Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies – NBA April 14

The 29-24 Mavericks travel to the FedEx Forum on Wednesday night to take on the 27-25 Grizzlies. Dallas has lost two games in a row, including a 113-95 loss at home to the 76ers on Monday night. Memphis picked up a 101-90 win at home on Monday night against the Bulls to maintain their position in the eighth spot of the Western Conference standings. These two teams met in Dallas back on Feb 22, when the Mavericks picked up a 102-92 victory behind a 29-point outburst from Tim Hardaway Jr.

Each matchup between these two teams has postseason implications, with both teams in the 7-10 range of the Western Conference standing, they likely will have to participate in the play-in tournament to get to what is considered the actual playoffs.

Dallas Mavericks LogoDallas is led by the preseason MVP favorite Luka Doncic, who is averaging 28.6 points, eight rebounds and 8.6 assists per game this season. Doncic was held to only 21 points in the first matchup, making only three of his 10 three-point attempts. The reason for the Mavericks success over the past month has been in large part due to big man Kristaps Porzingis.

Kristaps Porzingis is getting healthy and playing at his peak. Porzingis sat out Monday night to rest, but on Sunday he scored 31 points and hauled in 15 rebounds on 12-of-21 shooting from the floor.

Memphis Grizzlies Logo 101x101Memphis is led by sophomore sensation Ja Morant, who leads the team with 18.9 points and 7.4 assists per game. Morant has not been great this month, however. In fact, he has gone three of his last five games without making a single three-point attempt. The Grizzlies will need Morant to get back to his early form if they hope to get past the play-in tournament.

Center Jonas Valanciunas has stepped up this month, scoring 26 points and tallying 14 rebounds on Monday night to lead the team to victory over Chicago. Valanciunas should be able to have his way down low if the Mavericks choose to place Porzingis on him, making the Over on his player prop for points worth a look.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Dallas Mavericks -3 (-115) +140 O 225½ (-110)
Memphis Grizzlies +3 (-105) +125 U 225½ (-110)

This game is difficult to handicap based on the spread because of the success of both teams in past similar situations.

For Example:
Dallas is 10-5 against the spread as a road favorite, while Memphis is 17-9 against the spread following a win this season. So the logical way to target this game is to look at the Over/Under total.

The first game totaled at 194 points because these two teams are relatively even and both teams know the importance of defeating each other in the sense that they would move up in the standings. In a game of this importance, the pace seems to slow down and every possession seems to become a little more valuable.

It becomes, in effect, more like playoff-type basketball.

Thus, the best bet for Wednesday night is to take the Under and watch both teams play their tails off in a game that should total out around 210.

The Bet

*Odds courtesy of MyBookie

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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.

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