Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat NBA Pick – Game 5

The NBA is set up with another strong slate of basketball on Wednesday night. The Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat will meet up in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. These two teams have been solid throughout this series and will look for a pivotal win in this one. This game will tip off at around 8:30 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

Boston has earned a record of 10-5 throughout the playoffs as the second seed in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics knocked off the Brooklyn Nets and the Milwaukee Bucks to reach the Conference Finals. Boston tied this series back up with a win in Game 4. The Celtics will look to take a big series lead with a win on Wednesday night.

The Heat have put up a record of 10-5 so far this postseason as well as the top seed in the Eastern Conference. Miami knocked off the Atlanta Hawks in the first round and the Philadelphia 76ers in the second round. The Heat have not trailed in the playoffs and will look to keep that up with a win. I expect Miami to try and come out fast at home.

These two teams have been strong throughout this playoff run and will look for a big win in this one. The Celtics have been solid throughout this series and will look to win their second in a row. Miami will look to take another one game lead at home. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win on Wednesday.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Boston Celtics -1 (-110) -120 Over 203 ½ (-110)
Miami Heat +1 (-110) +100 Under 203 ½ (-110)
Team Data Boston Celtics Miami Heat
Playoff Record 10-5 10-5
Away/ Home Playoff Record 5-2 7-1
Playoff PPG 108.8 105.9
Playoff PPG Away/ Home 112.0 111.5
Playoff PAPG 102.1 100.7
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home 105.9 100.5

Betting Trends

Boston Celtics

  • 53-40 ATS this season
  • 35-31 ATS as a favorite
  • 30-16 ATS in road games
  • 9-5 ATS in Playoffs
  • 1-2 ATS when tied in a series
  • 20-11 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 16-19 ATS after a win by 10 or more points
  • 33-18 ATS against team with a winning record

Miami Heat

  • 55-40 ATS this season
  • 19-7 ATS as an underdog
  • 27-21 ATS in home games
  • 9-6 ATS in Playoffs
  • 2-0 ATS when tied in a series
  • 12-5 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more
  • 12-7 ATS after scoring 100 or less points
  • 34-24 ATS against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up in four exciting games so far this series. Jimmy Butler dropped 41 points in Game 1 as the Heat earned a 118-107 win. Jayson Tatum put up 27 points in the second meeting as Boston grabbed a 127-102 win. Bam Adebayo scored 31 points and 10 rebounds in Game 3 as Miami won 109-103. Tatum finished with 31 points in Game 4 as the Heat earned a 102-82 win.

Field Goal Shooting

The Celtics have been solid shooting the ball from the field this postseason. Boston has made 45.6 percent from the field, which is 2nd in the field of 4. The Celtics have shot 36.8 percent from deep, which is 3rd in the playoffs. Boston has sunk 80.8 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 1st in the postseason.

Miami has been solid shooting the ball as well in the playoffs. The Heat have been shooting 45.5 percent from the field, which is 3rd in the remaining field. Miami has made 32.6 percent from behind the arc, which is 4th in the postseason. The Heat have drained 79.7 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 2nd in the playoffs.

These two teams have been solid shooting the ball in the playoffs and will look for a big win in this one. Boston has been a bit better shooting the ball and will look to get the edge in this one. The Heat’s identity is based around their defense though and will look for a fast start in this one as well. If either team can shoot well early, it could be enough for the win.

Top Performers

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown have been the leaders for Boston throughout this postseason. Tatum has averaged 27.2 points per game. Brown is averaging 22.9 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. Marcus Smart has averaged 15.8 points and 6.8 assists per game, while Al Horford is averaging 12.7 points and 9.5 rebounds. Grant Williams has averaged 10.9 points to round out the lineup.

Jimmy Butler has been great for the Heat in the playoffs. Butler is averaging 26.5 points, 7.2 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game. Bam Adebayo has averaged 14.5 points and 7.6 rebounds per game. Tyler Herro is averaging 13.5 points off the bench, while Victor Oladipo has averaged 11.5 points per game. Max Strus rounds out the lineup, averaging 11.4 points per game.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout this postseason. Tyler Herro is questionable in this one after missing Game 5 for Miami. The Heat are dealing with some injuries to Butler as well, which could slow him down. The Celtics will look for some players to step up as they try to take advantage of a banged up Miami team.

Pick Overview

Boston is coming off a big win at home in Game 4 to tie this series back up. The Celtics have not led yet in this series, but I think that they will come out fast in Game 5. Boston has the better one-two punch, especially if Herro is out again in this one. If Boston can come out fast in this one, I think they can earn the win on the road.

Bovada has the Celtics listed as a -1 against the spread in this one. This gives a slight edge to Boston on the road in this one. I agree with this line as the Celtics are dealing with less injuries and have been the better offensive team in the playoffs. I think Boston is due for a lead in this series as well. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Celtics.

The Bet
Boston Celtics -1
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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