PG: Kemba Walker: (9,300)
Walker is averaging 49.2 DK PPG in his last four and tonight, he has a date with The Lakers, who rank 7th in pace this season. Opposing guards have torched them on occasion, with the most recent being a 50 point triple double by James Harden this past Thursday night. (86.5 DK points) This matchup between The Hornets and Lakers presents the highest total of Saturday’s six (227.5 O/U game total) and it also has a spread of only two points, in favor of LA.
In the three other home games that Walker has played in this year, that have come with an O/U game total of 225 points or more, and a spread of five or less, he has balled out, with 49 DK PPG. Additionally, in his last six meetings The Lakers, Walker has averaged 45.4 DK PPG. He should approach 50 DK points in this big home game, with a massive ceiling over 60 DK points.
PF: Dario Saric: (4,200)
Saric is expected to draw the start at PF tonight, with Taj Gibson away from the team for personal reasons. Even with Gibson active the last two games, HC Tom Thibodeau has been giving Saric the most run at PF, with him logging 31 MPG, compared to Gibson’s 17 MPG. Saric has obviously seen a solid uptick in his fantasy numbers (29.3 DK PPG) and with another 30+ minute role tonight (0.85 DK PPM), he should easily exceed five times value, vs this Suns’ defense, that is the 4th worst rated defense in The NBA.
Saric actually has a solid ceiling relative to his cheap price and in the last nine games he has topped 30 minutes, he is contributing 29 DK PPG. He will be the chalk play of Saturday’s slate (41%+ projected ownership via Fantasy Labs), but Saric just brings too much value to ignore, regardless of ownership.
SF/PF: Kyle Kuzma: (7,800)
Kuzma needs to be utilized until his price is over $8,000. No matter the matchup, he has returned at least 40 DK points in seven straight games. His usage has been the second highest on the team (24.4%), only trailing LeBron James, and he is playing a team high 36.3 MPG. Tonight, him and The Lakers, are competing in the best game environment of Saturday night, vs The Hornets.
This game should stay tight throughout, which should keep Kuzma around 40 minutes, in this positive matchup. (CHA is a 1.14 opponent +/-) Furthermore, they are giving up the 9th most made 3PPG this season, which bodes well for Kuzma, who is attempting seven threes a game, in his last nine starts. Expect another 40+ DK game from Kuzma and he is one of my favorite ways to gain exposure to this high total.
SG/SF: Jeremy Lamb: (5,300)
Lamb is averaging 29.4 DK PPG in his last 15 and has scored over 30 DK points in ten of those games, including a 36.25 DK point showing last night vs The Knicks. He has seen over 35 minutes in each of his last two games and should hit that mark again, with The Lakers only favored by two points. He scores right at 1.0 DK PPM and the nine games that The Hornets have been underdogs this season, Lamb has scored 29 DK PPG.
The matchup is solid for him (1.21 opponent +/-) and he should benefit from playing up in pace vs this Lakers’ club. (2.3 possession increase) In the seven previous games this year, that The Hornets have seen a possession increase of 2.0 or more, Lamb has been excellent, with 33.1 DK PPG. He should have no issues exceeding five times value and is a fine mid-tier target for all formats.
SF/PF: LeBron James: (10,700)
LeBron is my preferred play over $10,000 tonight. He is averaging 56.4 DK PPG in these last five without Brandon Ingram (ankle) and Rajon Rondo (hand), and both of these players will continue to be out on Saturday. He is averaging 57.3 DK PPG when the spread has been under three points this season and we should see LeBron approach that average tonight. (CHA is a 1.06 opponent +/-)
SF/PF: Paul George: (9,200)
PG13 has been great, scoring over 40 DK points in six straight. (51.3 DK PPG) His price tag is correct, but George is one of the better high end bets to reach five times value, in this competitive tilt vs The Clippers. (225.5 O/U game total and OKC is -6.5) In the first two games against The Clippers this season, George is averaging 49 DK PPG.
C: Andre Drummond: (8,500)
Drummond has produced 48 DK PPG in his last four and this Celitcs’ front-court will remain without one of their best defenders, Al Horford. Drummond is a near lock for a double double in this spot.
SF/PF: Tobias Harris: (7,000)
Harris has let blowouts hurt his numbers in these last two games (20 DK PPG), but he should get back on track tonight, vs The Thunder. (OKC -6.5) These down games have brought Harris down to only $7,000, which is tied for the cheapest he has been all season. When the spread has been single digits, Harris is scoring 36.6 DK PPG this year. Lastly, he is averaging 37.6 DK PPG vs The Thunder, across two meetings.
SF/PF: T.J. Warren: (6,600)
Warren has been an awesome value in his last two (36.1 DK PPG) and if Devin Booker (questionable, hamstring) remains out, Warren will be a nice target, at home, vs this Wolves’ defense. (1.58 opponent +/-)
C: Steven Adams: (6,500)
Adams is supplying 40 DK PPG in his last four and he has been tremendous against The Clippers this season. (42.8 DK PPG) Right now, they rate as a very high opponent +/- of 4.45 points, which is the best matchup for a starting player on Saturday night.
PF: Lauri Markkanen: (5,900)
Lauri should play more, with Jabari Parker “out of the rotation”. Plus, Zach LaVine (ankle) is out and with both of these players off the court, Markkanen is scoring 1.3 DK PPM. Last, but not least, this a very nice spot, vs The Spurs, who are the 5th worst defense. (2.85 opponent +/-)
SG/SF: Justin Holiday: (5,300)
Holiday has been the most steady Bull in terms of minutes. He has played 36.3 MPG in these last two and if he can continue to see this type of playing time, Holiday should smash value, with him producing 1.13 DK PPM, with Parker and LaVine off the floor. (6.1% usage increase)
PG/SG: Josh Hart: (4,500)
Hart saw his minutes go under 30 on Thursday night (23.5 DK points vs The Rockets), but this was due to foul trouble. In the previous three, as the starter for Ingram, he was logging 35.4 MPG. He is scoring 0.8 DK PPM and with a 35 minute projection, plus this being a positive matchup (CHA is a 1.46 opponent +/-), we should see a 25+ DK point night from Hart.
SG: Avery Bradley: (3,700)
Bradley should log heavy minutes, with Lou Willaims (hamstring) sidelined. He scored 24.25 DK points vs The Spurs on Thursday and in the last seven he has cracked 30 minutes, he is scoring 20.2 DK PPG.
*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com