The NBA Play-In Tournament opens on Tuesday night in Brooklyn and Minnesota. The Cleveland Cavaliers and Brooklyn Nets are the first game on the docket at the Barclays Center.
The winner moves on as the No. 7 seed against the Boston Celtics. A loss doesn’t necessarily end their postseason hopes, though. The loser goes on for a do-or-die game against the Hornets or Hawks.
Locked in on the task at hand ? pic.twitter.com/oe1H6QY8Po
— Brooklyn Nets (@BrooklynNets) April 12, 2022
Yeah, it sounds like a system that you came up with your friends on the backyard court. In any event, it draws more attention, thus more money for the NBA. More games aren’t a bad thing for the owners. It’s not so bad for sports bettors either.
The more games, the more opportunities there are to find value to bet. With that in mind, be cautious not to overextend and get away from solid bankroll management techniques.
The Nets are heavy favorites and expected to advance to the next round for a date with the Celtics. They were big underachievers and shouldn’t need a play-in to get into the playoffs.
There is the excuse that Kyrie Irving wasn’t able to play at home, but they still had a roster that should have finished better than 44-38. Irving is allowed to play in Brooklyn now. That excuse isn’t going to work.
This campaign has been a success for the Cavaliers. They’ve shown considerable improvement. The Cavaliers finished in a tie at 44-38, with the Nets having the tiebreaker for home-court advantage in this matchup.
The arrival of Evan Mobley changed everything in Cleveland. The 20-year-old rookie averaged 15 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks per game and is up for ROY honors.
— Cleveland Cavaliers (@cavs) April 12, 2022
Cleveland stumbled down the stretch with losses in eight of their previous eleven games. They were able to close out the season in strong fashion with a 133-115 win over the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks had no interest in the season finale, but could it be enough to get their confidence back? Head below for our free Cavaliers vs. Bucks prediction on April 12, 2022.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds and Team Statistics:
The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
|Cleveland Cavaliers||+9.5 (-110)||+360||Over 227 (-110)|
|Brooklyn Nets||-9.5 (-110)||-500||Under 227 (-110)|
|Team Data||Cleveland Cavaliers||Brooklyn Nets|
|Points Per Game||107.8||112.9|
|Points Against Per Game||105.7||112.1|
|Field Goal %||46.9||47.5|
|Three Point %||35.5||36.1|
Cavaliers vs. Nets Prediction:
The Nets were a money burner this season at home. You can bring up the absence of Kyrie Irving, but again, the Nets are fine on paper without him on the floor.
They were horrible against the spread, with a record of 10-30-1 in 41 games. Many people tailed the Nets often at home this season. Kevin Durant and the Nets didn’t give them much help, though.
Overall, the Nets finished 18th in the NBA with 112.1 points conceded per game. At home this season, they gave up 112.5 points per game and a 45.6% field goal percentage.
Irving can be good defensively, but he isn’t a lockdown defender and floats too much. The offense has been flying recently, with 119 points per game and a 48.1% field goal percentage in their previous five attempts.
The defense was doing about what they usually do this season, with 111.6 points against per game. They finished this season on a four-game winning streak, including a 118-107 win over the Cavaliers two games back on April 8.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Trends:
- 26-10-2 ATS in their previous 38 games after covering the spread
- 4-1 ATS in their previous five games after a win by more than 10 points
- 3-9 ATS in their previous 12 games
- 1-4 overall in their previous five games versus the Nets
- UNDER is 7-3 in their previous ten games versus the Atlantic Division
- 6-26-1 ATS in their previous 33 games at home
- 1-6 ATS in their previous seven games on one-day rest
- 3-23 ATS in their previous 26 games as a home favorite at home
- 5-17 ATS in their previous 22 games versus a team with a losing record at home
- 11-28 ATS in their previous 38 games as a betting favorite
The Cavaliers were the fifth-best team in the NBA, with 105.7 points allowed per game this season. They gave up a field goal percentage of 45.2% for eighth in the league.
The addition of Evan Mobley changed this team a lot, with the defense seeing considerable improvement after he was drafted in Cleveland. When the Cavs’ defense is playing at full effort, it can be difficult to operate efficiently on the floor for opposing offenses.
Offensively, they picked it up recently, as they put in 116.4 points per game on a 50.4% field goal percentage. The Nets’ defense has holes, and the Cavaliers should do enough to stay within reach tonight.
Laying 9.5 points on the Nets doesn’t look like good value. The Cavaliers may not have been at their best to end the season, but this is a big spot for them that they’ll likely get up for at the Barclays Center. The Cavaliers plus the points looks like the play.