DraftKings NBA Picks – December 11th

<p>How’s it going everybody. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for December 11th. Tuesday night, is a very small slate, with only three games to attack.  As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @<a href=Hunta512.

Top Pick:

SF/PF: Kawhi Leonard: (9,400)

Leonard was solid in his last game (44 DK points vs The Bucks) and he is now scoring 52 DK PPG in his last six. Tonight, is a situation I always like to attack him in, with this tilt vs The Clippers presenting a single digit spread. (TOR -4.5)

Leonard has been a MVP type player when the game has been tight this season, with him averaging 52.4 DK PPG, in the three Raptors’ games that have had a spread under five points. Furthermore, he is supplying 47 DK PPG when going against a team that has a winning record of 60% of better. (LAC is 17-9) Regardless of this being an average matchup (0.7 opponent +/-), Leonard should approach 50 DK points in this type of environment. Out of the four players priced over $9,000 this evening, Leonard is the best value and target in my opinion.

Value Picks:

PG/SG: De’Anthony Melton: (4,200)

The Suns are still losing, but Melton has been a solid asset, with Devin Booker (hamstring) sidelined. (28.24 DK PPG in his last four) He has started over Elie Okobo the last two games and is averaging 30.5 MPG with the starting unit. After a very respectable four point loss to The Clippers last night, Melton should keep starting for Tuesday’s matchup Vs The Spurs.

He is right at 1.0 DK PPM and with hopefully right around 30 minutes (SA -12.5), Melton should provide value for the fifth straight game, with The Spurs ranking second to last in defensive efficiency.

SG/SF: Mikal Bridges: (4,000)

Similar to Melton, Bridges, The Suns’ first round pick from this past draft, has been productive in his last five games. (23.5 DK PPG) He has only failed to top 20 DK points once in this span and he has played over 30 minutes in four of the five, even in blowouts.

He is a less productive player than Melton (0.7 DK PPM) and has the lower ceiling, but could end up leading this team in minutes played. Either way, Bridges should also get us at least five times value again tonight (28.75 DK points in 38.4 minutes vs The Clippers last night) and is a fine punt play for all formats.

PG/SG: Patrick Beverly: (3,600)

This recommendation is under the assumption that The Clippers will be without Lou Williams. (questionable, hamstring) The reigning six man of the year could only play 12 minutes last night vs The Suns, before exiting, and this opened up more playing time for Beverly. In the OT loss, he logged 34 minutes, which was the first time he has played over 30 minutes in 11 games.

Yes, the overtime is inflating this number, but Beverly is still looking at a larger role than usual with Williams injured. I am projecting him for right at 30 minutes and when Williams hasn’t been on the floor this year, Beverly has received a 1.3% usage bump. Toronto is one of the best defenses in The NBA (7th in efficiency), but I still think Beverly will grind out value, with the extra playing time.

Also Consider:

PG/SG: James Harden: (10,700)

Harden is the only option over $10,000 on Tuesday, so his ownership will naturally be high, but he is still a worthwhile spend, if you can fit him in. Over his last five games with The Blazers, he is averaging 56.1 DK PPG, including three games over 60 DK points. Finally, Harden is at home, where he is scoring 5.4 more DK PPG this season.

SG/SF: Demar DeRozan: (9,200)

Excluding the massive 34 point loss to The Jazz a week ago, Derozan has been eating, with 55 DK PPG in his last four. His usage has gone over 30% in five of his last six games and tonight, he faces The Suns, who are the third worst defense in the league. The blowout concerns are very real for DeRozan and all The Spurs, but given his recent production, and the size of this slate, he remains in play.

C: Jusuf Nurkic: (7,500)

Nurkic went off for 54.5 DK points vs The Wolves on Saturday and this matchup is very strong, vs The Rockets. (2.88 opponent +/-) He is averaging 41.2 DK PPG in his last three against Houston and is scoring 35 DK PPG in the 11 contests that have come with an opponent +/- over 2.0 points this season.

SF/PF: Danilo Gallinari: (6,500)

Galo has been playing well recently (37 DK PPG in his last nine) and I could see some usage funneling his way, with Leonard mostly guarding Tobias Harris.

PG/SG: Shia Gilgeous-Alexander: (5,500)

In the wake of Williams leaving with the hamstring, SGA ended up playing 33.4 minutes in the win over The Suns. (31.5 DK points) He might have to crack 30 again tonight, if Williams is out, and in the past four he has logged 30+, SGA is averaging 35 DK PPG.

SF/PF: Al-Farouq Aminu: (4,700)

On a normal night, Aminu wouldn’t be on my list, but at only $4,700, he is viable for this tiny slate. He has scored over 32 DK points in four of his last five and is averaging 28 DK PPG in his last 19 vs The Rockets.

C: Boban Marjanovic: (3,800)

Boban has started in three straight games and in four of the last five for The Clippers. His minutes will never be high (15.3 MPG), but he doesn’t need much playing time to supply value. (1.53 DK PPM this season) In these past four, as a starter, Marjanovic has averaged 24 DK PPG, and he should score over 20 once again, with The Raptors being a positive spot for centers. (1.23 opponent +/-)

*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com





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Alex Hunter / Author

Alex is an experienced and successful daily fantasy sports player that has been competing since DFS began. He specializes in picks for NBA, NFL and PGA. He has been writing for TheSportsGeek.com since 2016. During this time, his picks have won many of his readers big prizes and have helped him become a trusted name in the DFS industry. Not only does he give in depth picks on The SportsGeek.com, but Alex is also an active and reliable Twitter source who gives out updates about his picks and is always there for questions or advice. @Hunta512