Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics NBA Pick – Game 5

The NBA is set up with another great night of playoff basketball on May 11. Two games are up on the board throughout Wednesday night. One of these games will be between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics. These two teams have been strong in this series and will look for a huge win in Game 5. This game will tip off at around 7:00 PM Eastern time on TNT.

Milwaukee has earned a record of 6-3 throughout this postseason after earning the third seed in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks knocked off the Chicago Bulls in five games in the first round. Milwaukee is coming off a tough loss at home in Game 4 and will look to bounce back in this one. I expect the Bucks to come out quickly on the road.

The Celtics have put up a record of 6-2 so far these playoffs as the second seed in the Eastern Conference. Boston swept the Brooklyn Nets in their first round series. The Celtics are coming off a big win in Game 4, but have yet to have a series lead in the second round. Boston will look to take control with a pivotal win at home on Wednesday.

These two teams have played in a back and forth series so far and I expect another exciting game on Wednesday. The Bucks have taken a 1-0 and 2-1 series lead and will look to bounce back for a 3-2 series lead. Boston will look to get their home crowd into this one early. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Milwaukee Bucks +5 ½ (-110) +185 Over 214 ½ (-110)
Boston Celtics -5 ½ (-110) -225 Under 214 ½ (-110)

 

Team Data Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics
Playoff Record 6-3 6-2
Away/ Home Playoff Record 3-1 3-1
Playoff PPG 105.2 108.6
Playoff PPG Away/ Home 104.3 106.8
Playoff PAPG 99.0 104.3
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home 93.5 102.0

Betting Trends

Milwaukee Bucks

  • 44-45 ATS this season
  • 6-11 ATS as an underdog
  • 26-18 ATS in road games
  • 9-12 ATS against Atlantic division
  • 4-4-1 ATS in Playoffs
  • 1-0-1 ATS when tied in series
  • 11-9 ATS off an upset loss as favorite
  • 18-28 ATS against team with a winning record

Boston Celtics

  • 49-37 ATS this season
  • 33-29 ATS as a favorite
  • 21-22 ATS in home games
  • 10-11 ATS against Central division
  • 5-2-1 ATS in Playoffs
  • 0-0-1 ATS when tied in series
  • 3-5 ATS off an upset win as a favorite
  • 29-15 ATS against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up in a four game series so far. Jrue Holiday scored 25 points in Game 1 as the Bucks earned a 101-89 win. Jaylen Brown put up 30 points in the second game to help Boston win 109-86. Giannis Antetokounmpo dropped 42 points and 12 rebounds in Game 3 as Milwaukee won 103-101. Jayson Tatum and Al Horford both had 30 points in Game 4 as the Celtics won 116-108.

Field Goal Shooting

The Bucks have been struggling a bit shooting the ball in the playoffs. Milwaukee has made 44.9 percent of their shots from the field, which is 6th in the field of 8. The Bucks have been shooting 34.7 percent from deep, which is 7th in the postseason. Milwaukee has sunk 71.17 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 8th in the playoffs.

Boston has been solid shooting the ball in the postseason. The Celtics have shot 45.4 percent from the field, which is 5th in the remaining field. Boston has made 36.5 percent of their shots from behind the arc, which is 4th in the playoffs. The Celtics have drained 82.8 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 3rd in the postseason.

The Celtics have been the better team shooting the ball on the postseason, but Milwaukee has had the better defense. The Bucks will look for their defense to step up again in this one after allowing over 115 points for the first time this postseason. Boston will look for their defense to continue to keep Milwaukee quiet as well in this one.

Top Performers

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been the leader for Milwaukee in this postseason run. Antetokounmpo has averaged 30.1 points, 13.2 rebounds and 7 assists per game. Jrue Holiday is averaging 18.6 points and 6.4 assists. Brook Lopez has averaged 11.6 points per game. Bobby Portis rounds out the lineup, averaging 11 points and 9.9 rebounds per game.

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are the leaders for the Celtics in the playoffs. Tatum is averaging 26 points and 6.4 assists per game. Brown has averaged 22.1 points per game. Al Horford is averaging 15.9 points and 9.4 rebounds, while Marcus Smart is averaging 14.7 points per game. Grant Williams has averaged 11.5 points to round out the lineup.

These two teams have been led by their stars and will look for some players to step up in this one. The Bucks are missing Khris Middleton in their lineup, which hurts a lot. Boston will look to take advantage again in Game 5. If either team can have some players step up early in this one, it could be enough for the win on Wednesday night.

Pick Overview

Boston has tied up this series twice so far and will look to take their first lead in Game 5. The Celtics have the better lineup with Middleton out for the series and they will look to take advantage in this one. Boston will look to get their home crowd into this one. If the Celtics can grab the early lead, I think they can hold on for the win.

Bovada has Boston listed as a -5 ½ against the spread in this one. This gives a solid edge to the Celtics at home in this one. I agree with this line as Boston will look to win back to back games for the first time this series. The Celtics were one of the hottest teams to finish the regular season and will look to step up again in this one as they look to knock off the reigning Champions.

The Bet
Boston Celtics -5.5
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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