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DraftKings NBA Picks – April 6th

What’s up guys. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for April 6th, 2018. Tonight, we get a full slate with ten games on tap. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

SF/PF: LeBron James: (11,500)

The Cavs are hanging onto the three seed in The East by only a half a game over the red hot Sixers, who have won 12 straight games. This matchup tonight between these two teams is a huge tilt that could ultimately decide who gets that three spot for The Playoffs. LeBron knows this and he is going to do everything he possibly can to help The Cavs pick up a win tonight. This game has a small spread of only 4.5 points, in favor of The Sixers, and a slate high O/U game total of 224 points, which is a total that has actually moved up two points since the opening lines. James has been great as of late, averaging 59.1 DK PPG in his last six.

He has also been a monster this season when The Cavs have been underdogs in high scoring games, with him averaging 62.8 DK PPG in the 12 games that have The Cavs have been dogs and the O/U game total has been at least 220 points. Finally, he has had no issues vs this Sixers team, averaging 62.3 DK PPG in three meetings this season. He always has a massive ceiling, but the upside is even higher tonight for LeBron, when you consider the importance of this game and that The Sixers will be without their best defender in Joel Embiid. With so many viable cheap plays out there tonight, I don’t see how you don’t build around The King for this ten game slate.

Value Picks:

SG: MarShon Brooks: (5,200)

He didn’t start and he was questionable going into the a game with an ankle injury, but Brooks ended leading The Grizzlies in minutes, with 36, in the loss to The Pelicans on Wednesday night. He finished the game with 25 points, seven assists, four rebounds, and two steals, resulting in a season high 46 DK points. He commanded a 23.1% usage rate in this game and is now averaging a 32.1% usage rate as a Grizzlie. After his performance on Wednesday, him and The Grizzlies have officially agreed to guaranteed two year deal. They will continue to rely on his scoring for the rest of the season, with this team so beat up. They have been thin since he joined the team, but they will be extremely thin tonight, with only nine players in uniform.

He will most likely still come off the bench, but either way, competitive game or not, Brooks should log 30+ minutes and lead this team in usage vs The Kings (-3.5 SAC), especially when you factor in that this will be his first game without center Marc Gasol (rest) in the lineup. He has been outstanding scoring 1.5 DK PPM in these first three games back in The NBA and even though this matchup isn’t perfect (1.44 opponent +/-), Brooks should score 30+ DK points for the fourth straight game, with a ceiling around 45 points. The price has gone up and it’s going to keep rising, but Brooks is still the best point per dollar value available and is core play for me tonight.

SG/SF: Danuel House: (3,900)

House has been a spark off the bench in his first three games with The Suns, averaging 26.6 DK PPG and 29 MPG. The Suns will remain depleted, with SG Devin Booker (hand), PF T.J. Warren (knee), PG Elfrid Payton (knee), center Tyson Chandler (away from the team), and center Alan Williams (knee) all officially out for Friday night. House should continue to see right around 30 minutes off the bench and is in a prime position to smash value once again, in an awesome matchup vs The Pelicans, who are a 3.4 opponent +/-.

Both of these teams rank in the top three in pace and this game should be very fast paced and high scoring. (219 O/U game total) The Pelicans still have a ton to play for and there’s no question they will win this game (-11 NO), but this shouldn’t effect House’s playing time in anyway. Even though he has exceeded six times value in each of his last three games, DraftKings has only increased his price to $3,900. There is no way he should still be this cheap and House is a hard value to ignore with his multiple position eligibility.

PF/C: Ivan Rabb: (4,000)

Not only will The Grizzlies be without Gasol in their frontcourt, PF JaMychal Green (knee) and PF Jarell Martin (ankle) will also be sitting this game out. Rabb and Deyonta Davis are the only two natural bigs they have left and Rabb should be the big who leads this squad in playing time. Obviously there hasn’t been any full games The Grizzlies have been without all these players, but Rabb will start and I am expecting 30-35 minutes from him. He is averaging 0.92 DK PPG this season and with this type of playing time, in a great matchup vs The Suns, who are the third worst rated defense this year, Rabb should put up 25+ DK points, with decent upside if he can manage a double double, which is absolutely possible, with The Kings allowing the second most rebounds per game over their last three. Davis is also viable, but I think this Grizzlies’ coaching staff is more confident in Rabb.

Davis should still log close to 30 minutes and has a strong chance of exceeding value, I just prefer Rabb’s stronger floor and ceiling. UPDATE: The Grizzlies signed PF Omari Johnson to a multi year deal today. He stands at 6’9” and is capable of playing minutes at center. It’s unclear if he will be with the team tonight, but either way, in his first game with the team I don’t see him playing that much and both Rabb and Davis are still very viable plays.

Also Consider:

Deyonta Davis: Above.

Ben McLemore: 20+ DK points in two straight and should play close to 30 minutes tonight. He should score 20+ for the third straight game.

Alex Len: Returned last game and scored 38.25 DK points in 32.2 minutes vs The Kings. The Suns will be very thin up front again and Len should play 25+ minutes and be able to get value in this very nice matchup vs The Pelicans, who are a 4.28 opponent +/- for centers.

Kyle O’Quinn: 35.8 DK PPG and 31 MPG as the starting center these last two with Enes Kanter out. Kanter is out again and they will need his size vs Hassan Whiteside and The Heat, who are a positive matchup, at a 3.17 opponent +/-.

Sean Kilpatrick: Been better and better each game with The Bulls, scoring 31 DK points vs The Hornets Tuesday. His usage has been high at 27.8% and he should be able to exceed value even in this tougher spot vs The Celtics.

Tyler Ulis: 35.75 DK PPG in last five with Payton and Booker out. Both will be out again and Ulis is an awesome spot vs The Pelicans, who are a 5.48 opponent +/- for starting PGs.

Luke Kennard: Should start with Reggie Bullock out. Scored 28.25 DK points in the lone game that Bullock and Avery Bradley missed this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns: KAT has been bad on the second night of back to back this season, but this is a must win and obviously it’s a great matchup vs The Lakers, who are sitting at a high 4.98 opponent +/-.

Ben Simmons: Slower game last time out, but with Embiid out and how important this game is, Simmons is viable at $9,700, which is a $500 price drop from his last game. Also, its worth noting he is at home, where he is averaging 3.7 more DK PPG this season.

 

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