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Bucks vs Warriors Pick NBA – March 9th

We had another nice winning night in the NBA thanks to the Miami Heat’s “pull it out just enough to win” method of home victories.  The game was close until the fourth quarter, with the Heat even trailing the lousy Sixers late in the third quarter before putting an 18-6 run to start the fourth and putting the game in their comfort zone to coast to a win.  The win was the Heat’s 17th straight, but also the fifth straight home game in which they got the win but failed to cover the spread.  Not  that THEY care, but it sure is useful information to US…

College hoops takes the center stage today with a noon-to-midnight exploding schedule of great games, but there are one or two NBA games of note tonight as well.  So let’s take a quick glance through the Association and see if we can string together a third straight winning day.

Milwaukee Bucks at Golden State Warriors -3

It might be getting real close to panic time in the Bay.  The Warriors were unable to end their slide last night, losing 94-88 at home to Houston in a surprisingly low-scoring affair.  The Warriors have now dropped five of their last seven games overall and in 6th place in the Western Conference, but have the Lakers just 3 games back in the 9th spot and just a game cushion over the 7th place Rockets (and lose the tie-breaker).

Milwaukee has been securely in the Eastern Conference playoff picture, thanks in large part to the complete absence of a ninth team worth a crap in the East.  Seriously, who’s gonna catch them?  Toronto?  Philly?  Washington??  But very quietly, the Bucks have been playing pretty good basketball, especially since the acquisition of JJ Reddick from the Orlando Magic.  The Bucks have won four of their last five games, with the only loss being a road loss to the Clippers.  Their wins include road wins at Houston and Dallas as well as a home win over the Jazz.  They’ve been doing the Warriors an unwitting favorite, keeping them in secure playoff spot by beating all the teams breathing down their neck.

So will they be so generous tonight when they meet face-to-face?

Golden State is one of only two playoff teams with a negative points per game differential.  Much like run differential in MLB, sooner or later, it catches up with you.  It seem to be about that time for Mark Jackson’s Warriors.  The Bucks, for all their many flaws, are actually a pretty good road team (14-15), especially considering the wild home/road splits for most teams in the lower tier of playoff teams.

Golden State knows water is coming in the boat fast.  They also played last night while Milwaukee was resting for three nights.

Give me the Bucks tonight in an important ballgame.

Free Pick:  Milwaukee Bucks +3