Last night produced yet another NBA winner for me, as the Sacramento Kings went into Orlando and beat the Magic. I mentioned that I liked the Kings at their +180 moneyline at GTbets, but with De’Aaron Fox listed as questionable to play, Sacramento at +5 against the spread was the better play.
Both wagers would have won, but if you went with my pick you got a solid -107 price at Sportsbetting.ag. That was good for my third consecutive win in a row and bumped my season NBA picks mark up to 8-2. It’s been a hot start and while I haven’t really located any staggering value plays yet, there’s nothing wrong with consistent profit.
Heading into Wednesday night’s NBA betting schedule, there are a few games that could be worth targeting. Of the lot, my favorite might be the Pistons over the Nets in Brooklyn. I do realize Detroit could be tired after pushing the Celtics to the brink last night, but they offer too much value as the better team in this matchup.
Detroit Pistons (+2.5, -110) @ Brooklyn Nets (-2.5, -110) Total: 214 (-117/-103)
This one doesn’t come without a little risk, but you’re always risking something when betting on the NBA. There’s only two reasons to hesitate pulling the trigger on Detroit; they played a tough game last night and they’re on the road.
Noted, to be sure, but let’s consider the Pistons aren’t traveling that far from Boston to Brooklyn and it’s not like their game last night went into overtime. In fact, as tight as that contest was, none of their starters logged more than 34 minutes.
They’ll be a little worn down, but this isn’t an impossible spot. I’m also aware that the Nets are slowly improving and tend to be a handful on their home floor, but this is too much value for me to ignore.
The Pistons at +120 at GTbets.eu is a great price and I’m all over it. Their +2.5 point spread doesn’t really get me excited and I do expect this game to be pretty close. The Nets are just 1-1 at the Barclays Center thus far, but they got 15 of their 28 wins here last season and were specifically good against the spread last year (47-34-1).
Unfortunately, they didn’t always fare that well when Vegas liked them. The Nets were a middling 7-7 ATS when favored on their home court a year ago. Detroit, meanwhile, at least kept it tight (13-12-1) last year as a road dog.
This basically equates to a wash for me, but Detroits does get a mild edge within the series. They won the only meeting this year (by three) and went 3-1 over four games last season. In fact, the lone Nets win came by one point in Detroit. Perhaps this leads you to “play it safe” and take Detroit ATS, but I prefer to aim a little higher here.
There is not a lot of amazing value tonight. My second favorite play would by the Pacers to take down the Knicks by -5.5 points. They are also on the road in a tricky spot, so if you’re taking on that type of risk, why not get a better price?
Detroit can be frustrating in general – especially on the road – but there is plenty of reason to think they bounce back from two straight losses to the Celtics here. They own the matchup down low with Andre Drummond and Blake Griffin likely having their way against Jarrett Allen (both topped 24 points last time they faced Brooklyn), while Reggie Jackson (19 points in the first meeting this year) won’t face much resistance up front, either.
Brooklyn has been better defensively this year, but Detroit has been superior at that end of the court. The Pistons have more talent, badly need this win and have owned the series. Both teams are sliding right now, too, with two or more losses in a row. Something has to break and I have to think it goes in the better team’s favor.
I hate the spread, but Detroit should get the win here and at a +120 price, they’re even offering strong value.