Welcome back everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for April 9th, 2017. Sunday night’s slate is a very small slate with only four games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 6:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
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SG: Devin Booker: (8,000) Even though The Suns are playing for absolutely nothing at this point in the season, Booker has been playing very high minutes, averaging 38.9 minutes a game over the last two weeks. During this stretch of games, he has posted a team high 33% usage rate, which is a 4.5% bump from his normal rate this year, and is averaging 45.4 DK points a game. Tonight, he is at home taking on a Mavs team that has essentially called it a season, with some of their key players out (Seth Curry, Harrison Barnes, and J.J. Barea), and giving most of their remaining minutes to their younger players as the season comes to close.
It’s hard to justify their defensive rating right now, but with essentially their third string players playing more than half the game, they should be a weak defense overall. There is no reason to think Booker won’t log high minutes again tonight, and with 35-40 minutes, he should score 40+ DK points vs this defense. At $8,000 he is a nice combination of safety and upside, that can be used with confidence in all formats on Sunday night.
C: Boban Marjanovic: (4,900) Boban’s price was adjusted after his 46.5 DK point performance vs The Rockets on Friday, but he is still underpriced if he plays similar minutes tonight. The Serbian player’s career night helped The Pistons pick up a win over a much better team in The Rockets, so I think its safe to say he should play at least 25 minutes off the bench again vs The Grizzlies.
This matchup is obviously a downgrade, with The Grizzlies allowing the 2nd fewest DK points to centers this season, but with a projection of 25 minutes, he should still return value, with him scoring an elite 1.43 DK points per minute. The bottom line is this 7’3″ monster is a difficult cover for any defense and he should always produce, if he sees the playing time. I’m sure his price will be even higher the next time he plays and tonight we need to take advantage of him being affordable regardless of his difficult matchup.
PF/C: Dwight Powell: (3,400) Powell was very effective with some the extra playing time last game, scoring 23.5 DK points 25 minutes off the bench vs The Spurs. As I said above, The Mavericks have accepted there is nothing left for them to play for, and their younger players are expected to soak up most of the minutes in their final three games of the year. PF Dirk Nowitzki and SG Wesley Mathews will be active, but PG Seth Curry, PG J.J. Barea, and SF Harrison Barnes will all be out tonight. Even though they will suit up, I’m sure Nowitzki and Mathews won’t play much, after only logging 16 minutes each last game, which should give Powell around 25 minutes off the bench.
He is scoring 0.9 DK points per minute this season and he should have no problem putting up 20+ DK points, in this tremendous matchup vs The Suns, who have allowed the 11th most DK points to PFs this year, with a high current opponent +/- of 2.98 points. He should be very active playing way up in pace with this Suns team ranking 2nd in pace compared to The Mavs who are the 2nd slowest team in The NBA. (8.8 possession increase) At only $3,400, Powell is a great punt that will help you squeeze in multiple studs into your lineup.
C: Montrezl Harrell: (3,400) With starting center Clint Capela being rested on Friday, Harrell saw an increased role off the bench, scoring 21.5 DK points vs The Pistons. Tonight, he is in a similar situation with Capela returning, but back-up center Nene out with a finger injury. He and Capela will split all the center minutes and he should play roughly 20-25 minutes and score 20+ DK points, in this very nice matchup vs The Kings, who are currently presenting an opponent +/- of 1.34 points.
Harrell has produced in this situation all season, averaging 21.3 DK points and 22.3 minutes in the 13 games he has played in with Nene out. There also is a chance he could play even more tonight, if Rockets head coach Mike D’Antoni elects to rest some of his starters with them basically locked in as the three seed in The West. Either way just with Nene out, he has a great chance of returning value again and is a solid value play for this small four game slate
Also Consider: Henry Ellenson, Nicolas Brussino, Ish Smith, Skal Labisiere, Stanley Johnson, Larry Nance Jr., Buddy Hield, Yogi Ferrell, Langston Galloway, Jared Dudley, and George Papagiannis.