Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors NBA Pick – Game 1

The NBA is set up with the most exciting time of the season on June 2. The NBA Finals is set to start between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors on Thursday night. These two teams have been strong all postseason and will look for a big win in this one. This game will tip off at around 9:00 PM Eastern time on ABC.

Boston has earned a record of 12-6 throughout the playoffs as the second seed in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics knocked off the Brooklyn Nets, Milwaukee Bucks and the Miami Heat to reach the Finals. Boston has is coming off a big Game 7 win and will look to come out fast in this one. The Celtics will look to set the tone on the road early.

The Warriors have put up a record of 12-4 throughout the postseason as the third seed in the Western Conference. Golden State eliminated the Denver Nuggets, Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks to make the NBA Finals. The Warriors moved on in five games in their last series to get the extra rest. Golden State will look for a big win at home in Game 1.

These two teams have been great in the playoffs and will look for a big win to open up the Finals. Golden State is back for the sixth time in eight seasons and will look to come out on top once again. The Celtics will look to win their first Championship since 2008. If either team can come out fast early, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Boston Celtics +3 ½ (-110) +140 Over 212 ½ (-110)
Golden State Warriors -3 ½ (-110) -165 Under 212 ½ (-110)
Team Data Boston Celtics Golden State Warriors
Playoff Record 12-6 12-4
Away/ Home Playoff Record 7-2 9-0
Playoff PPG 107.1 114.5
Playoff PPG Away/ Home 108.6 118.0
Playoff PAPG 101.0 109.1
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home 101.9 103.4

Betting Trends

Boston Celtics

  • 55-41 ATS this season
  • 18-9 ATS as an underdog
  • 32-16 ATS in road games
  • 4-2 ATS when playing on three or more days rest
  • 7-3 ATS against Pacific division
  • 18-10 ATS in non-Conference games
  • 11-6 ATS in Playoffs
  • 21-12 ATS after allowing 100 points or less
  • 11-6 ATS after scoring 100 or less points

Golden State Warriors

  • 51-47 ATS this season
  • 39-37 ATS as a favorite
  • 31-19 ATS in home games
  • 7-3 ATS when playing on three or more days rest
  • 4-6 ATS against Atlantic division
  • 16-14 ATS in non-Conference games
  • 9-7 ATS in Playoffs
  • 23-16 ATS after a win by 10 or more points

These two teams met up twice throughout the regular season. The first game was in Boston on December 17. Steph Curry put up 30 points, while Andrew Wiggins added 27 points as the Warriors earned a 111-107 win. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown both put up 26 points in the second matchup in Golden State to lead the Celtics to a 110-88 win.

Field Goal Shooting

The Celtics have been solid shooting the ball in the playoffs. Boston has made 44.5 percent of their shots from the field. The Celtics have been shooting 36.2 percent from deep. Boston has drained 81 percent of their shots from the charity stripe. The Celtics have held their opponents to a 43.3 percent defended field goal percentage.

Golden State has been strong shooting the ball in the postseason. The Warriors have shot 49.3 percent from the field. Golden State has made 37.9 percent of their shots from behind the arc. The Warriors have sunk 75.5 percent of their shots from the free throw line. Golden State has a defended field goal percentage of 44.1 percent.

The Warriors have been the better team shooting the ball from the field and deep, while Boston has been better on defense and at the charity stripe. The Celtics have stepped up on offense when they have needed to though. If either team can come out shooting well early, it could be enough for the win on Thursday night.

Top Performers

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown have both been leading Boston throughout the postseason. Tatum has averaged 27 points per game, while Brown is averaging 22.9 points. Marcus Smart has averaged 15.5 points and 6.2 assists per game. Al Horford is averaging 11.9 points and 9.6 rebounds. Grant Williams has averaged 10.1 points to round out the lineup.

Steph Curry has been great for the Warriors in the playoffs. Curry is averaging 25.9 points and 6.2 assists per game. Klay Thompson has averaged 19.8 points, while Jordan Poole is averaging 18.4 points per game. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 15.8 points and 7 rebounds. Draymond Green rounds out the lineup, averaging 8.7 points, 6.9 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout this postseason. Tatum and Brown have stepped up all postseason long to lead Boston on this run. Golden State has most of their core from their previous Finals runs and has the experience deep. If either team can have some players step up early though, it could be enough to grab the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been strong throughout their playoff runs and will look to open up this series strong. Golden State is undefeated at home so far these playoffs and will look to keep it going. Boston will be a tough task though as they give the toughest defense as anyone the Warriors have faced. If the Celtics can come out fast, they could keep Golden State on their toes in Game 1.

Bovada has the Warriors listed as a -3 ½ against the spread at home in Game 1. I think that this line should be closer to even as both teams have made strong runs to the NBA Finals. Boston has the star power to keep up with Golden State as well. As slight underdogs, I like the value on the Celtics to cover on the road.

The Bet
Boston Celtics +3.5
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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