Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics NBA Pick – Game 7

The NBA is set up with another strong slate of basketball on May 15. Two Game 7’s are up on the board throughout Sunday night. One of these games will be between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics. These two teams have been solid throughout this series and will look for a big win in this one. This game will tip off at around 3:30 PM Eastern time on ABC.

Milwaukee has earned a record of 7-4 throughout the postseason after grabbing the third seed in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks knocked off the Chicago Bulls in five games in the first round. Milwaukee has been leading or tied throughout this entire series. The Bucks will look to finish this series off with a big win on Sunday afternoon.

The Celtics have put up a record of 7-3 so far these playoffs as the second seed in the Eastern Conference. Boston swept the Brooklyn Nets in the first round and will look to move on in this series. The Celtics are coming off a huge win in Game 6 to force Game 7, but have not led in this series. I expect Boston to try and step up early in this one.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this game. The Bucks have been strong throughout this series and will look to keep it up with a win in this one. Boston has fought back every time they have dropped a game and will look to finally take the lead. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Milwaukee Bucks +5 (-110) +175 Over 207 (-110)
Boston Celtics -5 (-110) -210 Under 207 (-110)

 

Team Data Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics
Playoff Record 7-4 7-3
Away/ Home Playoff Record 4-1 3-2
Playoff PPG 104.7 108.4
Playoff PPG Away/ Home 105.4 106.8
Playoff PAPG 100.6 103.9
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home 96.2 103.6

Betting Trends

Milwaukee Bucks

  • 45-46 ATS this season
  • 7-11 ATS as an underdog
  • 27-18 ATS in road games
  • 6-7 ATS on Sunday’s
  • 10-13 ATS against Atlantic division
  • 5-5 ATS in Playoffs
  • 2-0 ATS when tied in Playoff series
  • 12-9 ATS off an upset loss as favorite
  • 9-6 ATS after a loss by 10 or more points
  • 8-6 ATS after scoring 100 points or less
  • 19-29 ATS against team with a winning record

Boston Celtics

  • 50-38 ATS this season
  • 33-30 ATS as a favorite
  • 21-23 ATS in home games
  • 9-5 ATS on Sunday’s
  • 11-12 ATS against Central division
  • 6-3 ATS in Playoffs
  • 0-1 ATS when tied in Playoff series
  • 19-10 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 15-17 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 30-16 ATS against team with winning record

These two teams have met in a back and forth series so far. The first two games in Boston were split and the next two games were split in Milwaukee as well. Giannis Antetokounmpo dropped 40 points and 11 rebounds in Game 5 as the Bucks earned a 110-107 win to take the 3-2 series lead. Jayson Tatum put up 46 points in Game 6, while Jaylen Brown added 22 points as the Celtics tied the series with a 108-95 win.

Field Goal Shooting

The Bucks have struggled a bit shooting the ball in this postseason. Milwaukee has made 44.4 percent of their shots from the field, which is 5th of the remaining 6 playoff teams. The Bucks have shot 34.6 percent from deep, which is 5th in the playoffs. Milwaukee has sunk 73.4 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 6th in the postseason.

Boston has been solid shooting the ball throughout the playoffs. The Celtics have been shooting 45.8 percent from the field, which is 4th in the field of 6. Boston has made 36.5 percent of their shots from behind the arc, which is 3rd in the postseason. The Celtics have drained 81.2 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 2nd in the playoffs.

The Celtics have been the better team shooting the ball in the playoffs, but Milwaukee has been strong on defense. The Bucks will look to step up early in this one as they try to neutralize Boston’s offense. Both teams will look to step up early in this one. If either team can shoot well early on Sunday, it could be enough to give them the win.

Top Performers

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been great for Milwaukee in the postseason. Antetokounmpo has averaged 32.3 points and 13.6 rebounds per game. Jrue Holiday is averaging 18.9 points and 6.4 assists per game. Bobby Portis has averaged 10.6 points and 10.4 rebounds. Brook Lopez and Pat Connaughton is averaging 10.2 points per game.

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are both the leaders for Boston in the postseason. Tatum is averaging 28.8 points and 5.9 assists per game. Brown has averaged 22.5 points and 6.4 rebounds. Marcus Smart is averaging 15.4 points per game. Al Horford has averaged 13.7 points and 9.3 rebounds per game to round out the lineup.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout this postseason. The Bucks continue to be without Khris Middleton, which hurts their lineup a bit. I think that Boston could take advantage of that in Game 7. Milwaukee will look for an unsung hero to step up in this one. If either team can have some players shoot well early, it could lead them to the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Bucks have been strong throughout this postseason, but I think the Celtics will move on. Boston has the better one-two punch with Brown and Tatum. If the Celtics can come out shooting well at home, I think they can earn the win at home.

Bovada has Boston listed as a -5 against the spread in this one. This gives a solid edge to the Celtics in this matchup. I agree with this line as Boston is at home for a big Game 7. The Bucks have held the lead this entire series, but I think Boston will grab their first lead on Sunday. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Celtics.

The Bet
Boston Celtics -5
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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