Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics NBA Pick – Game 1

The NBA second round is set to open up on May 1. Two games are up on the board throughout Sunday. One of the games will be between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics. These two teams have been strong throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 1:00 PM Eastern time.

Milwaukee has earned a record of 4-1 throughout this postseason so far. The Bucks were met up with the Chicago Bulls in the first round and were able to win three games in a row to advance in five. Milwaukee has been strong, but will have a tough task in this series. The Bucks will look to come out fast on the road in this one.

The Celtics have put up a record of 4-0 throughout the playoffs. Boston had a first round matchup with the Brooklyn Nets and were able to pull off the sweep. The Celtics were the hottest team in the NBA in 2022 and will look to remain hot in the playoffs. Boston will look to stay perfect with a big Game 1 win at home on Sunday afternoon.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Bucks have been strong on the playoffs and will look to step up early in this one. Boston will look to remain hot with a win in this one. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win on Sunday afternoon.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Milwaukee Bucks +4 ½ (-110) +160 Over 218 (-110)
Boston Celtics -4 ½ (-110) -185 Under 218 (-110)

 

Team Data Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics
Playoff Record 4-1 4-0
Away/ Home Playoff Record 2-0 2-0
Playoff PPG 109.8 113.5
Playoff PPG Away/ Home 115.0 114.5
Playoff PAPG 95.2 109.0
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home 88.0 110.5

Betting Trends

Milwaukee Bucks

  • 43-43 ATS this season
  • 5-10 ATS as an underdog
  • 25-17 ATS in road games
  • 5-7 ATS on Sunday
  • 2-4 ATS when playing on three or more days rest
  • 8-10 ATS against Atlantic division
  • 8-12 ATS after a divisional opponents
  • 3-2 ATS in Playoffs
  • 7-10 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 16-17 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 17-26 ATS against team with a winning record

Boston Celtics

  • 47-36 ATS this season
  • 32-28 ATS as a favorite
  • 20-21 ATS in home games
  • 9-4 ATS on Sunday
  • 4-1 ATS when playing on three or more days rest
  • 8-10 ATS against Central division
  • 9-9 ATS after a divisional game
  • 3-1 ATS in Playoffs
  • 11-7 ATS after three or more straight wins
  • 27-14 ATS against team with a winning record

These two teams met up four times in the regular season. Dennis Schroder scored 38 points in the first game as Boston won 122-113. Jayson Tatum dropped 42 points in the second meeting as the Celtics won 117-103. Giannis Antetokounmpo put up 36 points in the third matchup as Milwaukee earned a 117-113 win. Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday both had 29 points in the fourth game as the Bucks won 127-121.

Field Goal Shooting

The Bucks have been solid shooting the ball in their first series. Milwaukee has made 47.2 percent of their shots from the field, which is 5th out of the remaining 8 playoff teams. The Bucks have shot 38 percent from deep, which is 3rd in the postseason. Milwaukee also sunk 68.9 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 8th in the playoffs.

Boston has been strong shooting the ball in the playoffs. The Celtics have been shooting 49 percent from the field, which is 3rd in the postseason. Boston has made 35.5 percent of their shots from behind the arc, which is 6th in the playoffs. The Celtics have drained 82.4 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 2nd in the postseason.

These two teams have been solid shooting the ball on the playoffs. The Celtics have been better shooting the ball this postseason run and will look to keep it going. Both teams played strong defense in the first round and will look to remain hot in this one. If either team can come out strong shooting the ball, I think they can earn the win.

Top Performers

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been strong for Milwaukee this postseason. Antetokounmpo has averaged 28.6 points and 13.4 rebounds per game. Jrue Holiday is averaging 16.4 points and 6.8 assists per game. Brook Lopez has averaged 13.2 points, while Grayson Allen is averaging 13 points per game. Bobby Portis has averaged 11.6 points and 11.4 rebounds to round out this lineup.

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are the leaders for the Celtics. Tatum is averaging 29.5 points and 7.3 assists per game. Brown has averaged 22.5 points per game. Marcus Smart is averaging 16.5 points and 7 assists, while Al Horford has averaged 13 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Grant Williams rounds out the lineup, averaging 11.3 points per game.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout this season. The Bucks are missing Khris Middleton for this series, which hurts their lineup greatly. Boston will look for Tatum and Brown to continue to come out strong in this one. If either team can have some players step up early, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams will look for a big win as they meet up in Game 1 of their series. The Bucks will look to step up early in this one without Middleton, while Boston will look to take advantage of his absence. The Celtics dominated the Nets in the first round and I think they will carry momentum into this one. If Boston can come out fast at home, I like their chances to earn the win.

Bovada has the Celtics listed as a -4 ½ against the spread in this one. This gives a solid edge to Boston to earn the win at home in Game 1. I agree with this line as the Celtics have been the better team and with Middleton out, I think Boston can take advantage. As slight favorites in Game 1, I like the value on the Celtics to cover the spread.

The Bet
Boston Celtics -4.5
-105
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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