Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Denver Nuggets Pick – NBA October 25, 2021

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Denver Nuggets are scheduled to meet at Ball Arena on Monday night in Colorado. These are two teams on the opposite end of the competitive scale, but the Cavaliers have reason for optimism after drafting Evan Mobley.

The Cavaliers had the No. 3 overall pick in the draft and opted to select the athletic big man out of USC. They are hoping that Mobley can be the centerpiece of a rebuild for the Cavaliers. The last time they drafted a highly touted big man it didn’t go well. Anthony Bennett was one of the biggest busts in NBA history after going No. 1 to the Cavs.

Cleveland fans are hoping that they got it right with this center. Mobley has looked the part, and a way too early Rookie of the Year prediction has him leading. He is a much more dynamic and athletic player than Bennett ever was. Mobley is off to 15.7 points per game on 56.3% shooting.

He’s been an all-around contributor for the Cavaliers. It’s likely not going to help the Cavaliers in 2021-22, but they have a building block on their roster. The front office will be pressed with putting appropriate talent around Mobley to get the most out of him. The Cavaliers are off to a 1-2 start this season.

They opened the year with a 132-121 loss against the Memphis Grizzlies, and then followed up with a similar effort in a 123-112 loss versus the Charlotte Hornets. However, the Cavaliers looked great in a 101-105 win over the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. I think that’s what you’re going to get from the Cavaliers this year.

There are going to be good and bad moments from the Cavaliers. It’s going to be an improvement from last season where they finished with a record of 22-50. Just don’t expect a playoff run in Mobley’s first year in the NBA. After knocking off the Hawks, they have another tough opponent on the docket tonight.

The Nuggets are looking for better after bowing out of the playoffs against the Phoenix Suns in four straight games. This was a disappointing end for a team that had the MVP on their roster Nikola Jokic is heading into this one with 29.5 points and 14.5 rebounds per game. He’s shooting an incredible 65.9% from the field.

They are coming off a 102-96 win over the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Jokic had a big showing with 32 points, 16 rebounds, and 7 assists in 34 minutes. The Nuggets opened the season impressively with a 110-98 win over the Suns in the first game of this year. Head below for our free Cavaliers vs. Nuggets pick on October 25, 2021.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Denver Nuggets Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Cleveland Cavaliers +9.5 (-113) +400 Over 220 (-113)
Denver Nuggets -9.5 (-107) -505 Under 220 (-107)
Team Data Cleveland Cavaliers Denver Nuggets
Overall Record 2-0 1-2
ATS Record 1-2-0 1-1-0
Away/Home Record 0-1 1-0
ATS Away/Home 0-1-0 0-1-0
Points Per Game 111.3 106
Points Against Per Game 116.7 97
Field Goal % 47.7 52.1
Three Point % 30.9 37.7

Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Prediction:

Evan Mobley has looked fantastic in his young career so far. The Cavaliers had him fall in their lap, so it wasn’t a tough decision, but he’s off and running fast.

He hasn’t looked intimidated in the last. However, Mobley easily has the toughest matchup in his life tonight in Denver.

Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets are going to be a nice barometer for Mobley. He likely isn’t going to be able to bully the Nuggets around in this one.

Jokic is far too smart and skilled to allow a rookie to gain the upper hand on him tonight. And if the Nuggets limit Mobley, they should be limited.

The Nuggets have been on fire from the field with a field goal percentage of 52.1%. That’s the best conversion rate in the NBA. Jokic’s insane field goal percentage of 65.9% has helped the Nuggets lead the NBA.

The Cavs have struggled mightily from deep, as they’re shooting just 30.9% from three, 27th, while the Nuggets are going for 37.7.% in the top-10.


Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Trends:

Cavaliers

  • 3-14 ATS in their previous 17 games
  • 2-15 overall in their previous 17 games
  • 0-9 ATS in their previous nine games on the road
  • 0-6 ATS in their previous six games versus the Western Conference
  • 3-6 ATS in their previous nine games versus the Nuggets

Nuggets

  • 16-3 overall in their previous 19 games versus the Eastern Conference
  • 8-1 ATS in their previous nine games versus the Central Division
  • 14-5 ATS in their previous 19 games on a Monday
  • 15-5 overall in their previous 20 games at Ball Arena

Their last two meetings have been lopsided affairs with the Nuggets clearing easily for a 133-95 and 120-103 win.

The most recent 120-103 win was in Cleveland, while the Nuggets stomped the Cavs in Denver in the last game at Ball Arena for a 133-95 final.

The Cavaliers will likely do a better job at making this one more competitive with Mobley on the floor, but they should still get dominated on the boards again.

Cleveland are 28th in the NBA in offensive rebounding. Conversely, the Nuggets are third in defensive rebounding. The Cavs haven’t been strong on the defensive boards either, as they’re 23rd in that department.

The public will probably be enticed to back the Cavaliers after what they accomplished against the Hawks. I don’t know if this is the best matchup for Mobley against Jokic, though. Look for this one to stay close in the first-half, with the Nuggets pulling away for a 116-104 win in the 4th.

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Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Pick
DENVER NUGGETS -9.5