is going for 40-plus tonight, but I don’t expect the tempo to slow any.
I’d lean Houston responding at home tonight an evening up the series, but I feel much better about this total going OVER yet again. These two teams have gone OVER eight straight times head-to-head, with only one team once scoring under 100 points (Portland scored 98 back in April of 2013).
Look for some more thrilling high-scoring hoops tonight in Houston.