DraftKings NBA Picks – December 10th

<p>Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for December 10th. Tonight, is a full slate, with ten games to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @<a href=Hunta512.

Top Pick:

PG: Russell Westbrook: (11,000)

If we exclude two blowouts, that limited his minutes to under 30 in both games, Westbrook is scoring a massive 75.7 DK PPG, in the last five he has cracked 30 minutes. He is scoring an excellent 1.5 DK PPM since returning from the ankle injury and tonight, he should approach 60 DK points, facing a Jazz defense, that has struggled with opposing backcourts. (1.41 opponent +/-)

In his last two meetings with Utah, Westbrook has scored an insane 74.13 DK PPG and with Anthony Davis’s (below) status in question, RW0 is the best high end value of Monday night.

Value Picks:

SF/PF: Trey Lyles: (3,700)

Usually DraftKings is on top of things and adjusts a player’s prices to where it should be, after a strong game, but Lyles’ price only went up $200 since Saturday. In that contest, he started for the injured Paul Milsap (toe), and scored 28.5 DK points, in a season high 38.3 minutes vs The Hawks. He ended up being a 8.1 value return in this game and he should easily get us at least six times value again tonight.

The matchup isn’t as appetizing vs The Grizzlies (0.05 opponent +/-), but Lyles is averaging 1.0 DK PPM, and with a 30+ minute role, he will have no issues scoring 20+ DK points. The ceiling is also solid, for a double double threat like Lyles, and he is an elite value play for this full slate.

C: Bam Adebayo: (5,800)

For the third straight game, Bam needs to be in your lineups. Hassan Whiteside (personal) will remain away from the team and Adebayo will start at center for The Heat. In these past two, he is scoring 38.5 DK PPG, which is honestly a modest average, when you consider he picked up two early fouls in their last game, and scored almost all of his DK points in the second half. (34 DK points vs The Clippers)

He is averaging 1.3 DK PPM as the starter and tonight’s matchup is great, vs The Lakers, who rank 5th in pace this season. They have struggled all year long with centers (2.94 opponent +/-) and Adebayo is a pretty strong bet for a double double in this spot. He is one of the strongest values on the board, that has 40-50 DK point upside.

PG/SG: Terry Rozier: (5,300)

Rozier’s game is peaking right now (34 DK PPG in his last two) and he will draw the start at PG, with Kyrie Irving (shoulder) out. Not only is Irving sitting, but Boston will also be without Gordon Hayward (illness), Gershon Yabusele (ankle), Al Horford (knee) and Aaron Baynes. (ankle) Rozier is scoring 0.91 DK PPM when all of these hurt Celtics are off the floor and he may go over 40 minutes, with Boston only having 9-10 bodies available. He scored 35.75 DK points across 36.2 minutes in the first contest Irving missed this season and Rozier is averaging 32.2 DK PPG in the 21 total career games he has played without The All-Star PG.

This average doesn’t factor in the further growth his rates will see in this current situation and Rozier should easily top 30 DK points, in this prime spot vs The Pelicans, who are the 8th worst defense, and 6th fastest team in the league. (2.01 opponent +/-) We have seen him post a triple double in Irving’s absence before and a performance of that caliber isn’t out of the question tonight. Quite simply, Scary Terry is a must play.

Also Consider:

PF/C: Anthony Davis: (10,900)

Davis (hip) missed the second half of yesterday’s game, but there is a chance he plays tonight vs The Celtics. (questionable). DraftKings has decreased AD’s price to only $10,900, presumably with Boston being #2 in defensive efficiency this season, but they will be extremely shorthanded on Monday night, specifically without Horford and Baynes, their two best interior defenders. This defense is going to be a shell of itself and Davis should feast on this shorthanded front court. Even with them at full strength, AD is averaging 65 DK PPG, in his last four meetings with The Celtics.

SF/PF: LeBron James: (10,700)

LeBron is averaging 58.25 DK PPG in his last three. Plus, Rajon Rondo (hand), and Brandon Ingram (ankle), will both still be out. (1.6 DK PPM without these two players) For Monday night, he is at home, going against his former team, The Heat, who he scored 73.5 DK points on earlier this season. (1.45 opponent +/-) Last, but not least, on top this being a “revenge game”, it will be the last time ever James will face his friend Dwayne Wade.

C: Nikola Jokic: (9,300)

Jokic is scoring an elite 1.6 DK PPM without Milsap, Will Barton (groin), and Gary Harris (hip) this season, and he will be at home. (4.5 more DK PPG) Even if this matchup vs Marc Gasol and The Grizzlies is gross (0.76 opponent +/-), The Joker should go for 50+ DK points.

SG: Bradley Beal: (8,400)

Beal will lead the way for The Wizards tonight, with John Wall (heel) sitting. In the one game Wall missed this year, Beal scored 56.25 DK points, with a 28.7% usage rate.

SF/PF: Kyle Kuzma: (7,200)

Kuzma has topped 40 DK points in five straight games and he has a decent shot of doing it again, with Ingram and Rondo still out.

PF/C: Julius Randle: (7,100)

If AD is forced to sit, Randle needs to be in your lineups. He scored 46.5 DK points yesterday, with Davis missing the second half vs The Pistons, and he is averaging 40 DK PPG in the four The Brow has sat this season. Plus, as I said above, this Celtics’ defense is going to a much weaker unit, sans Horford and Baynes.

SF/PF: Jayson Tatum: (6,900) 

Along with Rozier, Tatum presents the best upside in this Celtics’ situation. His usage should hit season peaks and he will have to play close to 40 minutes. He is scoring 1.12 DK PPM and this matchup is obviously in his favor. (NO is a 1.03 opponent +/-) The higher price tag makes him a better GPP play, but he is a very strong target in that format.

SF/PF: Otto Porter Jr.: (6,100) 

Porter is producing 36 DK PPG in his last three and he scored 42.75 DK points in the lone game both Dwight Howard (glute) and Wall missed this season. The matchup could be better (IND is a 0.32 opponent +/-), but Porter should still drop 30+ DK points.

SF/PF: Marcus Morris: (5,500)

Morris scores a great 1.25 DK PPM with all of these Celtics off the court (4.2% usage increase), which is a huge 0.5 DK PPM increase from his season average. They will need his scoring and some minutes at center tonight, and the matchup vs The Pelicans, gives him 40+ DK point upside. (1.91 opponent +/-)

PG/SG: Reggie Jackson: (5,000)

Jackson is never may favorite option, but with Blake Griffin (rest), and Ish Smith (groin) out, Jackson warrants consideration. When these two have been off the court this season, Jackson has seen a team high 10.3% usage bump, and is supplying 1.1 DK PPM. Furthermore, he should have to play 30+ minutes, and The Sixers are a decent matchup for PGs. (1.16 opponent +/-) Langston Galloway (below) is the better value, but Jackson has the higher ceiling.

PG/SG: Marcus Smart: (4,300)

Every one of The Celitcs’ top eight players are viable tonight. Smart will keep starting and is scoring 0.8 DK PPM with all these players off the court. I think Rozier sees the most playing time, but Smart shouldn’t be far behind. In 35-40 minutes of work, Smart should score 25-30 DK points, playing up in pace, vs The Pelicans. (4.5 possession increase and a 1.03 opponent +/-)

PG/SG: Tomas Satoransky: (4,200)

Satoransky will see an expanded role, with Wall out tonight. Wall played Saturday vs The Cavs, but missed the previous game. This was the first contest he has missed this year and in that win over The Hawks, Satoransky was outstanding, scoring a season high 36.5 DK points. He played 38.3 minutes in this game, which was also a season high, and scored 0.91 DK PPM. Tonight, he should log 30-35 minutes, which is more than enough time for him to exceed five times value, even in this tougher spot, vs The Pacers. (0.18 opponent +/-)

PF/C: Daniel Theis: (4,000)

With Horford/Baynes out and Yabu getting hurt, Theis had a career night on Saturday. (54.4 DK points in 32.2 minutes vs The Bulls) The Celitcs recalled rookie Robert Williams (bel0w) from The G league, so he will decently see a good amount of playing time, but I still think HC Brad Stevens relies on Theis, for 30-35 minutes. I do worry about the foul risk going against AD, but his cheap price and Boston’s lack of depth, make this less of a concern than it usually would be. He should have no problems scoring over 20 DK points (1.0 DK PPM), with a ceiling over 40, if he can manage another double double.

PG: Jalen Brunson: (3,400)

With Dennis Smith Jr. (wrist) doubtful, Brunson will start at PG for the third straight game. He has been very productive playing with the starters (26 DK PPG) and his rates have been solid, with a 16.1% usage rate, and a 26.3% assist percentage. He is producing 0.9 DK PPM in these past two and should top 20 DK points again, at home, where The Mavs are a completely different team this season. (11-2)

PG/SG: Langston Galloway: (3,300)

With Smith out of the lineup, Galloway has been a huge spark off the bench for The Pistons. (30.25 DK PPG) He has topped 30 minutes in each of these last two games (34 MPG) and should again, with Griffin also out of the equation.

PF/C: Jon Leuer: (3,000) 

Leuer should start tonight, with Griffin being rested. This is the first game Griffin has missed this year, so it’s hard to project Leuer’s minutes, but if the starter, you have to expect 25+. He is scoring an efficient 1.0 DK PPM, making him a viable punt, in this positive matchup, with The Sixers. (1.57 opponent +/-)

C: Robert Williams: (3,000) 

Rightfully so, Theis is going to garner most of the attention, but Williams is a also a strong play, at only $3,000. The rookie hasn’t played much this season, but he is looking at 20-25 minutes tonight off the bench. He scores a great 1.32 DK PPM and should return six to seven times value. Just like how Saturday was for Theis, I could see this being a coming out party for Williams on Monday.

*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com


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Alex Hunter / Author

Alex is an experienced and successful daily fantasy sports player that has been competing since DFS began. He specializes in picks for NBA, NFL and PGA. He has been writing for TheSportsGeek.com since 2016. During this time, his picks have won many of his readers big prizes and have helped him become a trusted name in the DFS industry. Not only does he give in depth picks on The SportsGeek.com, but Alex is also an active and reliable Twitter source who gives out updates about his picks and is always there for questions or advice. @Hunta512

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