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Cavaliers vs. Spurs Pick – March 27th

We notched another NBA winner last night as the Oklahoma City continued to struggle on the road against top tier competition.  I was a little surprised we only had to eat a half dozen points to get James Harden and the Rockets at home on ABC, but alas, the advantageous line worked out well and we cashed a relatively stress-free winner (not the case with our ridiculous NCAA nail biter – also a W, but far more stressful and insane…)

Elsewhere, the Warriors got a nice convincing win over the Grizzlies to maintain their edge in the West heading into Wednesday night’s first matchup with the Spurs (I’m not counting the JV scrimmage two weeks ago), and the Celtics pulled even with the Cavs as the cooled off the Heat in a 112-108 victory at home.

There’s some pretty good action on tap tonight, so let’s dive in with today’s favorite play.

Today’s NBA Pick:

Cleveland Cavaliers at San Antonio Spurs -5

When the Spurs TRY they are pretty darn unbeatable.  A lot of the numbers and stats are skewed a little bit by some recent injuries and some recent “nights off” which I imagine you are a little tired of hearing about by this point… But it bears repeating, WHEN the Spurs are ALL IN, they are usually all winners as well.

Nothing indicates they are not giving it 100% tonight, so my initial read is a simple one:  The Spurs are 28-7 at home.  The Cavaliers are a stunning 19-17 away from home – a pretty lousy mark for a hopeful #1 seed and defending NBA Champion.  The Spurs enter with a four game winning streak and got a nice effort against the Knicks from all their key players whose health has recently been a question.  Kawhi looked like an MVP candidate and LaMarcus Alderidge and Pau Gasol each contributed double-doubles.  If they can get those kinds of efforts from their bigs, life should be pretty good for the Spurs.

Meanwhile, this game MATTERS for the Cavs, who suddenly find themselves even with Boston for the #1 seed in the East.  It isn’t like LeBron necessarily NEEDS the #1 seed to get to the Finals.  It has been of little consequence over the last six years, but it would certainly make things easier.   However “want to” and “able to” are very different things.  The Cavaliers just don’t look good lately, and asking them to go into San Antonio and win feels a little ambitious.

I’ll take the Spurs at home to continue the Cavs road woes.

Today’s Pick:  San Antonio Spurs -5