Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs Pick – NBA January 29, 2021

The Denver Nuggets will wrap up a five-game road trip with a stop in San Antonio on Friday night. They have been hot, and can complete a sweep on the road to go 5-0 with a win against the Spurs in this one. Along with four straight wins on the road, the Nuggets defeated the Thunder, 119-101, before packing up and heading on the road.

It hasn’t been all smooth sailing during this trip, though. The Nuggets needed overtime in back-to-back games to get past the Phoenix Suns. Those games could have easily gone in the other direction, though they were able to pull it out in both instances by scores of 130-126 and 120-112.

The Nuggets also had to battle hard against the Mavericks in Dallas. It was a close encounter, though they were able to fend off the Mavericks at the wire for a 117-113 win. The Nuggets were up comfortably at the half in that one by 12 points, but a big third quarter for the Mavs, 36-22, put the game into question.

In their most impressive outing during this road trip, the Nuggets cleared the Heat with ease on Wednesday. They were in control from the opening gun, as they carried a 26-12 lead going into the second quarter. The Heat were unable to mount a comeback of any sort and suffered a 109-82 loss.

The Nuggets have one more test in front of them before heading home to host the Utah Jazz on Sunday. I don’t think I’ve ever considered the Jazz a look ahead spot before, but they are a really good team that might have the Nuggets peaking ahead on their schedule. That said, the Spurs are playing quality basketball right now and can’t be overlooked.

San Antonio is a 10-8 team after a 110-106 win over the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. This was after the Spurs hammered the Washington Wizards on Sunday, 121-101. There have been good moments for the Spurs in their last six games, as they’ve gone 4-2 and came close in defeat against the Mavs, 122-117. Luka Doncic just couldn’t miss a shot down the stretch. Head below for our free Nuggets vs. Spurs pick on January 29, 2021.

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Nuggets -4.5 (-115)
  • Spurs +4.5 (-105)
Moneyline:

  • Nuggets -190
  • Spurs +165
Total:

  • Over 233.5 (-110)
  • Under 233.5 (-110)

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Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction:

The Nuggets are a really good team, and could pull off an upset over the Lakers or Clippers if the stars align in the playoffs. The stars must align, though, because the Nuggets don’t have the depth to win on pure talent alone. Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray are talented players, there is no disputing that. However, I’m not sure they have enough to counter the duos of Kawhi Leonard-Paul George and Lebron James-Anthony Davis.

That’s where catching a few bounces and the stars aligning comes in for the Nuggets. They have a solid offense to carry them far, but vulnerable on the opposite end of the floor. The Nuggets have scored an average of 116.4 points per game for third in the NBA. They’re also fourth from the field with 47.8% of their shots falling. However, they’ve been flat footed defensively, with 110.9 points against per game for 13th in the NBA.

Note that P.J. Dozier, who was acting as a nice depth piece for the Nuggets this season, has been ruled out on Friday night. Expect to see Michael Porter. Jr to have an increased role off the bench in the absence of Dozier. No Dozier hurts the Nuggets’ rotation, but they should be able to manage. With home in sight after a lengthy road trip, the Nuggets may very well gear down before going back home. The Spurs present a formidable challenge on Friday evening.

The Spurs have been in good form recently, especially defensively where they gave up 101 points against the Wizards and 106 against the Celtics. As bad as the Wizards are, they have a capable offense led by Bradley Beal. The Spurs did a nice job containing the Wizards in that one. Overall, they’re 13th in the NBA with 110.4 points conceded per game. I’m looking for the Spurs to slow down a Nuggets team that might be looking forward to home a little too early on Friday night. The points with the home side is where I’m leaning.

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SAN ANTONIO SPURS +4.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.