Bucks vs Warriors – NBA Pick for March 29th

Wow. Last night’s loss was a bit shocking. We backed the red-hot Portland Trailblazers on the road against the tanking Memphis Grizzlies. The game was going according to plan as the Blazers led by five heading into the fourth quarter and held a seven-point lead with just six minutes left to play. But I guess those tired legs caught up to the Blazers as they completely fell apart down the stretch.

Portland allowed a Grizzlies team, that is actively trying to lose games, steal the game from them late. Not only did the Blazers not cover the number, but they also lost the game outright. If the Blazers don’t end up locking in the three seed, this will be a game they look back at that they will regret letting slip away.

Today we look at the matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks will travel to Oakland Thursday night to face a suddenly struggling Golden State Warriors teams. The Bucks haven’t been playing all that well themselves recently as they have lost four out of their last seven games and are clinging to the eighth and final playoff spot in the soft Eastern Conference.

Golden State has struggled badly as they have been without all four of their best players. Golden State has lost six of their last nine games while dealing with all of the injuries.

The Warriors are -5.5-point favorites. The game total over-under is set at 215.5 points. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM PST from the Oracle Arena.

The Golden State Warriors have been playing without Steph Curry, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson, and Kevin Durant the last several games. The results have been expectedly terrible.

Golden State is really good when healthy, but there isn’t a team in the league that could remain competitive after losing their four best players. The Warriors were in a spot where they had the luxury of being able to rest their best players and that is what they have done.

Golden State was never going to catch the Rockets for the number one seed in the Western Conference as Houston is just playing on another level right now. And the Warriors are very unlikely to be caught for the two seed, so resting their guys and losing a couple of games did nothing to hurt their standing for the playoffs.

The Dubs should be somewhat back to form tonight as they expect to welcome back Draymond Green and Kevin Durant. They will need both guys back and playing well if they want to hold off a decent Bucks team that would love to knock off the defending champs on their home floor.

The Milwaukee Bucks don’t care that Golden State will be missing some key players tonight. They had to play almost the entire season without Jabari Parker, so they know their fair share about missing key guys.

And they would love to knock off the Dubs on their home court. The fact that Curry and Thompson aren’t playing wouldn’t at all damper the good feeling of beating a very good Warriors team on their own floor.

So, you can expect the Bucks to be playing hard tonight in Oakland. But you just have to wonder if this team can really compete on this level. Even with half of their team missing, this Warriors team is still really good.

And the Bucks are playing game two of a long four-game West Coast road trip. They lost the first game against the Clippers and will finish out with the Lakers and Nuggets. The Bucks have struggled badly on the road recently against decent teams.

They have lost to the Clippers, Cavs, Pacers, and Magic on the road this month. Their only road wins this month have come against the tanking Bulls and Grizzlies. That doesn’t give me a lot of confidence in backing them on the road.

This line opened up at Warriors -4.5. It has quickly been pushed to -5.5 and it wouldn’t shock me if it moved towards the Warriors even further. The news that Durant and Green are expected to play could push this number to -6 or even higher before tipoff.

And I can see why. I would have liked the Warriors tonight to win the game even without Durant and Green on the floor. The Bucks just can’t be trusted on the road right now. Now that Durant and Green will be playing? I can see why the sharps are all backing Golden State.

The Bet: Golden State Warriors -5.5 points (-105)

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1 Comment on “Bucks vs Warriors – NBA Pick for March 29th
  1. Seriously bucks length gives a health warriors team trouble. Bucks are young, athletic and had a players only meeting. I have access to the info and they are going to play this game like a playoff game. Bucks win by double digits.

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