DraftKings NBA Picks – December 14th

<p>Happy Friday everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for December 14th. Friday is a full slate, with nine games to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @<a href=Hunta512.

Top Pick:

C: Nikola Jokic: (9,400)

Jokic has picked up the slack in these last two games with Paul Milsap (toe), Gary Harris (hip), and Will Batron (groin) all out. (54.4 DK PPG) Tonight, all three of these Nugget’s starters will continue to sit, which will keep Jokic in this large role vs The Thunder. Steve Adams is never a center I like to attack (0.22 opponent +/-), but Jokic’s price tag simply doesn’t reflect his production in this situation. Plus, he will on his home floor, where he is scoring 5.1 more DK PPG this year, compared to when he is on the road.

He just put up 55.5 DK points in a difficult matchup vs The Grizzlies on Monday (4th in defensive efficiency) and Jokic should have another 50+ DK point showing on Friday. Last, but not least, Jokic isn’t expected to carry much ownership (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs), making him one of my favorite spends of this full slate.

Value Picks:

SF/PF: Kevin Knox: (4,800)

Following a 26/15 night vs The Hornets (50.25 DK points), HC David Fizdale finally made the move, and started Knox over Mario Hezonja. The Knicks lost, but Knox didn’t disappoint, scoring 34.25 DK points across 32.42 minutes vs The Cavs. He is now posting a 24.4% usage rate and scoring 1.15 DK PPM in these past two.

There is no reason why the promising rookie won’t keep starting tonight and in 30-35 minutes, he should definitely return five times value, with 35-40 DK point upside, in this decent matchup, vs The Hornets. (1.02 opponent +/-) I doubt Knox will be priced under $5,000 for his next game and I recommended hopping on now, before his salary becomes appropriate.

PG: Monte Morris: (4,000)

Surprisingly, with Milsap out, it hasn’t been a front-court player that has seen the biggest upgrade, it’s been Morris. In these past two with Milsap sidelined, Morris has been tremendous off the bench, averaging 35.5 DK PPG in 29 MPG. His usage has jumped up 5.5% and his assist rate has been at 31.6%, helping him to score 1.2 DK PPM, which is massive 0.6 DK PPM increase from his average this season.

His matchup tonight is far from ideal vs The Thunder (1st in defensive efficiency), but The Nuggets are at home, and they remain shorthanded. So, in roughly 30 minutes off the bench, Morris should still be able to outproduce his current price, despite this being a tough matchup. He clearly isn’t priced for his role right now and I think Morris is a fine value play for all formats.

PF/C: Larry Nance Jr.: (6,200)

Nance surprisingly didn’t get the start in place of Tristan Thompson (foot), but he was The Cavs’ big that played the most, with 33 minutes vs The Knicks on Wednesday. As a strong fantasy producer (1.0 DK PPM), Nance excelled with the bigger role, scoring 39.25 DK points in the win. They will probably still bring him off the bench tonight, but either way, Nance will be their main big man, and should log 30+ minutes, Friday vs The Bucks. (1.14 opponent +/-)

He doesn’t need his rates to expand, all he needs is the extra playing time, and in the last nine games Nance has logged at least 25 minutes, he is contributing 29.2 DK PPG. His price tag went up $500, but Nance remains a strong value at $6,200.

Also Consider:

PG: Russell Westbrook: (10,800)

Westbrook has cooled off in these last two (46.4 DK PPG), but soon he is going to bounce back, and tonight could be the night, in this competitive game setting vs The Nuggets. (OKC -1.5) In the last 39 games he has played in that have had a spread under two points, Westbrook is averaging 59.3 DK PPG, and prior to these last two, he was scoring 60.4 DK PPG in his previous seven.

C: Joel Embiid: (10,600)

If Jimmy Butler (groin) is forced to miss another game, Embiid will need to be in your lineups. With Butler out on Wednesday, Embiid was a monster vs The Nets. (66.75 DK points) He is scoring 1.6 DK PPM without Butler and would be in line for another huge night, even if this matchup vs The Pacers isn’t perfect. (0.94 opponent +/-)

PG/SG: Steph Curry: (10,200)

Curry sucked in Wednesday’s big game vs The Raptors (19.25 DK points), but in the five before this, he was averaging 51 DK PPG since returning from the groin injury. He should get back on track tonight, vs The Kings, who are 22nd in defensive efficiency. This contest also has a single digit spread (GS -7.5) and the highest O/U game total of the night. (235.5 points)

PG: Kemba Walker: (9,200)

With his usage being at a much higher mark (35.8%), Walker has been outstanding in his last two. (55.25 DK PPG) For Friday night, he will be at home (1.4 more DK PPG), going against a horrible Knicks’ defense. (2nd to last in defensive efficiency) In their first meeting of the season, Walker dropped 50.5 DK points in only 30.3 minutes.

PG/SF: Ben Simmons: (8,700)

If Butler is out, Simmons will also see a decent sized bump. He scored 53 DK points vs The Nets on Wednesday and is supplying 1.3 DK PPM when Butler is off the floor.

PF/C: John Collins: (7,200)

Collins can’t be stopped right now, posting a double double, and averaging 45.25 DK PPG in his last five. The price tag is appropriate, but he has a solid chance of another double double, going against this Celtic’s front-court, that will be without Al Horford. (knee)

PG: De’Aaron Fox: (7,000)

Fox is only $7,000, but has scored 42.3 DK PPG in his last four. This is tough matchup vs The Warriors (0.68 opponent +/-), but he is at home (35.5 DK PPG), and the game environment is very strong.

SG: Klay Thompson: (6,200)

This is the cheapest Thompson has been in 17 games. He is averaging 34.1 DK PPG on the road this season and assuming this game stays close, Thompson should easily get over 30 DK points, with The Kings allowing the 11th most made 3PPG this season. He is one of the most reasonable ways to attack this slate high total.

PG/SG: Spencer Dinwiddie: (6,500)

Dinwiddie just got his contract extended by The Nets and it was for good reason. He has been huge for them as of late, leading this team to three straight wins. (41 DK PPG) His minutes have been stable right at 30 MPG and his usage has sky rocketed to 34.7%. Dinwiddie is scoring 1.4 DK PPM in these wins and tonight, he is facing The Wizards, who are 27th in defensive efficiency, and 6th in pace. (2.04 opponent +/-) He is averaging 35 DK PPG vs them this year, across two games, and he should have no issues cracking 35 DK points again, with this brand new role.

SF/PF: Juan Hernangomez: (4,700)

Hernangomez has been solid in his last four (29.3 DK PPG) and his minutes have been very high. (37.5 MPG) Based on playing time alone, Hernangomez warrants consideration. (0.8 DK PPM)

SF/PF: Trey Lyles: (4,400)

In these past two, without Milsap, Lyles has been solid (25 DK PPG), and The Thunder are at their weakest against PFs. (1.24 opponent +/-) They started him in the first game, sans Milsap, but elected to start Plumlee on Monday. Whoever starts, is the better option, but I have a feeling they will go back to Lyles tonight, vs The Thunder, who play an undersized PF, in Jerami Grant, at the four.

PF/C: Mason Plumlee: (4,300)

Plumlee was quiet in the first game Milsap missed (16.75 DK points vs The Hawks), but scored 32 DK points vs The Grizzlies this past Monday, as the starter. (35 minutes) He is the better fantasy player than Lyles (1.14 DK PPM vs Lyles’ 1.0 DK PPM), but needs to be starting to be considered for cash games.

PF/C: Dewayne Dedmon: (4,300)

Dedmon has played 30.34 MPG in these last two (24.6 DK PPG) and if he can continue to see similar minutes, he should out produce his current salary, vs this Celtics’ team, that will be without Al Horford, one of their best interior defenders.

SF/PF: Jonas Jerebko: (3,800)

Even with Draymond Green back, Jerebko has been solid off the bench. (22.5 DK PPG) He has scored over 20 in four of his last five and is a viable punt, if you want more shares of this Warriors Kings matchup. (SAC is a 1.15 opponent +/-)

SG/SF: Furkan Korkmaz: (3,800)

If Butler can’t give it a go, Korkmaz will be a plug and play value. He started in Butler’s place last game and was outstanding, with 36.25 DK points in 34.4 minutes vs The Nets. He is now averaging 34.25 DK PPG in these last two and The Pacers are a decent spot for outside shooters. (10th most made 3PPG this season)

*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com


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Alex Hunter / Author

Alex is an experienced and successful daily fantasy sports player that has been competing since DFS began. He specializes in picks for NBA, NFL and PGA. He has been writing for TheSportsGeek.com since 2016. During this time, his picks have won many of his readers big prizes and have helped him become a trusted name in the DFS industry. Not only does he give in depth picks on The SportsGeek.com, but Alex is also an active and reliable Twitter source who gives out updates about his picks and is always there for questions or advice. @Hunta512

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