We righted the NBA ship last night with a nice straight-up underdog winner on the Philadelphia 76’ers. The Sixers may not be “good” yet, but they have been a nice wager for me more than a few occasions this season. They are competitive and Joel Embiid looks like a budding All Star (even this season? Maybe? Is the East so thin a dude playing 25 minutes a night can make the squad?) and despite one of the worst records in the NBA they are 17-15-1 ATS overall and 11-8-1 ATS at home.
Meanwhile, the Timberwolves continue to frustrate and perplex. The playoffs look like a ridiculous expectation at this point and despite not even reaching the halfway mark of the season it looks like it is going to be another “develop the squad, add a draft pick and wait for this amazing collection of talent to bloom” season in Minny.
Also, a quick SHOUT OUT to Alex and his DraftKings NBA Plays column yesterday. I am not a huge DFS guy, but dabble when my travel schedule allows me to keep up with the “who’s in and who’s out” flurry around 7pm. Thanks to his hidden gems of Reggie Jackson and Yusef Nurkic I managed to finish well under the Top 1% in all three different contests I played (including 46th in a a close to 6,000-person decent payout game). Thanks homie!
Today’s Free Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks EVEN
There are some injury concerns around tonight’s game, most notably Kristaps Porzingis being downgraded to doubtful for tonight’s contest. The Knicks are already in freefall, dropping five straight games, and the absence of their Unicorn makes tonight’s visit from The Greek Freak even more daunting.
Milwaukee is starting to emerge right in concert with Giannis as a bonafide Top Ten guy (and sure-fire All Star) and Jabari Parker blossoming into a legitimate second scoring option. That should be aided tonight by facing one of the worst defenses in the NBA, and a defense now missing their rim protector (likely). They ranked fifth worst in defensive efficiency and have allowed over 100 points in five straight games. Not shockingly, all five are also losses.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee has the BEST offense in the NBA in points in the paint. So, no rim protector and a struggling team hosting a team that scores more effectively in the paint than any other? I’ll take Milwaukee all day, especially if I can get the game at a pick em (which you now can). I imagine this line will move another point or two if Zinger is officially scratched, but either way, I like the Bucks tonight.