Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Pick – NBA December 22, 2021

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder tip-off at the Paycom Center on Wednesday night in OKC. The Nuggets are on the road for a couple of stops in Atlanta and Oklahoma.

On Friday, they took care of business in Atlanta with a 133-115 win over the Hawks. It was their third win in four attempts, as maybe the Nuggets are turning a corner slightly? That remains to be seen.

The Nuggets have been up and down at 15-14 and dealing with injuries this season. If the Nuggets continue to get production out of Monte Morris and Nah’Shon Hyland, then the Nuggets might be alright.

Hyland was called off the bench and scored 24 points to lead the Nuggets in scoring on Friday. He’s a rookie point guard that has looked good when given a chance. That performance will earn him more playing time.

Denver has been dealing with vital injuries to Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray. Both are OUT indefinitely, while Aaron Gordon is nursing a bad hamstring. Gordon is questionable to suit up in OKC tonight.

The biggest piece of the Nuggets will be on the floor tonight, though. Everything runs through Nikola Jokic, and he is not listed on the injury report with any ailments.

The Thunder are coming off a 3-point win over the Memphis Grizzlies as 9-point underdogs. They were their second straight after a 104-103 win over the LA Clippers as 4.5-point underdogs.

They are confident and healthier than the Nuggets. Josh Giddey has an outside shot at Rookie of the Year in the NBA. He’s well behind Evan Mobley and Scottie Barnes in the rookie race, though his future appears bright.

Head below for our free Nuggets vs. Thunder pick on December 22, 2021.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Denver Nuggets -6 (-110) -240 Over 213 (-110)
OKC Thunder +6 (-110) +200 Under 213 (-110)
Team Data Denver Nuggets OKC Thunder
Overall Record 15-14 10-19
ATS Record 13-16-0 18-11-0
Away/Home Record 7-9 5-10
ATS Away/Home 7-9-0 9-6-0
Points Per Game 106.8 99.2
Points Against Per Game 106.5 107.8
Field Goal % 46.8 41.3
Three Point % 34.9 31.1

Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction:

The Nuggets’ biggest woes with the injuries have been their defense. They are still scoring, but their effort on the defensive floor has taken a serious dive.

Denver is 11th in the NBA with 106.5 points against per game, though they’ve allowed teams to shoot 47% from the field for 27th in the league.

When the injury bug hurt Denver, their defensive pressure dropped considerably. Through their last six outings, the Nuggets have allowed 115.8 points against per game.

The Nuggets’ offense has been clicking, including 133 points in their last attempt. They’ve put in 118.5 points per game during that six-game stretch.

Overall, the Nuggets are fourth in the NBA with a strong field goal percentage of 46.8%. Jokic scoring high-percentage buckets certainly helps.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Trends:


  • 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games versus a team with a losing home record
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games as the betting favorite
  • OVER is 10-1 in their previous 11 games on the road
  • OVER is 16-5 in thier previous 21 games
  • OVER is 15-6 in thier previous 21 games on two-day rest


  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games
  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games on a Wednesday
  • 15-6 ATS in their previous 21 games as an underdog
  • OVER is 4-0 in thier previous four games on a Wednesday
  • OVER is 5-2 in their previous seven games versus the Nuggets

I have confidence in the young Thunder navigating through the thin Denver defense in this one. At home, the Thunder have scored 101.4 points per game.

The Thunder offense could be better, but they’re seeing a Nuggets team that hasn’t played much defense recently. Expect the Thunder offense to look better than they typically have this season.

Their defense has room to improve as well. The Thunder are 17th in the NBA with 107.8 points allowed per game. Their defense on the perimeter has been well below average, with 36.6 points against per contest.

I’m not seeing 240 points or something on the board; it’s not going to be that kind of high-scoring game. That said, the total looks a touch too low in this spot. I’d look at the OVER at 213 points.


Nuggets vs. Thunder Pick
OVER 213
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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