Boston Celtics (34-14) at Los Angeles Clippers (23-23)
Last night we continued to pick up free money by fading the Cleveland Cavaliers. Last night’s game might have been the single worst NBA betting line I have seen all season. Cleveland is in full implosion mode and has been for the better part of the month. They were playing on the road against the best home team in the entire NBA, the San Antonio Spurs, yet they were -2-point road favorites. It literally made zero sense at all.
Cleveland is more worried about Kevin Love faking injuries and Tyrone Lue getting fired or where will Lebron take his talents next year to worry about winning games right now. This is ending bad in Cleveland this season, really bad. I will continue to look for ways to fade the Cavs until they show me otherwise.
Today I will break down the matchup between a suddenly struggling Boston Celtics team as they play on the road against a resurgent Los Angeles Clippers squad.
The Boston Celtics travel to the City of Angels to face the Clippers Wednesday night as they look to snap a four-game skid. The Celtics are playing back to backs after dropping a game to the other L.A. team, the Lakers, last night, 107-108. Boston will look to avoid a season-high five-game losing streak.
The Clippers seem like a new team now that Blake Griffin is back and healthy and had won six in a row before dropping its last two games. The Clippers are -1.5-point home favorites tonight. The game total over-under is set at 218 points. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM PST from the Staples Center.
The Boston Celtics have been my favorite team to back all season long. They are playing with a fire under them and with the Cavs struggling only have to hold off Toronto for the one seed in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics 34 wins are second in the NBA, trailing only the defending champs, the Golden State Warriors.
But you cannot deny that even great teams hit rough patches, and that is what is going on right now in Boston. The Celtics have lost four straight games against some very inferior competition. Losses to New Orleans, Philly, Orlando, and the Lakers have left Celtic’s fans scratching their heads. This hasn’t been a tough stretch of the schedule, these are bad teams that the Celtics are losing to right now.
I wouldn’t be overly alarmed if you are a Boston fan as they are still a really good team, and they are still atop the Eastern Conference standings. The NBA season is a long one full of peaks and valleys and Boston is in one of those valleys right now. To make matters worse, they are forced to play back to back tonight, on the road, against a team that had the night off at home, in the Los Angeles Clippers.
The Clippers looked destined for missing the playoffs this season when they lost Blake Griffin for several weeks with an injury in December. They found themselves on the outside looking in for the playoffs in the Western Conference, and it felt like rebuilding time in L.A. However, Griffin is back now, and the Clippers are winning at a much higher rate.
The Clippers are now just a half of a game back of the eighth seed out West and are only two games back of the six seed. With how L.A is playing right now, they look like they are a lock to sneak back into the playoffs this season.
To me, this is situational NBA betting 101. You have a team on a season-high losing streak that is playing back to backs on the road, in the Celtics. It isn’t as bad as it could be as they played in Los Angeles last night, so they didn’t have to travel, but back to backs in the NBA on the road are a recipe for disaster. Couple that with the fact that the C’s have lost four straight to some teams that are likely much worse than this Clippers team is tonight, and you wonder how much motivation the Celtics will have tonight.
We know the Clippers will be playing hard as they had a night off at home last night and need to win this one bad if they want to keep pace for a playoff spot in the Western Conference. If you read my daily picks you know I love backing the Celtics, but all signs point to a let down tonight in L.A.
One team badly needs the win and is hot at the moment, the other team is seeing its only real competition for the Eastern Conference title implode, and they don’t need this game at all. Throw in some tired legs with back to back road games and a long losing streak and all the sudden I am looking to fade my favorite team to back.
Give me the Los Angeles Clippers tonight at home laying -1.5-points.